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The data mining technique of time series clustering is well established in many fields. However, as an unsupervised learning method, it requires making choices that are nontrivially influenced by the nature of the data involved. The aim of…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-07-19 Iwo Augustyński , Paweł Laskoś-Grabowski

Sampling from the posterior is a key technical problem in Bayesian statistics. Rigorous guarantees are difficult to obtain for Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms of common use. In this paper, we study an alternative class of algorithms…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-26 Andrea Montanari , Yuchen Wu

We study the existence of densities for distributions of piecewise deterministic Markov processes. We also obtain relationships between invariant densities of the continuous time process and that of the process observed at jump times. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-03 Piotr Gwiżdż , Marta Tyran-Kamińska

We study the convergence of the new family of mimetic finite difference schemes for linear diffusion problems recently proposed in [38]. In contrast to the conventional approach, the diffusion coefficient enters both the primary mimetic…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-12-07 G. Manzini , K. Lipnikov , J. D. Moulton , M. Shashkov

This article considers a model for alternative processes for securities prices and compares this model with actual return data of several securities. The distributions of returns that appear in the model can be Gaussian as well as…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2008-12-02 Kyrylo Shmatov , Mikhail Smirnov

Estimation of parameters of a diffusion based on discrete time observations poses a difficult problem due to the lack of a closed form expression for the likelihood. From a Bayesian computational perspective it can be casted as a missing…

Computation · Statistics 2017-05-30 Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer

There has been substantial interest in developing Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms based on piecewise-deterministic Markov processes. However existing algorithms can only be used if the target distribution of interest is differentiable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-12 Augustin Chevallier , Sam Power , Andi Q. Wang , Paul Fearnhead

We describe an inference task in which a set of timestamped event observations must be clustered into an unknown number of temporal sequences with independent and varying rates of observations. Various existing approaches to multi-object…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-09-20 Dan Stowell , Mark D. Plumbley

In computational system biology, the mesoscopic model of reaction-diffusion kinetics is described by a continuous time, discrete space Markov process. To simulate diffusion stochastically, the jump coefficients are obtained by a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-02-19 Lina Meinecke , Stefan Engblom , Andreas Hellander , Per Lötstedt

This note outlines a method for clustering time series based on a statistical model in which volatility shifts at unobserved change-points. The model accommodates some classical stylized features of returns and its relation to GARCH is…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-26 Nick Whiteley

A diffusion taking value in probability measures on a graph with a vertex set $V$, $\sum_{i\in V}x_i\delta_i$, is studied. The masses on each vertices satisfy the stochastic differential equation of the form $dx_i=\sum_{j\in…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-13 Shuhei Mano

The fluctuation-dissipation theorem is a central result in statistical mechanics and is usually formulated for systems described by diffusion processes. In this paper, we propose a generalization for a wider class of stochastic processes,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-09-20 Alberto Montefusco , Mark A. Peletier , Hans Christian Öttinger

In the context of nonparametric Bayesian estimation a Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm is devised and implemented to sample from the posterior distribution of the drift function of a continuously or discretely observed one-dimensional…

Computation · Statistics 2017-06-08 Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer , Harry van Zanten

For one-dimensional Jump-Drift and Jump-Diffusion processes converging towards some steady state, the large deviations of a long dynamical trajectory are described from two perspectives. Firstly, the joint probability of the empirical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-08-17 Cecile Monthus

In this paper, a modification of the conventional approximations to the quasi-maximum likelihood method is introduced for the parameter estimation of diffusion processes from discrete observations. This is based on a convergent…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-12-19 J. C. Jimenez

Stochastic point processes relevant to the theory of long-range aperiodic order are considered that display diffraction spectra of mixed type, with special emphasis on explicitly computable cases together with a unified approach of…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2019-07-17 Michael Baake , Matthias Birkner , Robert V. Moody

This study aims to alleviate the trade-off between utility and privacy of differentially private clustering. Existing works focus on simple methods, which show poor performance for non-convex clusters. To fit complex cluster distributions,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-23 Junyoung Byun , Yujin Choi , Jaewook Lee

This paper provides an elementary, self-contained analysis of diffusion-based sampling methods for generative modeling. In contrast to existing approaches that rely on continuous-time processes and then discretize, our treatment works…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-25 Galen Reeves , Henry D. Pfister

We present a new class of interacting Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms for solving numerically discrete-time measure-valued equations. The associated stochastic processes belong to the class of self-interacting Markov chains. In contrast…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-09-30 Pierre Del Moral , Arnaud Doucet

Representations based on random walks can exploit discrete data distributions for clustering and classification. We extend such representations from discrete to continuous distributions. Transition probabilities are now calculated using a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-12-12 Chen-Hsiang Yeang , Martin Szummer