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Empirical Bayes methods are widely used for large-scale inference, yet most classical approaches assume homoscedastic observations and focus primarily on posterior mean estimation. We develop a nonparametric empirical Bayes framework for…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-24 Zhigen Zhao , Shonosuke Sugaasawa

The validity of two-step or plug-in inference methods is questioned in the Bayesian framework. We study semi-parametric models where the plug-in of a non-parametrically modelled nuisance component is used. We show that when the nuisance and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-25 Magid Sabbagh , David A. Stephens

We propose modified frequentist definition for the determination of confidence intervals for the case of Poisson statistics. Namely, we require that 1-\beta' \geq \sum_{n=o}^{n_{obs}+k} P(n|\lambda) \geq \alpha'. We show that this…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-06-19 Sergey Bitioukov , Nikolai Krasnikov

A recent paper presents the "false confidence theorem" (FCT) which has potentially broad implications for statistical inference using Bayesian posterior uncertainty. This theorem says that with arbitrarily large (sampling/frequentist)…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-18 Iain Carmichael , Jonathan P Williams

Hypothesis testing of structure in covariance matrices is of significant importance, but faces great challenges in high-dimensional settings. Although consistent frequentist one-sample covariance tests have been proposed, there is a lack of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-22 Kyoungjae Lee , Lizhen Lin , David Dunson

Tensors, also known as multidimensional arrays, are useful data structures in machine learning and statistics. In recent years, Bayesian methods have emerged as a popular direction for analyzing tensor-valued data since they provide a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-02 Yiyao Shi , Weining Shen

The Bayes factor, the data-based updating factor of the prior to posterior odds of two hypotheses, is a natural measure of statistical evidence for one hypothesis over the other. We show how Bayes factors can also be used for parameter…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-09 Samuel Pawel

Binary hypothesis testing under the Neyman-Pearson formalism is a statistical inference framework for distinguishing data generated by two different source distributions. Privacy restrictions may require the curator of the data or the data…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-07-05 Jiachun Liao , Lalitha Sankar , Vincent Y. F. Tan , Flavio P. Calmon

Bayesian hypothesis testing via Bayes factors offers a principled alternative to classical p-value methods in meta-analysis, particularly suited to its cumulative and sequential nature. Unlike commonly reported p-values for standard null…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-22 Joris Mulder , Robbie C. M. van Aert

We present the fundamental ideas underlying statistical hypothesis testing using the frequentist framework. We begin with a simple example that builds up the one-sample t-test from the beginning, explaining important concepts such as the…

Applications · Statistics 2016-12-14 Shravan Vasishth , Bruno Nicenboim

Multivariate categorical data are common in many fields. We are motivated by election polls studies assessing evidence of changes in voters opinions with their candidates preferences in the 2016 United States Presidential primaries or…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-10 Massimiliano Russo , Daniele Durante , Bruno Scarpa

This chapter provides a overview of Bayesian inference, mostly emphasising that it is a universal method for summarising uncertainty and making estimates and predictions using probability statements conditional on observed data and an…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-02-11 Christian P. Robert , Jean-Michel Marin , Judith Rousseau

Two-sample hypothesis testing for large graphs is popular in cognitive science, probabilistic machine learning and artificial intelligence. While numerous methods have been proposed in the literature to address this problem, less attention…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-20 Xin Jin , Kit Chan , Ian Barnett , Riddhi Pratim Ghosh

In the last months, due to the emergency of Covid-19, questions related to the fact of belonging or not to a particular class of individuals (`infected or not infected'), after being tagged as `positive' or `negative' by a test, have never…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-11-23 Giulio D'Agostini , Alfredo Esposito

Binary classification is a task that involves the classification of data into one of two distinct classes. It is widely utilized in various fields. However, conventional classifiers tend to make overconfident predictions for data that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-13 Shoma Yokura , Akihisa Ichiki

Estimating the difference between two binomial proportions will be investigated, where Bayesian, frequentist and fiducial (BFF) methods will be considered. Three vague priors will be used, the Jeffreys prior, a divergence prior and the…

Applications · Statistics 2021-11-17 Lizanne Raubenheimer

Motivated by recently emerging problems in machine learning and statistics, we propose data models which relax the familiar i.i.d. assumption. In essence, we seek to understand what it means for data to come from a set of probability…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-08 Christian Fröhlich , Robert C. Williamson

Due to their great flexibility, nonparametric Bayes methods have proven to be a valuable tool for discovering complicated patterns in data. The term "nonparametric Bayes" suggests that these methods inherit model-free operating…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-04-15 Peter D. Hoff

Interim analyses are vital in clinical trials for early decision-making. While frequentist implications are well-established, the consequences of repeated Bayesian interim monitoring for efficacy, specifically regarding multiplicity, remain…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-30 Suyu Liu , Beibei Guo , Laura Thompson , Lei Nie , Ying Yuan

To the frequentist who computes posteriors, not all priors are useful asymptotically: in this paper Schwartz's 1965 Kullback-Leibler condition is generalised to enable frequentist interpretation of convergence of posterior distributions…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-28 B. J. K. Kleijn
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