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Robust Bayesian inference is the calculation of posterior probability bounds given perturbations in a probabilistic model. This paper focuses on perturbations that can be expressed locally in Bayesian networks through convex sets of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-08 Fabio Gagliardi Cozman

The robust Poisson method is becoming increasingly popular when estimating the association of exposures with a binary outcome. Unlike the logistic regression model, the robust Poisson method yields results that can be interpreted as risk or…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-14 Denis Talbot , Miceline Mésidor , Yohann Chiu , Marc Simard , Caroline Sirois

This paper introduces a convenient strategy for coding and predicting sequences of independent, identically distributed random variables generated from a large alphabet of size $m$. In particular, the size of the sample is allowed to be…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-01-17 Xiao Yang , Andrew R. Barron

We study the problem of learning nonparametric distributions in a finite mixture, and establish tight bounds on the sample complexity for learning the component distributions in such models. Namely, we are given i.i.d. samples from a pdf…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-06 Bryon Aragam , Wai Ming Tai

Large language models (LLMs) perform very well in several natural language processing tasks but raise explainability challenges. In this paper, we examine the effect of random elements in the training of LLMs on the explainability of their…

Due to the complexity of order statistics, the finite sample behaviour of robust statistics is generally not analytically solvable. While the Monte Carlo method can provide approximate solutions, its convergence rate is typically very slow,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-12 Li Tuobang

There have been several recent articles studying homology of various types of random simplicial complexes. Several theorems have concerned thresholds for vanishing of homology, and in some cases expectations of the Betti numbers. However…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-01-19 Matthew Kahle , Elizabeth Meckes

In this paper, we study randomized methods for feedback design of uncertain systems. The first contribution is to derive the sample complexity of various constrained control problems. In particular, we show the key role played by the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-07-22 T. Alamo , R. Tempo , A. Luque , D. R. Ramirez

In this paper, we analyze the relative errors that crop up in the various reliability measures due to the tacit assumption that the components are independently working associated with a $n$-component series system or a parallel system…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-28 Subarna Bhattacharjee , Aninda Kumar Nanda , Subhashree Patra

Studying the complexity of states sampled from various ensembles is a central component of quantum information theory. In this work we establish the average-case hardness of learning, in the statistical query model, the Born distributions…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-01-16 Maxwell West

We set up the theory for a distributed algorithm for computing persistent homology. For this purpose we develop linear algebra of persistence modules. We present bases of persistence modules, and give motivation as for the advantages of…

Algebraic Topology · Mathematics 2023-10-24 Álvaro Torras Casas

A practical measure for the complexity of sequences of symbols (``strings'') is introduced that is rooted in automata theory but avoids the problems of Kolmogorov-Chaitin complexity. This physical complexity can be estimated for ensembles…

adap-org · Physics 2009-10-28 C. Adami , N. J. Cerf

This work studies distributed learning in the spirit of Yao's model of communication complexity: consider a two-party setting, where each of the players gets a list of labelled examples and they communicate in order to jointly perform some…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-04-24 Daniel M. Kane , Roi Livni , Shay Moran , Amir Yehudayoff

We perform a detailed analysis of the statistical properties of Poisson networks and show that the metric and topological properties of random cellular structures, can not be derived from simple models of random networks based on a poisson…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2012-03-22 V. Karimipour , Kh. Saaidi

The log-Lindley distribution was recently introduced in the literature as a viable alternative to the Beta distribution. This distribution has a simple structure and possesses useful theoretical properties relevant in insurance. Classical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-06 Aniket Biswas , Subrata Chakraborty , Meghna Mukherjee

We study in limit law the complexity of some anticipated rejection random sampling algorithms. We express this complexity in terms of a probabilistic process, the threshold sum process. We show that, under the right conditions, the…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2015-08-25 Axel Bacher , Andrea Sportiello

Theoretical expressions for the distribution of the ratio of consecutive level spacings for quantum systems with transiting dynamics remain unknown. We propose a family of one-parameter distributions $P(r)\equiv P(r;\beta)$, where…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-03-03 A. L. Corps , A. Relaño

Complex systems research is becomingly increasingly data-driven, particularly in the social and biological domains. Many of the systems from which sample data are collected feature structural heterogeneity at the mesoscopic scale (i.e.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Jukka-Pekka Onnela , Neil F. Johnson , Sean Gourley , Gesine Reinert , Michael Spagat

We propose a general solution to the problem of robust Bayesian inference in complex settings where outliers may be present. In practice, the automation of robust Bayesian analyses is important in the many applications involving large and…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-15 Jeremie Houssineau , David J. Nott

Bayesian models based on the Dirichlet process and other stick-breaking priors have been proposed as core ingredients for clustering, topic modeling, and other unsupervised learning tasks. Prior specification is, however, relatively…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-27 Ryan Giordano , Runjing Liu , Michael I. Jordan , Tamara Broderick