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Using a family of modified Weibull distributions, encompassing both sub-exponentials and super-exponentials, to parameterize the marginal distributions of asset returns and their natural multivariate generalizations, we give exact formulas…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-10 Y. Malevergne , D. Sornette

Let $\{X(t)= (X_1(t),X_2(t))^T,\ t \in \mathbb{R}^N\}$ be an $\mathbb{R}^2$-valued continuous locally stationary Gaussian random field with $\mathbb{E}[X(t)]=\mathbf{0}$. For any compact sets $A_1, A_2 \subset \mathbb{R}^N$, precise…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-13 Yuzhen Zhou , Yimin Xiao

We obtain asymptotic approximations for the probability density function of the product of two correlated normal random variables with non-zero means and arbitrary variances. As a consequence, we deduce asymptotic approximations for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-22 Robert E. Gaunt , Zixin Ye

A sequence of accompanying laws is suggested in the limit theorem of B. V. Gnedenko for maximums of independent random variables belonging to maximum domain of attraction of the Gumbel distribution. It is shown that this sequence gives an…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-22 V. I. Piterbarg , Yu. A. Scherbakova

The asymptotic results that underlie applications of extreme random fields often assume that the variables are located on a regular discrete grid, identified with $\mathbb{Z}^2$, and that they satisfy stationarity and isotropy conditions.…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-03 Helena Ferreira , Luísa Pereira , Ana Paula Martins

Let R be a positive random variable independent of S which is beta distributed. In this paper we are interested on the relation between the distribution function of R and that of RS. For this model we derive first some distributional…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-14 Enkelejd Hashorva

In the paper, we investigate the asymptotic behaviors of the randomly weighted sums with upper tail asymptotically independent increments under new conditions without requiring moment assumptions on random weights.An application of the…

For a risk vector $V$, whose components are shared among agents by some random mechanism, we obtain asymptotic lower and upper bounds for the individual agents' exposure risk and the aggregated risk in the market. Risk is measured by…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-04-12 Oliver Kley , Claudia Kluppelberg

The non-asymptotic tail bounds of random variables play crucial roles in probability, statistics, and machine learning. Despite much success in developing upper bounds on tail probability in literature, the lower bounds on tail…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-08 Anru R. Zhang , Yuchen Zhou

We study the distribution of the maximum $M$ of a random walk whose increments have a distribution with negative mean and belonging, for some $\gamma>0$, to a subclass of the class $\mathcal{S}_\gamma$--see, for example, Chover, Ney, and…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-29 Stan Zachary , Sergey Foss

We study tail behaviour of the distribution of the area under the positive excursion of a random walk which has negative drift and heavy-tailed increments. We determine the asymptotics for tail probabilities for the area.

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-03 Denis Denisov , Elena Perfilev , Vitali Wachtel

We consider a new approach in the definition of two-dimensional heavy-tailed distributions. Namely, we introduce the classes of two-dimensional long-tailed, of twodimensional dominatedly varying and of two-dimensional consistently varying…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-25 Dimitrios G. Konstantinides , Charalampos D. Passalidis

Correlation mixtures of elliptical copulas arise when the correlation parameter is driven itself by a latent random process. For such copulas, both penultimate and asymptotic tail dependence are much larger than for ordinary elliptical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-12-21 Hans Manner , Johan Segers

We investigate conditions for the existence of the limiting conditional distribution of a bivariate random vector when one component becomes large. We revisit the existing literature on the topic, and present some new sufficient conditions.…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-02-21 Anne-Laure Fougères , Philippe Soulier

We compute the tail asymptotics of the product of a beta random variable and a generalized gamma random variable which are independent and have general parameters. A special case of these asymptotics were proved and used in a recent work of…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-10 Jim Pitman , Miklos Z. Racz

In this paper, we study dependence uncertainty and the resulting effects on tail risk measures, which play a fundamental role in modern risk management. We introduce the notion of a regular dependence measure, defined on multi-marginal…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-28 Corrado De Vecchi , Max Nendel , Jan Streicher

Asymptotic expansions are derived for the tail distribution of the product of two correlated normal random variables with non-zero means and arbitrary variances, and more generally the sum of independent copies of such random variables.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-27 Robert E. Gaunt , Zixin Ye

A discrete version of the Gumbel (Type I) extreme value distribution has been derived by using the general approach of discretization of a continuous distribution. Important distributional and reliability properties have been explored. It…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-29 Subrata Chakraborty , Dhrubajyoti Chakravarty

In this paper we derive the asymptotic behaviour of the survival function of both random sum and random maximum of log-normal risks. As for the case of finite sum and maximum investigated in Asmussen and Rojas-Nandaypa (2008) also for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-08 Enkelejd Hashorva , Dominik Kortschak

We consider the elliptic Ginibre ensembles in the real, complex and symplectic symmetry classes. As the matrix size tends to infinity, we derive the asymptotic behaviour of the upper tail large deviation probabilities for both the spectral…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-18 Sung-Soo Byun , Yong-Woo Lee , Seungjoon Oh