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Related papers: Population extinction in a fluctuating environment

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In this paper, we formulate a stochastic logistic fish growth model driven by both white noise and non-Gaussian noise. We focus our study on the mean time to extinction, escape probability to measure the noise-induced extinction probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-03 A. Tesfay , D. Tesfay , A. Khalaf , J. Brannan

A simulation model of a population having internal (genetic) structure is presented. The population is subject to selection pressure coming from the environment which is the same in the whole system but changes in time. Reproduction has a…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2012-08-31 Andrzej Pekalski , Marcel Ausloos

In this paper we consider the global qualitative properties of a stochastically perturbed logistic model of population growth. In this model, the stochastic perturbations are assumed to be of the white noise type and are proportional to the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-09-29 Andrei Korobeinikov , Leonid Shaikhet

In this study, first we expand the cubic population model under Allee effect with a quadratic harvest function that represents harvest effect. Then, using four reaction equations representing the micro-interactions within the population…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-01-08 Çağatay Eskin , Özgür Gültekin

Many species are unsustainable at small population densities (Allee Effect), i.e., below a threshold named Allee threshold, the population decreases instead of growing. In a closed local population, environmental fluctuations always lead to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-27 Rodrigo Crespo , Javier Jarillo , Francisco J. Cao-García

We study how environmental stochasticity influences the long-term population size in certain one- and two-species models. The difficulty is that even when one can prove that there is persistence, it is usually impossible to say anything…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-07-15 Alexandru Hening , Siddharth Sabharwal

Environmental fluctuations can create population-depleted areas and even extinct areas for the population. This effect is more severe in the presence of the Allee effect (decreasing growth rate at low population densities). Dispersal inside…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-02-23 Rodrigo Crespo-Miguel , Javier Jarillo , Francisco J. Cao-García

The extinction of a single species due to demographic stochasticity is analyzed. The discrete nature of the individual agents and the Poissonian noise related to the birth-death processes result in local extinction of a metastable…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-13 David A. Kessler , Nadav M. Shnerb

The survival of natural populations may be greatly affected by environmental conditions that vary in space and time. We look at a population residing in two locations (patches) coupled by migration, in which the local conditions fluctuate…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-08-11 Tal Agranov , Guy Bunin

Environmental stochasticity is known to be a destabilizing factor, increasing abundance fluctuations and extinction rates of populations. However, the stability of a community may benefit from the differential response of species to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-02-10 Matan Danino , Nadav M. Shnerb , Sandro Azaele , William E. Kunin , David A. Kessler

Demographic noise causes unlimited population growth in a broad class of models which, without noise, would predict a stable finite population. We study this effect on the example of a stochastic birth-death model which includes…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-08-06 Baruch Meerson , Pavel V. Sasorov

Strong positive feedback is considered a necessary condition to observe abrupt shifts of ecosystems. A few previous studies have shown that demographic noise -- arising from the probabilistic and discrete nature of birth and death processes…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-06-22 Sabiha Majumder , Ayan Das , Appilineni Kushal , Sumithra Sankaran , Vishwesha Guttal

We consider the rates of noise-induced switching between the stable states of dissipative dynamical systems with delay and also the rates of noise-induced extinction, where such systems model population dynamics. We study a class of systems…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-01-27 Ira B. Schwartz , Lora Billings , Thomas W. Carr , Mark Dykman

Two mathematical models of macroevolution are studied. These models have population dynamics at the species level, and mutations and extinction of species are also included. The population dynamics are updated by difference equations with…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-04-16 Yohsuke Murase , Takashi Shimada , Nobuyasu Ito , Per Arne Rikvold

Populations of competing biological species exhibit a fascinating interplay between the nonlinear dynamics of evolutionary selection forces and random fluctuations arising from the stochastic nature of the interactions. The processes…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-05-08 A. Dobrinevski , E. Frey

We study the effects of demographic stochasticity on the long-term dynamics of biological coevolution models of community assembly. The noise is induced in order to check the validity of deterministic population dynamics. While mutualistic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-04-16 Yohsuke Murase , Takashi Shimada , Nobuyasu Ito , Per Arne Rikvold

Isolated populations ultimately go extinct because of the intrinsic noise of elementary processes. In multi-population systems extinction of a population may occur via more than one route. We investigate this generic situation in a simple…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-03 Omer Gottesman , Baruch Meerson

We consider a stochastic population model where the intrinsic or demographic noise causes cycling between states before the population eventually goes extinct. A master equation approach coupled with a WKB (Wentzel-Kramers-Brillouin)…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-12-16 Garrett Nieddu , Lora Billings , Eric Forgoston

Sexually reproducing populations with small number of individuals may go extinct by stochastic fluctuations in sex determination, causing all their members to become male or female in a generation. In this work we calculate the time to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-10-24 David M. Schneider , Eduardo do Carmo , Yaneer Bar-Yam , Marcus A. M. de Aguiar

We study the role of the noise in the dynamics of two competing species. We consider generalized Lotka-Volterra equations in the presence of a multiplicative noise, which models the interaction between the species and the environment. The…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-24 D. Valenti , A. Fiasconaro , B. Spagnolo