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Decisions are often based on imprecise, uncertain or vague information. Likewise, the consequences of an action are often equally unpredictable, thus putting the decision maker into a twofold jeopardy. Assuming that the effects of an action…

General Economics · Economics 2022-05-03 Stefan Rass , Sandra König , Stefan Schauer

We consider stochastic growth models for populations organized in colonies and subject to uniform catastrophes. To assess population viability, we analyze scenarios in which individuals adopt dispersion strategies after catastrophic events.…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-09 Joan Amaya , Valdivino V. Junior , Fábio P. Machado , Alejandro Roldán-Correa

Resilience is a rehashed concept in natural hazard management - resilience of cities to earthquakes, to floods, to fire, etc. In a word, a system is said to be resilient if there exists a strategy that can drive the system state back to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-02-05 Michel De Lara

We consider a class of multiplicative processes which, added with stochastic reset events, give origin to stationary distributions with power-law tails -- ubiquitous in the statistics of social, economic, and ecological systems. Our main…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-26 Damián H. Zanette , Susanna Manrubia

The FKG theorem says that the POSITIVE LATTICE CONDITION, an easily checkable hypothesis which holds for many natural families of events, implies POSITIVE ASSOCIATION, a very useful property. Thus there is a natural and useful theory of…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Robin Pemantle

Dynamical systems in nature exhibit selfsimilar fractal fluctuations and the corresponding power spectra follow inverse power law form signifying long-range space-time correlations identified as self-organized criticality. The physics of…

General Physics · Physics 2008-05-23 A. M. Selvam

A phenomenological theory of growth of the population of humankind is proposed. The theory based on the assumption about a multifractal nature of the set of number of people in temporal axis and contains control parameters. In particular…

Popular Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 L. Ya. Kobelev , L. L. Nugaeva

The regularized theories are non-local at the scale of the cutoff, leading so to the usual difficulties of non-local theories. In this work the conservation laws and causality are investigated for classical field theories with multi-cluster…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2018-03-14 Janos Polonyi

It is argued that the $x-y$ cancellation model (XYCM) is a good proxy for discussions of finetuned cancellations in physical theories. XYCM is then analyzed from a statistical perspective, where it is argued that a finetuned point in the…

History and Philosophy of Physics · Physics 2019-05-01 James D. Wells

Resilience is a rehashed concept in natural hazard management - resilience of cities to earthquakes, to floods, to fire, etc. In a word, a system is said to be resilient if there exists a strategy that can drive the system state back to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-01-17 Michel De Lara

Laymen and sometimes even physicists think of natural sciences, in particular of theoretical and mathematical physics often as subjects, which unfold according to an intrinsic logical pattern, with the limitations being set only by the…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2009-10-28 B. Schroer

In this article, I would like to express some of my views on the nature of turbulence. These views are mainly drawn from the author's recent results on chaos in partial differential equations \cite{Li04}. Fluid dynamicists believe that…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Y. Charles Li

In the world of modern financial theory, portfolio construction has traditionally operated under at least one of two central assumptions: the constraints are derived from a utility function and/or the multivariate probability distribution…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-19 Donald Geman , Hélyette Geman , Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Catastrophes of all kinds can be roughly defined as short duration-large amplitude events following and followed by long periods of "ripening". Major earthquakes surely belong to the class of 'catastrophic' events. Because of the space-time…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-04 Randall D. Peters , Martine Le Berre , Yves Pomeau

Dynamical Systems theory generally deals with fixed point iterations of continuous functions. Computation by Turing machine although is a fixed point iteration but is not continuous. This specific category of fixed point iterations can only…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2014-10-31 Nabarun Mondal , Partha P. Ghosh

Earthquakes rank among the most destructive manifestations of the Earth's dynamics. Can they be predicted? This is often the first question students ask. To answer that right away: no, at present it is not possible to anticipate the date,…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-01-05 M. Y. Thomas , H. S. Bhat

We consider a simple control problem in which the underlying dynamics depend on a parameter that is unknown and must be learned. We exhibit a control strategy which is optimal to within a multiplicative constant. While most authors find…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-09-15 Jacob Carruth , Maximilian F. Eggl , Charles Fefferman , Clarence W. Rowley , Melanie Weber

Understanding human dynamics is of major scientific and practical importance and can be increasingly addressed in a quantitative fashion thanks to electronic records capturing various human activity patterns. The authors of Ref. [1] revisit…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 A. -L. Barabasi , K. -I. Goh , A. Vazquez

Random population dynamics with catastrophes (events pertaining to possible elimination of a large portion of the population) has a long history in the mathematical literature. In this paper we study an ergodic model for random population…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-13 Iddo Ben-Ari , Alexander Roitershtein , Rinaldo B. Schinazi