Related papers: Tail asymptotics for a random sign Lindley recursi…
We establish sharp tail asymptotics for component-wise extreme values of bivariate Gaussian random vectors with arbitrary correlation between the components. We consider two scaling regimes for the tail event in which we demonstrate the…
We study the effect of observing a stationary process at irregular time points via a renewal process. We establish a sharp difference in the asymptotic behaviour of the self-normalized sample mean of the observed process depending on the…
Assume that claims in a portfolio of insurance contracts are described by independent and identically distributed random variables with regularly varying tails and occur according to a near mixed Poisson process. We provide a collection of…
We consider a class of multiplicative processes which, added with stochastic reset events, give origin to stationary distributions with power-law tails -- ubiquitous in the statistics of social, economic, and ecological systems. Our main…
We study a queueing system with Erlang arrivals with $k$ phases and Erlang service with $m$ phases. Transition rates among phases vary periodically with time. For these systems, we derive the asymptotic periodic distribution of the level…
We introduce a new type of estimator for the spectral tail process of a regularly varying time series. The approach is based on a characterizing invariance property of the spectral tail process, which is incorporated into the new estimator…
If the step distribution in a renewal process has finite mean and regularly varying tail with index -{\alpha}, 1<{\alpha}<2, the first two terms in the asymptotic expansion of the renewal function have been known for many years. Here we…
In this paper, we consider an $N$-queue overloaded polling network attended by a single cyclically roving server. Upon the completion of his service, a customer is either routed to another queue or leaves the system. All the switches are…
We demonstrate the phenomenon of stochastic resonance (SR) for discrete-time dynamical systems. We investigate various systems that are not necessarily bistable, but do have two well defined states, switching between which is aided by…
We provide a new extension of Breiman's Theorem on computing tail probabilities of a product of random variables to a multivariate setting. In particular, we give a complete characterization of regular variation on cones in $[0,\infty)^d$…
This paper is concerned with asymptotic behavior of a variety of functionals of increments of continuous semimartingales. Sampling times are assumed to follow a rather general discretization scheme. If an underlying semimartingale is…
This article introduces the class of periodic trawl processes, which are continuous-time, infinitely divisible, stationary stochastic processes, that allow for periodicity and flexible forms of their serial correlation, including both…
Based on suitable left-truncated or censored data, two flexible classes of $M$-estimations of Weibull tail coefficient are proposed with two additional parameters bounding the impact of extreme contamination. Asymptotic normality with…
Motivated by applications in computing and telecommunication systems, we investigate the problem of estimating p-quantile of steady-state sojourn times in a single-server multi-class queueing system with non-preemptive priorities for p…
We consider risk-neutral returns and show how their tail asymptotics translate directly to asymptotics of the implied volatility smile, thereby sharpening Roger Lee's celebrated moment formula. The theory of regular variation provides the…
We consider a continuous-time random walk which is the generalization, by means of the introduction of waiting periods on sites, of the one-dimensional nonhomogeneous random walk with a position-dependent drift known in the mathematical…
We reconsider a classical, well-studied problem from applied probability. This is the max-sum equivalence of randomly weighted sums, and the originality is because we manage to include interdependence among the primary random variables, as…
We consider the equation R(n)=Q(n)+M(n) R(n-1), with random non-i.i.d. coefficients (Q(n),M(n)), and show that the distribution tails of the stationary solution to this equation are regularly varying at infinity.
This paper provides a detailed description for the asymptotics of exponential functionals of random walks with light/heavy tails. We give the convergence rate based on the key observation that the asymptotics depends on the sample paths…
Based on the tick-by-tick stock prices from the German and American stock markets, we study the statistical properties of the distribution of the individual stocks and the index returns in highly collective and noisy intervals of trading,…