English
Related papers

Related papers: Competing risks within shock models

200 papers

The assumption of hazard rates being proportional in covariates is widely made in empirical research and extensive research has been done to develop tests of its validity. This paper does not contribute on this end. Instead, it gives new…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-15 Simon M. S. Lo , Ralf A. Wilke , Takeshi Emura

The modeling of cascading failure in power systems is difficult because of the many different mechanisms involved; no single model captures all of these mechanisms. Understanding the relative importance of these different mechanisms is an…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-11-17 Jiajia Song , Eduardo Cotilla-Sanchez , Goodarz Ghanavati , Paul D. H. Hines

Diffusion in a linear potential in the presence of position-dependent killing is used to mimic a default process. Different assumptions regarding transport coefficients, initial conditions, and elasticity of the killing measure lead to…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-30 Yuri A. Katz

In this paper, we propose a flexible cure rate model with frailty term in latent risk, which is obtained by incorporating a frailty term in risk function of latent competing causes. The number of competing causes of the event of interest…

Integrated cyber-physical systems (CPSs), such as the smart grid, are increasingly becoming the underpinning technology for major industries. A major concern regarding such systems are the seemingly unexpected large-scale failures, which…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-07-27 Yingrui Zhang , Osman Yagan

The failure of a system can result from the simultaneous effects of multiple causes, where assigning a specific cause may be inappropriate or unavailable. Examples include contributing causes of death in epidemiology and the aetiology of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-13 Kai Wang , Yuqin Mu , Shenyi Zhang , Zhengjun Zhang , Chengxiu Ling

We consider the problem of governing systemic risk in a banking system model. The banking system model consists in an initial value problem for a system of stochastic differential equations whose dependent variables are the log-monetary…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-12-19 Lorella Fatone , Francesca Mariani

Real systems are usually composed by units or nodes whose activity can be interrupted and restored intermittently due to complex interactions not only with the environment, but also with the same system. Majdand\v{z}i\'c $et\;al.$ [Nature…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-09-20 L. D. Valdez , M. A. Di Muro , L. A. Braunstein

In this paper, we propose a dynamical model to capture cascading failures among interconnected organizations in the global financial system. Failures can take the form of bankruptcies, defaults, and other insolvencies. The network that…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-13 Leonardo Stella , Dario Bauso , Franco Blanchini , Patrizio Colaneri

A trivariate Weibull survival model using competing risks concept is applied on studying recidivism of committing 3 types of crimes - sex, violent and others. The assumption of independence of time to commit each type of crimes is relaxed…

Applications · Statistics 2008-10-01 Jenq-Daw Lee , Cheng K. Lee

Many researchers have investigated first hitting times as models for survival data. First hitting times arise naturally in many types of stochastic processes, ranging from Wiener processes to Markov chains. In a survival context, the state…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-09-29 Mei-Ling Ting Lee , G. A. Whitmore

We consider a bivariate Cramer-Lundberg-type risk reserve process with the special feature that each insurance company agrees to cover the deficit of the other. It is assumed that the capital transfers between the companies are…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-05 Jevgenijs Ivanovs , Onno Boxma

Certain systems with slow driving and avalanche-like dissipation events are naturally close to a critical point when the ratio of two energy scales is large. The first energy scale is the threshold above which an avalanche is triggered, the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-25 Barbara Drossel

We present an extension of the continuous damage fiber bundle model to describe the gradual degradation of highly heterogeneous materials under an increasing external load. Breaking of a fiber in the model is preceded by a sequence of…

Materials Science · Physics 2009-11-13 F. Raischel , F. Kun , H. J. Herrmann

The present study supposes a single unit and investigates cumulative damage and catastrophic failure models for the unit, in situations where the interarrival times between the shocks, and the magnitudes of the shocks, involve two different…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-29 Hiroaki Mohri , Jun-ichi Takeshita

We set up a structural model to study credit risk for a portfolio containing several or many credit contracts. The model is based on a jump--diffusion process for the risk factors, i.e. for the company assets. We also include correlations…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Rudi Schäfer , Markus Sjölin , Andreas Sundin , Michal Wolanski , Thomas Guhr

A dynamic model for failures in biological organisms is proposed and studied both analytically and numerically. Each cell in the organism becomes dead under sufficiently strong stress, and is then allowed to be healed with some probability.…

Cell Behavior · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-11 J. Choi , M. Y. Choi , B. -G. Yoon

We consider a bivariate first hitting-time model in which durations are the crossing times of dependent compound Poisson processes with fixed thresholds. The identifiability of the model is discussed, and likelihood estimators of the model…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-14 Mikael Escobar-Bach , Alexandre Popier , Malo Sahin

Banks routinely use neural networks to make decisions. While these models offer higher accuracy, they are susceptible to adversarial attacks, a risk often overlooked in the context of event sequences, particularly sequences of financial…

Survival analysis deals with modeling the time until an event occurs, and accurate probability estimates are crucial for decision-making, particularly in the competing-risks setting where multiple events are possible. While recent work has…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-03 Julie Alberge , Tristan Haugomat , Gaël Varoquaux , Judith Abécassis