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We study a market model in which the volatility of the stock may jump at a random time from a fixed value to another fixed value. This model was already described in the literature. We present a new approach to the problem, based on partial…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Miquel Montero

Multifractal analysis and extensive statistical tests are performed upon intraday minutely data within individual trading days for four stock market indexes (including HSI, SZSC, S&P500, and NASDAQ) to check whether the indexes (instead of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Zhi-Qiang Jiang , Wei-Xing Zhou

The aim of this article is to briefly review and make new studies of correlations and co-movements of stocks, so as to understand the "seasonalities" and market evolution. Using the intraday data of the CAC40, we begin by reasserting the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-04 Gayatri Tilak , Tamas Szell , Remy Chicheportiche , Anirban Chakraborti

Following the work on Shannon entropy together with the principle of maximum entropy, Luo & Singh (J. Hydrol. Eng., 2011, 16(4): 303-315) and Singh & Luo (J. Hydrol. Eng., 2011, 16(9): 725-735) explored the concept of non-extensive Tsallis…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2020-08-26 Manotosh Kumbhakar , Rajendra K. Ray , Koeli Ghoshal , Vijay P. Singh

In this paper we propose a new model for volatility fluctuations in financial time series. This model relies on a non-stationary gaussian process that exhibits aging behavior. It turns out that its properties, over any finite time interval,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-12 J. F. Muzy , R. Baile , E. Bacry

Understanding the mutual relationships between information flows and social activity in society today is one of the cornerstones of the social sciences. In financial economics, the key issue in this regard is understanding and quantifying…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-11 Ryohei Hisano , Didier Sornette , Takayuki Mizuno , Takaaki Ohnishi , Tsutomu Watanabe

We establish several new stylised facts concerning the intra-day seasonalities of stock dynamics. Beyond the well known U-shaped pattern of the volatility, we find that the average correlation between stocks increases throughout the day,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-01-29 Romain Allez , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

The methodology presented provides a quantitative way to characterize investor behavior and price dynamics within a particular asset class and time period. The methodology is applied to a data set consisting of over 250,000 data points of…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-22 Gunduz Caginalp , Mark DeSantis

Maximum likelihood estimation applied to high-frequency data allows us to quantify intermittency in the fluctu- ations of asset prices. From time records as short as one month these methods permit extraction of a meaningful intermittency…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-04 Martin Rypdal , Espen Sirnes , Ola Løvsletten , Kristoffer Rypdal

Tsallis entropy is a useful one-parameter generalization of the standard von Neumann entropy in information theory. We study the variance of Tsallis entropy of bipartite quantum systems in a random pure state. The main result is an exact…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2022-02-16 Lu Wei

In this report, we talked about a new quantitative strategy for choosing the optimal(s) stock(s) to trade. The basic notions are generally very known by the financial community. The key here is to understand 1) the standard score applied to…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2013-01-01 Younes Ben-Ghabrit

For the pedestrian observer, financial markets look completely random with erratic and uncontrollable behavior. To a large extend, this is correct. At first approximation the difference between real price changes and the random walk model…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-08-22 Laurent Schoeffel

The daily volume of transaction on the New York Stock Exchange and its day-to-day fluctuations are analysed with respect to power-law tails as well long-term trends. We also model the transition to a Gaussian distribution for longer time…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-11 Caglar Tuncay , Dietrich Stauffer

In this article, the long-term behavior of the stock market index of the New York Stock Exchange is studied, for the period 1950 to 2013. Specifically, the CRSP Value-Weighted and CRSP Equal-Weighted index are analyzed in terms of market…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-10-15 Roberto Ortiz , Mauricio Contreras , Marcelo Villena

Recently we reported on an application of the Tsallis non-extensive statistics to the S&P500 stock index. There we argued that the statistics are applicable to a broad range of markets and exchanges where anamolous (super) diffusion and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Fredrick Michael , John Evans , M. D. Johnson

The maximum entropy principle is largely used in thresholding and segmentation of images. Among the several formulations of this principle, the most effectively applied is that based on Tsallis non-extensive entropy. Here, we discuss the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2015-08-06 Amelia Carolina Sparavigna

A large class of technically non-chaotic systems, involving scatterings of light particles by flat surfaces with sharp boundaries, is nonetheless characterized by complex random looking motion in phase space. For these systems one may…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-10 Henk van Beijeren

The original research question here is given by marketers in general, i.e., how to explain the changes in the desired timescale of the market. Tangled String, a sequence visualization tool based on the metaphor where contexts in a sequence…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2019-03-26 Yukio Ohsawa , Teruaki Hayashi , Takaaki Yoshino

Markets have internal dynamics leading to excess volatility and other phenomena that are difficult to explain using rational expectations models. This paper studies these using a nonequilibrium price formation rule, developed in the context…

adap-org · Physics 2015-06-30 J. Doyne Farmer

We develop theory leading to testing procedures for the presence of a change point in the intraday volatility pattern. The new theory is developed in the framework of Functional Data Analysis. It is based on a model akin to the stochastic…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-19 Piotr Kokoszka , Tim Kutta , Neda Mohammadi , Haonan Wang , Shixuan Wang
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