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We develop a nonparametric test for deciding whether volatility of an asset follows a standard semimartingale process, with paths of finite quadratic variation, or a rough process with paths of infinite quadratic variation. The test…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-16 Carsten H. Chong , Viktor Todorov

In this paper we propose a nonparametric procedure for validating the assumption of stationarity in multivariate locally stationary time series models. We develop a bootstrap assisted test based on a Kolmogorov-Smirnov type statistic, which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-06 Ruprecht Puchstein , Philip Preuß

We consider the error distribution in functional linear models with scalar response and functional covariate. Different asymptotic expansions of the empirical distribution function and the empirical characteristic function based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-01 Natalie Neumeyer , Leonie Selk

This paper extends results of Mortimer and Williams (1991) about changes of probability measure up to a random time under the assumptions that all martingales are continuous and that the random time avoids stopping times. We consider…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Dörte Kreher

Within the nonparametric regression model with unknown regression function $l$ and independent, symmetric errors, a new multiscale signed rank statistic is introduced and a conditional multiple test of the simple hypothesis $l=0$ against a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Angelika Rohde

In a functional setting, we propose two test statistics to highlight the Poisson nature of a Cox process when n copies of the process are available. Our approach involves a comparison of the empirical mean and the empirical variance of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-23 Benoît Cadre , Gaspar Massiot , Lionel Truquet

The martingale comparison method is extended to derive comparison results for path-independent functions for general semimartingales. Our approach allows to dismiss with the Markovian assumption on one of the processes made in previous…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-28 Benedikt Köpfer , Ludger Rüschendorf

Marginal structural models were introduced in order to provide estimates of causal effects from interventions based on observational studies in epidemiological research. The key point is that this can be understood in terms of Girsanov's…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-07-15 Kjetil Røysland

A goodness-of-fit test for one-parameter count distributions with finite second moment is proposed. The test statistic is derived from the $L^1$ distance of a function of the probability generating function of the model under the null…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-11 Antonio Di Noia , Lucio Barabesi , Marzia Marcheselli , Caterina Pisani , Luca Pratelli

Classical two-sample permutation tests for equality of distributions have exact size in finite samples, but they fail to control size for testing equality of parameters that summarize each distribution. This paper proposes permutation tests…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-04-22 Marinho Bertanha , EunYi Chung

This paper develops a novel nonparametric significance test based on a tailored nonparametric-type projected weighting function that exhibits appealing theoretical and numerical properties. We derive the asymptotic properties of the…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-18 Xiaojun Song , Jichao Yuan

We introduce a new statistical test based on the observed spacings of ordered data. The statistic is sensitive to detect non-uniformity in random samples, or short-lived features in event time series. Under some conditions, this new test…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-27 Philipp Eller , Lolian Shtembari

In this paper, we address the problem of testing goodness-of-fit for discrete distributions, where we focus on the geometric distribution. We define new likelihood-based goodness-of-fit tests using the beta-geometric distribution and the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-09 Rasmus Erlemann , Bo Henry Lindqvist

We study a rank based univariate two-sample distribution-free test. The test statistic is the difference between the average of between-group rank distances and the average of within-group rank distances. This test statistic is closely…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-28 Jamye Curry , Xin Dang , Hailin Sang

The standard method of transforming a continuous distribution on the line to the uniform distribution on the unit interval is the probability integral transform. Analogous transforms exist on compact Riemannian manifolds, in that, for each…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-13 P. E. Jupp , A. Kume

We study goodness-of-fit testing for non-causal autoregressive time series with non-Gaussian stable noise. To model time series exhibiting sharp spikes or occasional bursts of outlying observations, the exponent of the non-Gaussian stable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-09-19 Yunwei Cui , Rongning Wu , Thomas J. Fisher

This paper develops a statistical framework for goodness-of-fit testing of volatility functions in McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations, which describe large systems of interacting particles with distribution-dependent dynamics.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-15 Akram Heidari , Mark Podolskij

Parametric max-stable processes are increasingly used to model spatial extremes. Starting from the fact that the dependence structure of a max-stable process is completely characterized by an extreme-value copula, a class of goodness-of-fit…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-02-27 Ivan Kojadinovic , Hongwei Shang , Jun Yan

We define data transformations that leave certain classes of distributions invariant, while acting in a specific manner upon the parameters of the said distributions. It is shown that under such transformations the maximum likelihood…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-10 Muneya Matsui , Simos Meintanis

Permutation tests are a distribution free way of performing hypothesis tests. These tests rely on the condition that the observed data are exchangeable among the groups being tested under the null hypothesis. This assumption is easily…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-14 Daniell Toth