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A probability model is presented for the dynamics of mutation-selection balance in a haploid infinite-population infinite-sites setting sufficiently general to cover mutation-driven changes in full age-specific demographic schedules. The…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 David Steinsaltz , Steven N. Evans , Kenneth W. Wachter

Lifespan distributions of populations of quite diverse species such as humans and yeast seem to surprisingly well follow the same empirical Gompertz-Makeham law, which basically predicts an exponential increase of mortality rate with age.…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2011-10-18 André Grüning , Aasis Vinayak PG

The Penna model is a strategy to simulate the genetic dynamics of age-structured populations, in which the individuals genomes are represented by bit-strings. It provides a simple metaphor for the evolutionary process in terms of the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-11 Veit Schwämmle , Suzana M. de Oliveira

This paper aims to develop practical applications of the model for the highly technical measure-valued populations developed by the authors in \cite{FanEtal20}. We consider the problem of estimation of parameters in the general age and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-30 Jie Yen Fan , Kais Hamza , Fima C. Klebaner , Ziwen Zhong

The Gompertz law of mortality quantitatively describes the mortality rate of humans and almost all multicellular animals. However, its underlying kinetic mechanism is unclear. The Gompertz law cannot explain the effect of temperature on…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-02-04 Xiaoping Liu

Although proportional hazard rate model is a very popular model to analyze failure time data, sometimes it becomes important to study the additive hazard rate model. Again, sometimes the concept of the hazard rate function is abstract, in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-30 Suchismita Das , Asok K. Nanda

In this paper, we advance the network theory of aging and mortality by developing a causal mathematical model for the mortality rate. First, we show that in large networks, where health deficits accumulate at nodes representing health…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-12-18 Valentin Flietner , Bernd Heidergott , Frank den Hollander , Ines Lindner , Azadeh Parvaneh , Holger Strulik

Aging is thought to be a consequence of intrinsic breakdowns in how genetic information is processed. But mounting experimental evidence suggests that aging can be slowed. To help resolve this mystery, I derive a mortality equation which…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-09-01 Thomas Fink

We present some analytic results for the steady states of the Penna model of sen escence, generalised to allow genetically identical individuals to die at differ ent ages via an arbitrary survival function. Modelling this with a Fermi…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-07 J. B. Coe , Y. Mao , M. E. Cates

We use a simple model for biological ageing to study the mortality of the population, obtaining a good agreement with the Gompertz law. We also simulate the same model on a square lattice, considering different strategies of parental care.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 A. O. Sousa , S. Moss de Oliveira , D. Stauffer

We represent a process of learning by using bit strings, where 1-bits represent the knowledge acquired by individuals. Two ways of learning are considered: individual learning by trial-and-error; and social learning by copying knowledge…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Armando Ticona Bustillos , Paulo Murilo C. de Oliveira

Although species longevity is subject to a diverse range of selective forces, the mortality curves of a wide variety of organisms are rather similar. We argue that aging and its universal characteristics may have evolved by means of a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-02-01 Dervis Can Vural , Greg Morrison , L. Mahadevan

We are interested in modelling Darwinian evolution, resulting from the interplay of phenotypic variation and natural selection through ecological interactions. Our models are rooted in the microscopic, stochastic description of a population…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Nicolas Champagnat , Régis Ferrière , Sylvie Méléard

We have modified the sexual Penna model by introducing the fluctuating environment and fluctuations representing physiological functions of individuals. Additionally, we have introduced the mother care corresponding to the protection…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2008-11-04 Przemyslaw Biecek , Katarzyna Bonkowska , Stanislaw Cebrat

Understanding the relationship between a populations probability of extinction and its carrying capacity frames conservation status assessments and guides efforts to understand and mitigate the ongoing biodiversity crisis. Despite this, our…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-06-09 Thomas S Ball , Ben Balmford , Andrew Balmford , Daniele Rinaldo , Piero Visconti , Rhys Green

Aging, as defined in terms of the slope of the probability of death versus time (hazard curve), is a generic phenomenon observed in nearly all complex systems. Theoretical models of aging predict hazard curves that monotonically increase in…

Biological Physics · Physics 2023-12-20 Cagatay Eskin , Dervis C. Vural

We twice modify the Penna model for biological ageing. First we introduce back (good) mutations and a memory for them into the model. It allows us to observe an improvement of the species fitness over long time scales as well as punctuated…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-24 S. Moss de Oliveira , D. Stauffer , P. M. C de Oliveira , J. S. Sa Martins

Population genetics struggles to model extinction; standard models track the relative rather than absolute fitness of genotypes, while the exceptions describe only the short-term transition from imminent doom to evolutionary rescue. But…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-02-20 Jason Bertram , Kevin Gomez , Joanna Masel

We describe the simulation method of modelling the population evolution using Monte Carlo based on the Penna model. Individuals in the populations are represented by their diploid genomes. Genes expressed after the minimum reproduction age…

Genomics · Quantitative Biology 2009-01-13 Agnieszka Laszkiewicz , Przemyslaw Biecek , Katarzyna Bonkowska , Stanislaw Cebrat

We consider an exponentially growing population of cells undergoing mutations and ask about the effect of reproductive fluctuations (genetic drift) on its long-term evolution. We combine first step analysis with the stochastic dynamics of a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-03-14 Arman Angaji , Christoph Velling , Johannes Berg
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