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We study the trajectories followed by a particle subjected to weak noise when escaping from the domain of attraction of a stable fixed point. If detailed balance is absent, a _focus_ may occur along the most probable exit path, leading to a…

chao-dyn · Physics 2008-02-03 Robert S. Maier , Daniel L. Stein

When people pursue rewards in stochastic environments, they often match their choice frequencies to the observed target frequencies, even when this policy is demonstrably sub-optimal. We used a ``hide and seek'' task to evaluate this…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-11-11 Peter DiBerardino , Britt Anderson

Recently a general growth curve including the well known growth equations, such as Malthus, logistic, Bertallanfy, Gompertz, has been studied. We now propose two stochastic formulations of this growth equation. They are obtained starting…

We present a general geometrical approach to the problem of escape from a metastable state in the presence of noise. The accompanying analysis leads to a simple condition, based on the norm of the drift field, for determining whether…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2016-01-20 Daniele Pinna , Andrew D. Kent , Daniel L. Stein

We develop a provably efficient importance sampling scheme that estimates exit probabilities of solutions to small-noise stochastic reaction-diffusion equations from scaled neighborhoods of a stable equilibrium. The moderate deviation…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-24 Ioannis Gasteratos , Michael Salins , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

We use the mean exit time to quantify macroscopic dynamical behaviors of stochastic dynamical systems driven by tempered L\'evy fluctuations, which are solutions of nonlocal elliptic equations. Firstly, we construct a new numerical scheme…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-10-22 Yanjie Zhang , Xiao Wang , Jinqiao Duan

The study of first passage times for diffusing particles reaching target states is foundational in various practical applications, including diffusion-controlled reactions. In this work, we present a bi-scaling theory for the probability…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-03-21 Talia Baravi , David A. Kessler , Eli Barkai

Atmospheric models used for weather and climate prediction are traditionally formulated in a deterministic manner. In other words, given a particular state of the resolved scale variables, the most likely forcing from the sub-grid scale…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-16 Hannah M. Christensen , Salah Kouhen , Greta Miller , Raghul Parthipan

The present paper proposes a two-phase flow model that is able to account for two-scale kinematics and two-scale surface tension effects based on geometric variables at small scale. At large scale, the flow and the full geometry of the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2019-11-01 Pierre Cordesse , Samuel Kokh , Ruben Di Battista , Florence Drui , Marc Massot

Non-Gaussian noise influences many complex out-of-equilibrium systems on a wide range of scales such as quantum devices, active and living matter, and financial markets. Despite the ubiquitous nature of non-Gaussian noise, its effect on…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-09-01 Adrian Baule , Peter Sollich

This paper discusses possible approaches to the escape rate in infinite lattices of weakly coupled maps with uniformly expanding repeller. It is proved that computed-via-volume rates of spatially periodic approximations grow linearly with…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2010-07-26 Jean-Baptiste Bardet , Bastien Fernandez

A key feature of the classical Fluctuation Dissipation theorem is its ability to approximate the average response of a dynamical system to a sufficiently small external perturbation from an appropriate time correlation function of the…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2019-10-02 Rafail V. Abramov

In many dynamical systems there is a large separation of time scales between typical events and "rare" events which can be the cases of interest. Rare-event rates are quite difficult to compute numerically, but they are of considerable…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-19 David A. Adams , Leonard M. Sander , Robert M. Ziff

We propose generalization of escape rate from a metastable state for externally driven correlated noise processes in one dimension. In addition to the internal non-Markovian thermal fluctuations, the external correlated noise processes we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-11-10 Jyotipratim Ray Chaudhuri , Sudip Chattopadhyay , Suman Kumar Banik

Physical notions of stochastic resonance for potential diffusions in periodically changing double-well potentials such as the spectral power amplification have proved to be defective. They are not robust for the passage to their effective…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Samuel Herrmann , Peter Imkeller

Complex behavioral contagion in collective evasion of mobile animal groups can be predicted by reconstructing quantitative interaction networks. Based on the assumption of time-scale separation between a fast contagion process and a slower…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2024-08-12 Wenhan Wu , Xiaoping Zheng , Pawel Romanczuk

This paper studies high-dimensional curve time series with common stochastic trends. A dual functional factor model structure is adopted with a high-dimensional factor model for the observed curve time series and a low-dimensional factor…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-09-16 Degui Li , Yu-Ning Li , Peter C. B. Phillips

Based on a system-reservoir model, where the reservoir is driven by an external stationary, Gaussian noise with arbitrary decaying correlation function, we study the escape rate from a metastable state in the energy diffusion regime. For…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2009-11-11 Jyotipratim Ray Chaudhuri , Debashis Barik , Suman Kumar Banik

The long time dynamics of large particles trapped in two inhomogeneous turbulent shear flows is studied experimentally. Both flows present a common feature, a shear region that separates two colliding circulations, but with different…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2016-03-02 N Machicoane , M López-Caballero , L Fiabane , J-F Pinton , M Bourgoin , J Burguete , R Volk

In this paper we explore the life expectancy limits by based on the stochastic modeling of mortality and applying the first exit or hitting time theory of a stochastic process. The main assumption is that the health state or the "vitality",…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2011-01-11 Christos H Skiadas , Charilaos Skiadas
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