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Optimal prediction (OP) methods compensate for a lack of resolution in the numerical solution of complex problems through the use of an invariant measure as a prior measure in the Bayesian sense. In first-order OP, unresolved information is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-20 John Bell , Alexandre J. Chorin , William Crutchfield

Almost all neural computations involve making predictions. Whether an organism is trying to catch prey, avoid predators, or simply move through a complex environment, the data it collects through its senses can guide its actions only to the…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2015-07-02 Jared Salisbury , Stephanie E. Palmer

This paper presents a method to approximately solve stochastic optimal control problems in which the cost function and the system dynamics are polynomial. For stochastic systems with polynomial dynamics, the moments of the state can be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-02-24 Andrew Lamperski , Khem Raj Ghusinga , Abhyudai Singh

Many real-world decision processes are modeled by optimization problems whose defining parameters are unknown and must be inferred from observable data. The Predict-Then-Optimize framework uses machine learning models to predict unknown…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-23 James Kotary , Vincenzo Di Vito , Jacob Christopher , Pascal Van Hentenryck , Ferdinando Fioretto

The optimal control of a mechanical system is of crucial importance in many realms. Typical examples are the determination of a time-minimal path in vehicle dynamics, a minimal energy trajectory in space mission design, or optimal motion…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2008-10-09 S. Ober-Bloebaum , O. Junge , J. E. Marsden

The predict+optimize problem combines machine learning ofproblem coefficients with a combinatorial optimization prob-lem that uses the predicted coefficients. While this problemcan be solved in two separate stages, it is better to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-07 Ali Ugur Guler , Emir Demirovic , Jeffrey Chan , James Bailey , Christopher Leckie , Peter J. Stuckey

In the theory of dynamic programming, an optimal policy is a policy whose lifetime value dominates that of all other policies from every possible initial condition in the state space. This raises a natural question: when does optimality…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-13 John Stachurski , Jingni Yang , Ziyue Yang

In this work we study the interplay between the dynamics of a model of diffusion governed by a mechanism of imitation and its underlying structure. The dynamics of the model can be quantified by a macroscopic observable which permits the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Mateu Llas , Pablo M. Gleiser , Albert Diaz-Guilera , Conrad J. Perez

We present the viewpoint that optimization problems encountered in machine learning can often be interpreted as minimizing a convex functional over a function space, but with a non-convex constraint set introduced by model parameterization.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-21 Yongqiang Cai , Qianxiao Li , Zuowei Shen

In this technical note, we deal with a spectrum approximation problem arising in THREE-like multivariate spectral estimation approaches. The solution to the problem minimizes a suitable divergence index with respect to an a priori spectral…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-06-27 Mattia Zorzi

We study the numerical solution of nonlinear partially observed optimal stopping problems. The system state is taken to be a multi-dimensional diffusion and drives the drift of the observation process, which is another multi-dimensional…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2010-01-20 Mike Ludkovski

Optimization is finding the best solution, which mathematically amounts to locating the global minimum of some cost function. Optimization is traditionally automated with digital or quantum computers, each having their limitations and none…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-11-16 Natalia B. Janson , Christopher J. Marsden

Accurate derivatives are important for efficiently locally traversing and converging in quantum optimization landscapes. By deriving analytically exact control derivatives (gradient and Hessian) for unitary control tasks, we show here that…

Contextual stochastic optimization is an advanced methodology to model uncertainty in the presence of contextual information during decision planning processes. Although classical methodologies focus on minimizing the expectation of a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-24 Man Yiu Tsang , Tony Sit , Hoi Ying Wong

High-dimensional nonlinear systems pose considerable challenges for modeling and control across many domains, from fluid mechanics to advanced robotics. Such systems are typically approximated with reduced-order models, which often rely on…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-05 Hugo Buurmeijer , Luis A. Pabon , John Irvin Alora , Roshan S. Kaundinya , George Haller , Marco Pavone

Approximate dynamic programming has been investigated and used as a method to approximately solve optimal regulation problems. However, the extension of this technique to optimal tracking problems for continuous time nonlinear systems has…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-07-25 Rushikesh Kamalapurkar , Huyen Dinh , Shubhendu Bhasin , Warren Dixon

This paper studies optimal control under the average-reward/cost criterion for deterministic linear systems. We derive the value function and optimal policy, and propose an approximate solution using Model Predictive Control to enable…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Duc Cuong Nguyen

Bayesian optimal design is considered for experiments where the response distribution depends on the solution to a system of non-linear ordinary differential equations. The motivation is an experiment to estimate parameters in the equations…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-02 Antony Overstall , David Woods , Ben Parker

We study the problem of optimal subset selection from a set of correlated random variables. In particular, we consider the associated combinatorial optimization problem of maximizing the determinant of a symmetric positive definite matrix…

Computation · Statistics 2019-07-12 Yu Wang , Nhu D. Le , James V. Zidek

Model Predictive Control is an extremely effective control method for systems with input and state constraints. Model Predictive Control performance heavily depends on the accuracy of the open-loop prediction. For systems with uncertainty…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-27 Francesco Micheli , John Lygeros