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This paper presents a study of the large-sample behavior of the posterior distribution of a structural parameter which is partially identified by moment inequalities. The posterior density is derived based on the limited information…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-01-13 Yuan Liao , Wenxin Jiang

We sample the posterior probability distributions of the low-energy constants (LECs) in $\Delta$-full chiral effective field theory ($\chi$EFT) up to third order. We use eigenvector continuation for fast and accurate emulation of the…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2024-07-29 Isak Svensson , Andreas Ekström , Christian Forssén

The development of systematic effective field theories (EFTs) for nuclear forces and advances in solving the nuclear many-body problem have greatly improved our understanding of dense nuclear matter and the structure of finite nuclei. For…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2025-09-30 Brendan T. Reed , Matthias Heinz , Pierre Arthuis , Achim Schwenk , Ingo Tews

We consider a two-mode bosonic state with fixed photon number $n \in \mathbb{N}$, whose upper and lower modes pick up a phase $\phi$ and $-\phi$ respectively. We compute the optimal Fock coefficients of the input state, such that the mean…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-10-30 Boyu Zhou , Saikat Guha , Christos N. Gagatsos

In this paper we consider the estimation of unknown parameters in Bayesian inverse problems. In most cases of practical interest, there are several barriers to performing such estimation, This includes a numerical approximation of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-07 Neil K. Chada , Ajay Jasra , Mohamed Maama , Raul Tempone

This work presents a methodology to estimate tire parameters and their uncertainty using a Bayesian optimization approach. The literature mainly considers the estimation of tire parameters but lacks an evaluation of the parameter…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-04-30 Sven Goblirsch , Benedikt Ruhland , Johannes Betz , Markus Lienkamp

We develop a novel data-driven approach to the inverse problem of classical statistical mechanics: given experimental data on the collective motion of a classical many-body system, how does one characterise the free energy landscape of that…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-03-01 Peter Yatsyshin , Serafim Kalliadasis , Andrew B. Duncan

Rigorously quantifying the information in high contrast imaging data is important for informing follow-up strategies to confirm the substellar nature of a point source, constraining theoretical models of planet-disk interactions, and…

Large scale atomistic simulations with suitable interatomic potentials are widely employed by scientists or engineers of different areas. Quick generation of high-quality interatomic potentials is of urgent need under present circumstances,…

Materials Science · Physics 2016-11-23 Kun Wang , Wenjun Zhu , Shifang Xiao , Jun Chen , Wangyu Hu

We introduce a computational efficient data-driven framework suitable for quantifying the uncertainty in physical parameters and model formulation of computer models, represented by differential equations. We construct physics-informed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-01 Michail Spitieris , Ingelin Steinsland

Variational Bayesian Inference is a popular methodology for approximating posterior distributions over Bayesian neural network weights. Recent work developing this class of methods has explored ever richer parameterizations of the…

The number of low-energy constants (LECs) in chiral effective field theory ($\chi$EFT) grows rapidly with increasing chiral order, necessitating the use of Markov chain Monte Carlo techniques for sampling their posterior probability density…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2024-07-29 Isak Svensson , Andreas Ekström , Christian Forssén

Recently, sophisticated deep learning-based approaches have been developed for generating efficient initial guesses to accelerate the convergence of density functional theory (DFT) calculations. While the actual initial guesses are often…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2026-03-24 Zhe Liu , Yuyan Ni , Zhichen Pu , Qiming Sun , Siyuan Liu , Wen Yan

Bayesian optimal experimental design (OED) seeks to conduct the most informative experiment under budget constraints to update the prior knowledge of a system to its posterior from the experimental data in a Bayesian framework. Such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-29 Rafael Orozco , Felix J. Herrmann , Peng Chen

We study Bayesian inference methods for solving linear inverse problems, focusing on hierarchical formulations where the prior or the likelihood function depend on unspecified hyperparameters. In practice, these hyperparameters are often…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-08-01 Qingping Zhou , Wenqing Liu , Jinglai Li , Youssef M. Marzouk

Statistical models can involve implicitly defined quantities, such as solutions to nonlinear ordinary differential equations (ODEs), that unavoidably need to be numerically approximated in order to evaluate the model. The approximation…

Computation · Statistics 2024-09-16 Juho Timonen , Nikolas Siccha , Ben Bales , Harri Lähdesmäki , Aki Vehtari

In this letter we propose the use of physics techniques for entropy determination on constrained parameter optimization problems. The main feature of such techniques, the construction of an unbiased walk on energy space, suggests their use…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 A. R. Lima , M. Argollo de Menezes

It is shown that a consistent application of Bayesian updating from a prior probability density to a posterior using evidence in the form of expectation constraints leads to exactly the same results as the application of the maximum entropy…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-05-02 Sergio Davis

I review the main features of the effective field theory (EFT) behind scenarios of dynamical electroweak symmetry breaking, placing particular emphasis on the systematics and the parallels that can be drawn with Chiral Perturbation Theory.…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2015-12-23 Oscar Cata

A generic algorithm for the extraction of probabilistic (Bayesian) information about model parameters from data is presented. The algorithm propagates an ensemble of particles in the product space of model parameters and outputs. Each…

Computation · Statistics 2015-09-18 Carlo Albert
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