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In the present paper new light is shed on the non-central extensions of the Dirichlet distribution. Due to several probabilistic and inferential properties and to the easiness of parameter interpretation, the Dirichlet distribution proves…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-02 Carlo Orsi

A spatial distribution is hyperuniform if it has local density fluctuations that vanish in the limit of long length scales. Hyperuniformity is a well known property of both crystals and quasicrystals. Of recent interest, however, is…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2022-08-31 Jack R. Dale , James D. Sartor , R. Cameron Dennis , Eric I. Corwin

This paper studies the joint limiting behavior of extreme eigenvalues and trace of large sample covariance matrix in a generalized spiked population model, where the asymptotic regime is such that the dimension and sample size grow…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-25 Zeng Li , Fang Han , Jianfeng Yao

We study the distribution of finite clusters in slightly supercritical ($p \downarrow p_c$) Bernoulli bond percolation on transitive nonamenable graphs, proving in particular that if $G$ is a transitive nonamenable graph satisfying the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-28 Tom Hutchcroft

We consider a class of fast-slow $C^4$ partially hyperbolic systems on $\mathbb{T}^2$ given by $\epsilon$-perturbations of maps $F(x,\theta)=(f(x,\theta),\theta)$ where $f(\cdot,\theta)$ are $C^{4}$ expanding maps of the circle. For…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-11-19 Jacopo De Simoi , Kasun Fernando , Nicholas Fleming-Vázquez

We obtain non-uniform Edgeworth expansions for several classes of weakly dependent (non-stationary) sequences of random variables, including uniformly elliptic inhomogeneous Markov chains, random and time-varying (partially) hyperbolic or…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-11 Yeor Hafouta

Given a first-order nonlinear hyperbolic system of conservation laws endowed with a convex entropy-entropy flux pair, we can consider the class of weak solutions containing shock waves depending upon some small scale parameters. In this…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-12-10 Philippe G. LeFloch , Allen M. Tesdall

Inference over tails is usually performed by fitting an appropriate limiting distribution over observations that exceed a fixed threshold. However, the choice of such threshold is critical and can affect the inferential results. Extreme…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-26 Chiara Lattanzi , Manuele Leonelli

We use extreme value theory to estimate the probability of successive exceedances of a threshold value of a time-series of an observable on several classes of chaotic dynamical systems. The observables have either a Fr\'echet (fat-tailed)…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-11-07 Meagan Carney , Mark Holland , Matthew Nicol , Phuong Tran

Nonparametric regression quantiles obtained by inverting a kernel estimator of the conditional distribution of the response are long established in statistics. Attention has been, however, restricted to ordinary quantiles staying away from…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-19 Abdelaati Daouia , Laurent Gardes , Stéphane Girard

In this work, it is suggested that the extremum complexity distribution of a high dimensional dynamical system can be interpreted as a piecewise uniform distribution in the phase space of its accessible states. When these distributions are…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-05-13 Xavier Calbet , Ricardo Lopez-Ruiz

We formulate and prove a Jakobson-Benedicks-Carleson type theorem on the occurence of nonuniform hyperbolicity (stochastic dynamics) in families of one-dimensional maps, based on "computable starting conditions" and providing "explicit,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2012-11-07 Stefano Luzzatto , Hiroki Takahasi

Extreme value statistics (EVS) concerns the study of the statistics of the maximum or the minimum of a set of random variables. This is an important problem for any time-series and has applications in climate, finance, sports, all the way…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-10-12 Satya N. Majumdar , Arnab Pal , Gregory Schehr

Motivated by the analysis of extreme rainfall data, we introduce a general Bayesian hierarchical model for estimating the probability distribution of extreme values of intermittent random sequences, a common problem in geophysical and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-26 Enrico Zorzetto , Antonio Canale , Marco Marani

One of the main goal of extreme value analysis is to estimate the probability of rare events given a sample from an unknown distribution. The upper tail behavior of this distribution is described by the extreme value index. We present a new…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Laurent Gardes , Stephane Girard

We propose a new method for estimating the extreme quantiles for a function of several dependent random variables. In contrast to the conventional approach based on extreme value theory, we do not impose the condition that the tail of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-11-25 Jinguo Gong , Yadong Li , Liang Peng , Qiwei Yao

We study higher order expansions both in the Berry-Ess\'een estimate (Edgeworth expansions) and in the local limit theorems for Birkhoff sums of chaotic probability preserving dynamical systems. We establish general results under technical…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-11-15 Kasun Fernando , Françoise Pène

We investigate the emergence and corresponding nature of exceptional points located on exceptional hyper-surfaces of non-hermitian transfer matrices for finite-range one-dimensional lattice models. We unravel the non-trivial role of these…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2023-11-01 Madhumita Saha , Manas Kulkarni , Bijay Kumar Agarwalla

We study step skew-products over a finite-state shift (base) space whose fiber maps are $C^1$ injective maps on the unit interval. We show that certain invariant sets have a multi-graph structure and can be written graphs of one, two or…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-07-25 Katrin Gelfert , Daniel Oliveira

For a large class of transitive non-hyperbolic systems, we construct nonhyperbolic ergodic measures with entropy arbitrarily close to its maximal possible value. The systems we consider are partially hyperbolic with one-dimension central…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-07-13 Lorenzo J. Díaz , Katrin Gelfert , Michał Rams
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