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We pursue robust approach to pricing and hedging in mathematical finance. We consider a continuous time setting in which some underlying assets and options, with continuous paths, are available for dynamic trading and a further set of…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-07 Zhaoxu Hou , Jan Obloj

Confidence sequences, anytime p-values (called p-processes in this paper), and e-processes all enable sequential inference for composite and nonparametric classes of distributions at arbitrary stopping times. Examining the literature, one…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-08 Aaditya Ramdas , Johannes Ruf , Martin Larsson , Wouter Koolen

The duality between the robust (or equivalently, model independent) hedging of path dependent European options and a martingale optimal transport problem is proved. The financial market is modeled through a risky asset whose price is only…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-19 Yan Dolinsky , H. Mete Soner

Three notions of random stopping times exist in the literature. We introduce two concepts of equivalence of random stopping times, motivated by optimal stopping problems and stopping games respectively. We prove that these two concepts…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-27 Eilon Solan , Boris Tsirelson , Nicolas Vieille

This paper considers an initial market model, specified by its underlying assets $S$ and its flow of information $\mathbb F$, and an arbitrary random time $\tau$ which might not be an $\mathbb F$-stopping time. As the death time and the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-09 Tahir Choulli , Sina Yansori

We introduce a natural generalization of the forward-starting options, first discussed by M. Rubinstein. The main feature of the contract presented here is that the strike-determination time is not fixed ex-ante, but allowed to be random,…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-04-15 Fabio Antonelli , Alessandro Ramponi , Sergio Scarlatti

This article focuses on the mathematical problem of existence and uniqueness of BSDE with a random terminal time which is a general random variable but not a stopping time, as it has been usually the case in the previous literature of BSDE…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-05-20 Christophette Blanchet-Scalliet , Anne Eyraud-Loisel , Manuela Royer-Carenzi

Two concepts of random stopping times in continuous time have been defined in the literature, mixed stopping times and randomized stopping times. We show that under weak conditions these two concepts are equivalent, and, in fact, that all…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-01 Eran Shmaya , Eilon Solan

Let $(X_t)_{t\ge0}$ be a continuous-time, time-homogeneous strong Markov process with possible jumps and let $\tau$ be its first hitting time of a Borel subset of the state space. Suppose $X$ is sampled at random times and suppose also that…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Xin Guo , Yan Zeng

Given an initial (resp., terminal) probability measure $\mu$ (resp., $\nu$) on $\mathbb{R}^d$, we characterize those optimal stopping times $\tau$ that maximize or minimize the functional $\mathbb{E} |B_0 - B_\tau|^{\alpha}$, $\alpha > 0$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-09 Nassif Ghoussoub , Young-Heon Kim , Tongseok Lim

In this paper, we investigate stochastic comparisons of parallel systems, and obtain two characterization results in this regard. First, we compare a parallel system with independent heterogeneous components to a parallel system with…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-03 Khaled Masoumifard

Conditioning Markov processes to avoid a domain is a classical problem that has been studied in many settings. Ingredients for standard arguments involve the leading order tail asymptotics of the distribution of the first hitting time of…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-22 Leif Doering , Andreas E Kyprianou , Philip Weissmann

The Constant Elasticity of Variance (CEV) model is mathematically presented and then used in a Credit-Equity hybrid framework. Next, we propose extensions to the CEV model with default: firstly by adding a stochastic volatility diffusion…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Marc Atlan , Boris Leblanc

Given two probability measures $\mu, \nu$ on $\mathbb{R}^d$, in subharmonic order, we describe optimal stopping times $\tau$ that maximize/minimize the cost functional $\mathbb{E} |B_0 - B_\tau|^{\alpha}$, $\alpha > 0$, where $(B_t)_t$ is…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-06-28 Nassif Ghoussoub , Young-Heon Kim , Tongseok Lim

We extend the valuation of contingent claims in presence of default, collateral and funding to a random functional setting and characterise pre-default value processes by martingales. Pre-default value semimartingales can also be described…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-27 Damiano Brigo , Federico Graceffa , Alexander Kalinin

This paper addresses the question of how an arbitrage-free semimartingale model is affected when stopped at a random horizon. We focus on No-Unbounded-Profit-with-Bounded-Risk (called NUPBR hereafter) concept, which is also known in the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-02-21 Anna Aksamit , Tahir Choulli , Jun Deng , Monique Jeanblanc

We propose a multivariate framework for modeling dependent default times that extends the classical Cox process by incorporating both common and idiosyncratic shocks. Our construction uses c\`adl\`ag, increasing processes to model…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-08 Djibril Gueye , Alejandra Quintos

We present a methodology for obtaining explicit solutions to infinite time horizon optimal stopping problems involving general, one-dimensional, It\^o diffusions, payoff functions that need not be smooth and state-dependent discounting.…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-10-10 Timothy C. Johnson

An elementary proof is given for a theorem showing that certain birth-death chains show martingale-like behavior at large stopping times. This is a generalization of and new proof for a theorem from a earlier paper by the author.

Probability · Mathematics 2011-03-28 Greg Markowsky

In the present paper we address stochastic optimal control problems for a step process $(X,\mathbb{F})$ under a progressive enlargement of the filtration. The global information is obtained adding to the reference filtration $\mathbb{F}$…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-28 Elena Bandini , Fulvia Confortola , Paolo Di Tella