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Methods for forecasting time series adhering to linear constraints have seen notable development in recent years, especially with the advent of forecast reconciliation. This paper extends forecast reconciliation to the open question of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-27 Daniele Girolimetto , Anastasios Panagiotelis , Tommaso Di Fonzo , Han Li

Reservoir computing (RC), a particular form of recurrent neural network, is under explosive development due to its exceptional efficacy and high performance in reconstruction or/and prediction of complex physical systems. However, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-10 Xing-Yue Duan , Xiong Ying , Si-Yang Leng , Jürgen Kurths , Wei Lin , Huan-Fei Ma

Statistical inverse learning aims at recovering an unknown function $f$ from randomly scattered and possibly noisy point evaluations of another function $g$, connected to $f$ via an ill-posed mathematical model. In this paper we blend…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-22 Tapio Helin

In this paper it is reconsidered the prediction problem in time series framework by using a new non-parametric approach. Through this reconsideration, the prediction is obtained by a weighted sum of past observed data. These weights are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-27 Pedro Cadahía , Jose Manuel Bravo Caro

A common problem in time series analysis is to predict dynamics with only scalar or partial observations of the underlying dynamical system. For data on a smooth compact manifold, Takens theorem proves a time delayed embedding of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-12 Charles D. Young , Michael D. Graham

Probabilistic forecasting of high dimensional multivariate time series is a notoriously challenging task, both in terms of computational burden and distribution modeling. Most previous work either makes simple distribution assumptions or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-27 Nam Nguyen , Brian Quanz

We focus on a multidimensional field with uncorrelated spectrum, and study the quality of the reconstructed signal when the field samples are irregularly spaced and affected by independent and identically distributed noise. More…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2009-11-13 A. Nordio , C-F. Chiasserini , E. Viterbo

We report a multiscale approach of broad applicability to stochastic reconstruction of multiphase materials, including porous ones. The approach devised uses an optimization method, such as the simulated annealing (SA) and the so-called…

Materials Science · Physics 2018-11-13 R. Piasecki , W. Olchawa , D. Frączek , R. Wiśniowski

An important theme in modern inverse problems is the reconstruction of time-dependent data from only finitely many measurements. To obtain satisfactory reconstruction results in this setting it is essential to strongly exploit temporal…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-03-14 Martin Holler , Alexander Schlüter , Benedikt Wirth

State-space models effectively model multivariate time series by updating over time a representation of the system state from which predictions are made. The state representation is usually a vector without any explicit structure.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Daniele Zambon , Andrea Cini , Cesare Alippi

We suggest an algorithm for determining the proper delay time and the minimum embedding dimension for Takens' delay-time embedding procedure. This method resorts to the rate of change of the spatial distribution of points on a reconstructed…

chao-dyn · Physics 2007-05-23 Jeong-No Lee , Kwang-Sup Soh

This paper addresses the challenge of reconstructing 3D indoor scenes from multi-view images. Many previous works have shown impressive reconstruction results on textured objects, but they still have difficulty in handling low-textured…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-05-19 Haoyu Guo , Sida Peng , Haotong Lin , Qianqian Wang , Guofeng Zhang , Hujun Bao , Xiaowei Zhou

I overview recent research advances in Bayesian state-space modeling of multivariate time series. A main focus is on the decouple/recouple concept that enables application of state-space models to increasingly large-scale data, applying to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-07 Mike West

Recovering the digital input of a time-discrete linear system from its (noisy) output is a significant challenge in the fields of data transmission, deconvolution, channel equalization, and inverse modeling. A variety of algorithms have…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-03 Sophie M. Fosson

This paper studies sequence modeling for prediction tasks with long range dependencies. We propose a new formulation for state space models (SSMs) based on learning linear dynamical systems with the spectral filtering algorithm (Hazan et…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-12 Naman Agarwal , Daniel Suo , Xinyi Chen , Elad Hazan

The identification of black-box nonlinear state-space models requires a flexible representation of the state and output equation. Artificial neural networks have proven to provide such a representation. However, as in many identification…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-29 Maarten Schoukens

A symbolic analysis of observed time series data requires making a discrete partition of a continuous state space containing observations of the dynamics. A particular kind of partition, called ``generating'', preserves all dynamical…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-10 Matthew B. Kennel , Michael Buhl

This paper studies how to find compact state embeddings from high-dimensional Markov state trajectories, where the transition kernel has a small intrinsic rank. In the spirit of diffusion map, we propose an efficient method for learning a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-29 Yifan Sun , Yaqi Duan , Hao Gong , Mengdi Wang

Based on information theory, we present a method to determine an optimal Markov approximation for modelling and prediction from time series data. The method finds a balance between minimal modelling errors by taking as much as possible…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2013-05-29 Detlef Holstein , Holger Kantz

In data science, vector autoregression (VAR) models are popular in modeling multivariate time series in the environmental sciences and other applications. However, these models are computationally complex with the number of parameters…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-20 Zhihao Hu , Shyam Ranganathan , Yang Shao , Xinwei Deng
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