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The instability of historical risk factor correlations renders their use in estimating portfolio risk extremely questionable. In periods of market stress correlations of risk factors have a tendency to quickly go well beyond estimated…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2008-12-10 Vineer Bhansali , Mark B. Wise

Generalized linear and additive models are very efficient regression tools but the selection of relevant terms becomes difficult if higher order interactions are needed. In contrast, tree-based methods also known as recursive partitioning…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-21 Gerhard Tutz , Moritz Berger

Correlation matrices are omnipresent in multivariate data analysis. When the number d of variables is large, the sample estimates of correlation matrices are typically noisy and conceal underlying dependence patterns. We consider the case…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-24 Samuel Perreault , Thierry Duchesne , Johanna G. Nešlehová

Latent tree analysis seeks to model the correlations among a set of random variables using a tree of latent variables. It was proposed as an improvement to latent class analysis --- a method widely used in social sciences and medicine to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-10-04 Nevin L. Zhang , Leonard K. M. Poon

In this work, we consider the optimal portfolio selection problem under hard constraints on trading amounts, transaction costs and different rates for borrowing and lending when the risky asset returns are serially correlated. No…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-10-30 Vladimir Dombrovskii , Tatyana Obedko

We survey systemic risks to financial markets and present a high-level description of an algorithm that measures systemic risk in terms of coupled networks.

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-11-18 Abhijnan Rej

Online portfolio selection is a fundamental problem in computational finance, which has been extensively studied across several research communities, including finance, statistics, artificial intelligence, machine learning, and data mining,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-05-21 Bin Li , Steven C. H. Hoi

Clustering is a fundamental approach to understanding data patterns, wherein the intuitive Euclidean distance space is commonly adopted. However, this is not the case for implicit cluster distributions reflected by qualitative attribute…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-05 Mingjie Zhao , Sen Feng , Yiqun Zhang , Mengke Li , Yang Lu , Yiu-ming Cheung

The clustering coefficient quantifies the abundance of connected triangles in a network and is a major descriptive statistics of networks. For example, it finds an application in the assessment of small-worldness of brain networks, which is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-06-28 Naoki Masuda , Michiko Sakaki , Takahiro Ezaki , Takamitsu Watanabe

We investigated the topological properties of stock networks through a comparison of the original stock network with the estimated stock network from the correlation matrix created by the random matrix theory (RMT). We used individual…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Cheoljun Eom , Gapjin Oh , Hawoong Jeong , Seunghwan Kim

Many natural, engineered, and social systems can be represented using the framework of a layered network, where each layer captures a different type of interaction between the same set of nodes. The study of such multiplex networks is a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-05-12 Haochen Wu , Ryan G. James , James P. Crutchfield , Raissa M. D'Souza

We demonstrate that future market correlation structure can be predicted with high out-of-sample accuracy using a multiplex network approach that combines information from social media and financial data. Market structure is measured by…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-09-04 Thársis T. P. Souza , Tomaso Aste

Evaluation of systemic risk in networks of financial institutions in general requires information of inter-institution financial exposures. In the framework of Debt Rank algorithm, we introduce an approximate method of systemic risk…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-14 Sebastian M. Krause , Hrvoje Štefančić , Vinko Zlatić , Guido Caldarelli

The variance--covariance matrix plays a central role in the inferential theories of high-dimensional factor models in finance and economics. Popular regularization methods of directly exploiting sparsity are not directly applicable to many…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-03-15 Jianqing Fan , Yuan Liao , Martina Mincheva

Financial markets are well known examples of multi-fractal complex systems that have garnered much interest in their characterization through complex network theory. The recent studies have used correlation based distance metrics for…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-05-09 Sayantan Ghosh , Uwe Jaekel , Francesco Petruccione

Many applications rely on Web data and extraction systems to accomplish knowledge-driven tasks. Web information is not curated, so many sources provide inaccurate, or conflicting information. Moreover, extraction systems introduce…

Databases · Computer Science 2015-03-03 Ravali Pochampally , Anish Das Sarma , Xin Luna Dong , Alexandra Meliou , Divesh Srivastava

Correlation matrices are the sub-class of positive definite real matrices with all entries on the diagonal equal to unity. Earlier work has exhibited a parametrisation of the corresponding Cholesky factorisation in terms of partial…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-31 P. J. Forrester , Jiyuan Zhang

Hierarchical clustering is a stronger extension of one of today's most influential unsupervised learning methods: clustering. The goal of this method is to create a hierarchy of clusters, thus constructing cluster evolutionary history and…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-01-14 MohammadTaghi Hajiaghayi , Marina Knittel

The correlation matrix is the key element in optimal portfolio allocation and risk management. In particular, the eigenvectors of the correlation matrix corresponding to large eigenvalues can be used to identify the market mode, sectors and…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-05 S. Valeyre , D. S. Grebenkov , S. Aboura

In this set of five lectures the authors have presented techniques to analyze open classical and quantum systems using correlation matrices. For diverse reasons we shall see that random matrices play an important role to describe a null…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2014-02-12 Vinayak , Thomas H. Seligman