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Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are used to estimate features of interest of a distribution. The Monte Carlo error in estimation has an asymptotic normal distribution whose multivariate nature has so far been ignored in the MCMC…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-05 Dootika Vats , James M. Flegal , Galin L. Jones

Large deviations for additive path functionals of stochastic processes have attracted significant research interest, in particular in the context of stochastic particle systems and statistical physics. Efficient numerical `cloning'…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-21 Letizia Angeli , Stefan Grosskinsky , Adam M. Johansen

This paper proposes a family of weighted batch means variance estimators, which are computationally efficient and can be conveniently applied in practice. The focus is on Markov chain Monte Carlo simulations and estimation of the asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-23 Ying Liu , James M. Flegal

We consider a general multivariate affine stochastic recursion and the associated Markov chain on $\mathbb R^{d}$. We assume a natural geometric condition which implies existence of an unbounded stationary solution and we show that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-15 Yves Guivarc'H , Emile Le Page

In this article we establish two fundamental results for the sublevel set persistent homology for stationary processes indexed by the positive integers. The first is a strong law of large numbers for the persistence diagram (treated as a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-22 Andrew M. Thomas

In this paper we prove that, under certain conditions, a strong law of large numbers holds for a class of super-diffusions $X$ corresponding to the evolution equation $\partial_t u_t=L u_t+\beta u_t-\psi(u_t)$ on a bounded domain $D$ in…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-18 Rong-Li Liu , Yan-Xia Ren , Renming Song

In this paper, we study random walks evolving on Z in a dynamic random environment that we assume to have time correlations that decrease polynomially fast. We show a law of large numbers by generalizing methods already used for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-04 Julien Allasia

We establish an abstract, effective, exponential large deviations type estimate for Markov systems satisfying a weaker form of mixing. We employ this result to derive such estimates, as well as a central limit theorem, for the skew product…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-07-17 Ao Cai , Pedro Duarte , Silvius Klein

We prove a bound on the finite sample error of sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) on static spaces using the $L_2$ distance between interpolating distributions and the mixing times of Markov kernels. This result is unique in that it is the first…

Computation · Statistics 2025-08-26 Joe Marion , Joseph Mathews , Scott C. Schmidler

We prove that a class of monotone finite volume schemes for scalar conservation laws with discontinuous flux converge at a rate of $\sqrt{\Delta x}$ in $\mathrm{L}^1$, whenever the flux is strictly monotone in $u$ and the spatial dependency…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-02-10 Jayesh Badwaik , Adrian Montgomery Ruf

We study a random walk driven by a particle system from a generic class, and establish a law of large numbers for the walk for almost all densities of the environment. To do so, we exploit the finite-ranged approximations of the environment…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-27 Guillaume Conchon--Kerjan , Toril Palaniappan

Since 1997 a considerable effort has been spent to study the mixing time of switch Markov chains on the realizations of graphic degree sequences of simple graphs. Several results were proved on rapidly mixing Markov chains on unconstrained,…

Heap monoids equipped with Bernoulli measures are a model of probabilistic asynchronous systems. We introduce in this framework the notion of asynchronous stopping time, which is analogous to the notion of stopping time for classical…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2015-05-21 Samy Abbes

We consider Markov chains which are polynomially mixing, in a weak sense expressed in terms of the space of functions on which the mixing speed is controlled. In this context, we prove polynomial large and moderate deviations inequalities.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-22 J Dedecker , Sébastien Gouëzel , F Merlevède

The main purpose of this paper is to obtain strong laws of large numbers for arrays or weighted sums of random variables under a scenario of dependence. Namely, for triangular arrays $\{X_{n,k}, \, 1 \leqslant k \leqslant n, \, n \geqslant…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-03 João Lita da Silva

Let $p \in (0, \infty)$ be a constant and let $\{\xi_n\} \subset L^p(\Omega, {\mathcal F}, \P)$ be a sequence of random variables. For any integers $m, n \ge 0$, denote $S_{m, n} = \sum_{k=m}^{m + n} \xi_k$. It is proved that, if there…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-12-21 Erkan Nane , Yimin Xiao , Aklilu Zeleke

Using backward propagators, we construct inhomogeneous Random Evolutions on Banach spaces driven by (uniformly ergodic) Semi-Markov processes. After studying some of their properties (measurability, continuity, integral representation), we…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-28 Nelson Vadori , Anatoliy Swishchuk

We establish a strong law of large numbers for one-dimensional continuous-time random walks in dynamic random environments under two main assumptions: the environment is required to satisfy a decoupling inequality that can be interpreted as…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-22 Weberson S. Arcanjo , Rangel Baldasso , Marcelo R. Hilário , Renato S. dos Santos

In this note, we study convergence rates in the law of large numbers for independent and identically distributed random variables under sublinear expectations. We obtain a strong $L^p$-convergence version and a strongly quasi sure…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-15 Ze-Chun Hu , Ning-Hua Liu , Ting Ma

We consider a class of semi-Markov processes (SMP) such that the embedded discrete time Markov chain may be non-homogeneous. The corresponding augmented processes are represented as semi-martingales using stochastic integral equation…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-14 Anindya Goswami , Subhamay Saha , Ravishankar Kapildev Yadav