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In this paper we investigate the local limit theorem for additive functionals of nonstationary Markov chains that converge in distribution. We consider both the lattice and the non-lattice cases. The results are also new in the stationary…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-31 Florence Merlevède , Magda Peligrad , Costel Peligrad

We consider the recurrence and transience problem for a time-homogeneous Markov chain on the real line with transition kernel $p(x,\mathrm{d}y)=f_x(y-x)\,\mathrm{d}y$, where the density functions $f_x(y)$, for large $|y|$, have a power-law…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-19 Nikola Sandrić

Let $\big(M_k, Q_k\big)_{k\in\mathbb{N}}$ be independent copies of an $\mathbb{R}^2$-valued random vector. It is known that if $Y_n:=Q_1+M_1Q_2+...+M_1\cdot...\cdot M_{n-1}Q_n$ converges a.s. to a random variable $Y$, then the law of $Y$…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-11-13 Dariusz Buraczewski , Alexander Iksanov

We study random two-dimensional spanning forests in the plane that can be viewed both in the discrete case and in their appropriately taken scaling limits as a uniformly chosen spanning tree with some Poissonian deletion of edges or points.…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-04 Stéphane Benoist , Laure Dumaz , Wendelin Werner

We prove that for a random walk on the real line whose increments have zero mean and are either integer-valued or spread out (i.e. the distributions of the steps of the walk are eventually non-singular), the Markov chain of overshoots above…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-14 Aleksandar Mijatović , Vladislav Vysotsky

In this paper, we consider a class of nonautonomous multi-scale stochastic partial differential equations with fully local monotone coefficients. By introducing the evolution system of measures for time-inhomogeneous Markov semigroups, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-03 Mengyu Cheng , Xiaobin Sun , Yingchao Xie

Let $X$ be the constrained random walk on ${\mathbb Z}_+^2$ having increments $(1,0)$, $(-1,1)$, $(0,-1)$ with jump probabilities $\lambda(M_k)$, $\mu_1(M_k)$, and $\mu_2(M_k)$ where $M$ is an irreducible aperiodic finite state Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-17 Fatma Başoğlu Kabran , Ali Devin Sezer

Let M be a noncompact metric space in which every closed ball is compact, and let G be a semigroup of Lipschitz mappings of M. Denote by (Y_n)_{n\geq1} a sequence of independent G-valued, identically distributed random variables (r.v.'s),…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 Hubert Hennion , Loic Herve

We study a limit behavior of a sequence of Markov processes (or Markov chains) such that their distributions outside of any neighborhood of a "singular" point attract to some probability law. In any neighborhood of this point the behavior…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-14 Andrey Pilipenko , Yuriy Prykhodko

Markov chains are fundamental models for stochastic dynamics, with applications in a wide range of areas such as population dynamics, queueing systems, reinforcement learning, and Monte Carlo methods. Estimating the transition matrix and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-26 Lasse Leskelä , Maximilien Dreveton

By well known results of probability theory, any sequence of random variables with bounded second moments has a subsequence satisfying the central limit theorem and the law of the iterated logarithm in a randomized form. In this paper we…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-28 I. Berkes , R. Tichy

We consider finite-state time-nonhomogeneous Markov chains where the probability of moving from state $i$ to state $j\neq i$ at time $n$ is $G(i,j)/n^\zeta$ for a ``generator'' matrix $G$ and strength parameter $\zeta>0$. In these chains,…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Zach Dietz , Sunder Sethuraman

In the setting of abstract Markov maps, we prove results concerning the convergence of renormalized Birkhoff sums to normal laws or stable laws. They apply to one-dimensional maps with a neutral fixed point at 0 of the form…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Sebastien Gouezel

We investigate and prove the mathematical properties of a general class of one-dimensional unimodal smooth maps perturbed with a heteroscedastic noise. Specifically, we investigate the stability of the associated Markov chain, show the weak…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-05-24 F. Lillo , G. Livieri , S. Marmi , A. Solomko , S. Vaienti

We study the quenched invariance principle for random conductance models with long range jumps on $\Z^d$, where the transition probability from $x$ to $y$ is, on average, comparable to $|x-y|^{-(d+\alpha)}$ with $\alpha\in (0,2)$ but is…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-01 Xin Chen , Takashi Kumagai , Jian Wang

We consider periodic Markov chains with absorption. Applying to iterates of this periodic Markov chain criteria for the exponential convergence of conditional distributions of aperiodic absorbed Markov chains, we obtain exponential…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-08 Nicolas Champagnat , Denis Villemonais

A discrete-time Markov chain can be transformed into a new Markov chain by looking at its states along iterations of an almost surely finite stopping time. By the optional stopping theorem, any bounded harmonic function with respect to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-04 Iddo Ben-Ari , Behrang Forghani

In this paper, we study the averaging principle and central limit theorem for multi-scale stochastic differential equations with state-dependent switching. To accomplish this, we first study the Poisson equation associated with a Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-19 Xiaobin Sun , Yingchao Xie

We consider the problem of estimating the asymptotic variance of a function defined on a Markov chain, an important step for statistical inference of the stationary mean. We design a novel recursive estimator that requires $O(1)$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-24 Shubhada Agrawal , Prashanth L. A. , Siva Theja Maguluri

For some discretely observed path of oscillating Brownian motion with level of self-organized criticality $\rho_0$, we prove in the infill asymptotics that the MLE is $n$-consistent, where $n$ denotes the sample size, and derive its limit…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-12 Johannes Brutsche , Angelika Rohde
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