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Probabilistic circuits (PCs) have gained prominence in recent years as a versatile framework for discussing probabilistic models that support tractable queries and are yet expressive enough to model complex probability distributions.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-12 Pedro Zuidberg Dos Martires

A common approach to aggregate classification estimates in an ensemble of decision trees is to either use voting or to average the probabilities for each class. The latter takes uncertainty into account, but not the reliability of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-17 Florian Busch , Moritz Kulessa , Eneldo Loza Mencía , Hendrik Blockeel

By discussing several examples, the theory of generalized functional models is shown to be very natural for modeling some situations of reasoning under uncertainty. A generalized functional model is a pair (f, P) where f is a function…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-08 Paul-Andre Monney

A finite dimensional quantum system for which the quantum chaos conjecture applies has eigenstates, which show the same statistical properties than the column vectors of random orthogonal or unitary matrices. Here, we consider the different…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2017-10-05 L. Alonso , T. Gorin

In finite probability theory, events are subsets of the outcome set. Subsets can be represented by 1-dimensional column vectors. By extending the representation of events to two dimensional matrices, we can introduce "superposition events."…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-06-18 David Ellerman

Non-Newtonian calculus naturally unifies various ideas that have occurred over the years in the field of generalized thermostatistics, or in the borderland between classical and quantum information theory. The formalism, being very general,…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-12-09 Marek Czachor

This article concerns a class of generalized linear mixed models for clustered data, where the random effects are mapped uniquely onto the grouping structure and are independent between groups. We derive necessary and sufficient conditions…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-20 Jarod Y. L. Lee , Peter J. Green , Louise M. Ryan

We study the problem of data integration from sources that contain probabilistic uncertain information. Data is modeled by possible-worlds with probability distribution, compactly represented in the probabilistic relation model. Integration…

Databases · Computer Science 2016-07-20 Fereidoon Sadri , Gayatri Tallur

In the paper is discussed complete probabilistic description of quantum systems with application to multiqubit quantum computations. In simplest case it is a set of probabilities of transitions to some fixed set of states. The probabilities…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Alexander Yu. Vlasov

Uncertainty quantification requires efficient summarization of high- or even infinite-dimensional (i.e., non-parametric) distributions based on, e.g., suitable point estimates (modes) for posterior distributions arising from model-specific…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-10 Christian Clason , Tapio Helin , Remo Kretschmann , Petteri Piiroinen

A typical computational geometry problem begins: Consider a set P of n points in R^d. However, many applications today work with input that is not precisely known, for example when the data is sensed and has some known error model. What if…

Computational Geometry · Computer Science 2008-12-17 Maarten Loffler , Jeff M. Phillips

Much of uncertainty quantification to date has focused on determining the effect of variables modeled probabilistically, and with a known distribution, on some physical or engineering system. We develop methods to obtain information on the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Kamaljit Chowdhary , Paul Dupuis

There are two reasons why uncertainty may not be adequately described by Probability Theory. The first one is due to unique or nearly-unique events, that either never realized or occurred too seldom for frequencies to be reliably measured.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-03-17 Florian Ellsaesser , Guido Fioretti , Gail E. James

In this paper, we define and discuss $\mathcal{R}(p,q)$- deformations of basic univariate discrete distributions of the probability theory. We mainly focus on binomial, Euler, P\'olya and inverse P\'olya distributions. We discuss relevant…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-29 Mahouton Norbert Hounkonnou , Fridolin Melong

We revisit Zadeh's notion of "evidence of the second kind" and show that it provides the foundation for a general theory of epistemic random fuzzy sets, which generalizes both the Dempster-Shafer theory of belief functions and possibility…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-02-17 Thierry Denoeux

The celebrated union-closed conjecture is concerned with the cardinalities of various subsets of the Boolean $d$-cube. The cardinality of such a set is equivalent, up to a constant, to its measure under the uniform distribution, so we can…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2025-11-05 Gabriel Gendler

Probability measures by themselves, are known to be inappropriate for modeling the dynamics of plain belief and their excessively strong measurability constraints make them unsuitable for some representational tasks, e.g. in the context of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Emil Weydert

Over time, there have hen refinements in the way that probability distributions are used for representing beliefs. Models which rely on single probability distributions depict a complete ordering among the propositions of interest, yet…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Paul Snow

Tasks such as social network analysis, human behavior recognition, or modeling biochemical reactions, can be solved elegantly by using the probabilistic inference framework. However, standard probabilistic inference algorithms work at a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-12-11 Stefan Lüdtke , Max Schröder , Frank Krüger , Sebastian Bader , Thomas Kirste

Deep neural networks (NNs) are powerful black box predictors that have recently achieved impressive performance on a wide spectrum of tasks. Quantifying predictive uncertainty in NNs is a challenging and yet unsolved problem. Bayesian NNs,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-07 Balaji Lakshminarayanan , Alexander Pritzel , Charles Blundell