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The authors propose a parametric model called the arena model for prediction in paired competitions, i.e. paired comparisons with eliminations and bifurcations. The arena model has a number of appealing advantages. First, it predicts the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-28 Chenhe Zhang , Peiyuan Sun

We consider the problem of how to assign treatment in a randomized experiment, in which the correlation among the outcomes is informed by a network available pre-intervention. Working within the potential outcome causal framework, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-19 Guillaume W. Basse , Edoardo M. Airoldi

Probabilistic models are often trained by maximum likelihood, which corresponds to minimizing a specific f-divergence between the model and data distribution. In light of recent successes in training Generative Adversarial Networks,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-17 Mingtian Zhang , Thomas Bird , Raza Habib , Tianlin Xu , David Barber

Gradient boosting from the field of statistical learning is widely known as a powerful framework for estimation and selection of predictor effects in various regression models by adapting concepts from classification theory. Current…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-03 Colin Griesbach , Benjamin Säfken , Elisabeth Waldmann

Conformal prediction methods provide statistically rigorous marginal coverage guarantees for machine learning models, but such guarantees fail to account for algorithmic biases, thereby undermining fairness and trust. This paper introduces…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Senrong Xu , Yanke Zhou , Yuhao Tan , Zenan Li , Yuan Yao , Taolue Chen , Feng Xu , Xiaoxing Ma

The motivation of this work is to improve the performance of standard stacking approaches or ensembles, which are composed of simple, heterogeneous base models, through the integration of the generation and selection stages for regression…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-03-31 Roberto Aldave , Jean-Pierre Dussault

Networks analysis has been commonly used to study the interactions between units of complex systems. One problem of particular interest is learning the network's underlying connection pattern given a single and noisy instantiation. While…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-08 Tianxi Li , Can M. Le

This paper deals with the binary classification task when the target class has the lower probability of occurrence. In such situation, it is not possible to build a powerful classifier by using standard methods such as logistic regression,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-02-26 Cheikh Ndour , Aliou Diop , Simplice Dossou-Gbété

Effective properties of materials with random heterogeneous structures are typically determined by homogenising the mechanical quantity of interest in a window of observation. The entire problem setting encompasses the solution of a local…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-10-22 Felipe Rocha , Simone Deparis , Pablo Antolin , Annalisa Buffa

For regression tasks one often leverages large datasets for training predictive machine learning models. However, using large datasets may not be feasible due to computational limitations or high data labelling costs. Therefore, suitably…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-15 Paolo Climaco , Jochen Garcke

Deciding which predictors to use plays an integral role in deriving statistical models in a wide range of applications. Motivated by the challenges of predicting events across a telecommunications network, we propose a semi-automated, joint…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-10 Aaron Lowther , Paul Fearnhead , Matthew Nunes , Kjeld Jensen

Random forests are powerful non-parametric regression method but are severely limited in their usage in the presence of randomly censored observations, and naively applied can exhibit poor predictive performance due to the incurred biases.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-12 Alexander Hanbo Li , Jelena Bradic

Challenging research in various fields has driven a wide range of methodological advances in variable selection for regression models with high-dimensional predictors. In comparison, selection of nonlinear functions in models with additive…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-03-05 Fabian Scheipl , Thomas Kneib , Ludwig Fahrmeir

To facilitate the antenna design with the aid of computer, one of the practices in consumer electronic industry is to model and optimize antenna performances with a simplified antenna geometric scheme. Traditional antenna modeling requires…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-23 Yang Zhong , Peter Renner , Weiping Dou , Geng Ye , Jiang Zhu , Qing Huo Liu

Motivated by distributed machine learning settings such as Federated Learning, we consider the problem of fitting a statistical model across a distributed collection of heterogeneous data sets whose similarity structure is encoded by a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-30 Dominic Richards , Sahand N. Negahban , Patrick Rebeschini

A useful capability is that of classifying some agent's behavior using data from a sequence, or trace, of sensor measurements. The sensor selection problem involves choosing a subset of available sensors to ensure that, when generated,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-08-02 Rishi Phatak , Dylan A. Shell

There is a growing need for investigating how machine learning models operate. With this work, we aim to understand trained machine learning models by questioning their data preferences. We propose a mathematical framework that allows us to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-22 Eren Mehmet Kıral , Nurşen Aydın , Ş. İlker Birbil

Change-point processes are one flexible approach to model long time series. We propose a method to uncover which model parameter truly vary when a change-point is detected. Given a set of breakpoints, we use a penalized likelihood approach…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-02-09 Arnaud Dufays , Aristide Houndetoungan , Alain Coën

Traditionally model averaging has been viewed as an alternative to model selection with the ultimate goal to incorporate the uncertainty associated with the model selection process in standard errors and confidence intervals by using a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-05 Michael Schomaker , Christian Heumann

The arms race between attacks and defenses for machine learning models has come to a forefront in recent years, in both the security community and the privacy community. However, one big limitation of previous research is that the security…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-27 Liwei Song , Reza Shokri , Prateek Mittal