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We present novel bounds for estimating discrete probability distributions under the $\ell_\infty$ norm. These are nearly optimal in various precise senses, including a kind of instance-optimality. Our data-dependent convergence guarantees…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-14 Aryeh Kontorovich , Amichai Painsky

We obtain upper and lower Gaussian-type bounds on the density of each component $Y^i_t$ of the solution $Y_t$ to a multidimensional non-Markovian backward SDE. Our approach is based on the Nourdin-Viens formula and a stochastic version of…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-09 Roman Chertovskih , Evelina Shamarova

We study the problem of sampling from a target probability density function in frameworks where parallel evaluations of the log-density gradient are feasible. Focusing on smooth and strongly log-concave densities, we revisit the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-09 Lu Yu , Arnak Dalalyan

In this paper, we provide upper bounds on the d2 distance between a large class of functionals of a multivariate compound Hawkes process and a given Gaussian vector. This is proven using Malliavin's calculus defined on an underlying Poisson…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-17 Mahmoud Khabou

We solve the problem of estimating the distribution of presumed i.i.d. observations for the total variation loss. Our approach is based on density models and is versatile enough to cope with many different ones, including some density…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-05 Y. Baraud , H. Halconruy , G. Maillard

We present a new Bayesian methodology to learn the unknown material density of a given sample by inverting its two-dimensional images that are taken with a Scanning Electron Microscope. An image results from a sequence of projections of the…

Applications · Statistics 2014-03-06 Dalia Chakrabarty , Fabio Rigat , Nare Gabrielyan , Richard Beanland , Shashi Paul

Motivated by problems in high-dimensional statistics such as mixture modeling for classification and clustering, we consider the behavior of radial densities as the dimension increases. We establish a form of concentration of measure, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-13 Ery Arias-Castro , Xiao Pu

In this work we show that rough stochastic differential equations (RSDEs), as introduced by Friz, Hocquet, and L\^e (2021), are Malliavin differentiable. We use this to prove existence of a density when the diffusion coefficients satisfies…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-20 Fabio Bugini , Michele Coghi , Torstein Nilssen

Deep learning offers promising new ways to accurately model aleatoric uncertainty in robotic state estimation systems, particularly when the uncertainty distributions do not conform to traditional assumptions of being fixed and Gaussian. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-28 Aastha Acharya , Caleb Lee , Marissa D'Alonzo , Jared Shamwell , Nisar R. Ahmed , Rebecca Russell

Simulating a Gaussian process requires sampling from a high-dimensional Gaussian distribution, which scales cubically with the number of sample locations. Spectral methods address this challenge by exploiting the Fourier representation,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-27 Arsalan Jawaid , Abdullah Karatas , Jörg Seewig

This paper considers the problem of computing Bayesian estimates of both states and model parameters for nonlinear state-space models. Generally, this problem does not have a tractable solution and approximations must be utilised. In this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-15 Jarrad Courts , Johannes Hendriks , Adrian Wills , Thomas Schön , Brett Ninness

Malliavin Calculus is about Sobolev-type regularity of functionals on Wiener space, the main example being the Ito map obtained by solving stochastic differential equations. Rough path analysis is about strong regularity of solution to…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-11-12 Thomas Cass , Peter Friz , Nicolas Victoir

By using the Malliavin calculus and solving a control problem, Bismut type derivative formulae are established for a class of degenerate diffusion semigroups with non-linear drifts. As applications, explicit gradient estimates and Harnack…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-03-13 Feng-Yu Wang , Xi-Cheng Zhang

In this paper, we consider the well known problem of estimating a density function under qualitative assumptions. More precisely, we estimate monotone non increasing densities in a Bayesian setting and derive concentration rate for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-20 Jean-Bernard Salomond

We investigate an example of noise-induced stabilization in the plane that was also considered in (Gawedzki, Herzog, Wehr 2010) and (Birrell, Herzog, Wehr 2011). We show that despite the deterministic system not being globally stable, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-02 Avanti Athreya , Tiffany Kolba , Jonathan C. Mattingly

In generative modelling and stochastic optimal control, a central computational task is to modify a reference diffusion process to maximise a given terminal-time reward. Most existing methods require this reward to be differentiable, using…

This paper establishes sharp dimension-free concentration and expectation bounds for the deviation of a sample cross-covariance matrix from its mean. For sub-Gaussian random vectors, we prove a high-probability operator-norm bound governed…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-19 Jiaheng Chen , Daniel Sanz-Alonso

In this paper, we focus on the existence of the density for the law of the solutions to parabolic stochastic partial differential equations with two reflecting walls. The main tool is Malliavin calculus.

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-19 Wen Yue

In this paper, we study a method to sample from a target distribution $\pi$ over $\mathbb{R}^d$ having a positive density with respect to the Lebesgue measure, known up to a normalisation factor. This method is based on the Euler…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-20 Alain Durmus , Eric Moulines

The objective of this paper is to study the Gibbs sampling for computing the mean of observable in very high dimension - a powerful Markov chain Monte Carlo method. Under the Dobrushin's uniqueness condition, we establish some explicit and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-17 Neng-Yi Wang , Liming Wu
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