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Since the 1960s, Democrats and Republicans in U.S. Congress have taken increasingly polarized positions, while the public's policy positions have remained centrist and moderate. We explain this apparent contradiction by developing a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-08-17 Vicky Chuqiao Yang , Daniel M. Abrams , Georgia Kernell , Adilson E. Motter

The median voter theorem has long been the default model of voter behavior and candidate choice. While contemporary work on the distribution of political opinion has emphasized polarization and an increasing gap between the "left" and the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-03-25 Matthew I. Jones , Antonio D. Sirianni , Feng Fu

This paper revisits the limitations of the Median Voter Theorem and introduces a novel framework to analyze the optimal economic ideological positions of political parties. By incorporating Nash equilibrium, we examine the mechanisms and…

General Economics · Economics 2025-02-11 Shitong Wang

The Hotelling-Downs model considers parties changing policy to maximise their vote-share. Where policy position lies on a left-right axis, it describes a tendency for political parties to move towards centrist platforms. This is in contrast…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-05-12 Christopher Campbell , Graeme J. Ackland

Defying the median voter theorem, party polarization has spread globally, especially in the United States. As concerns grow over its risks to democracy, political science has probed its causes, revealing two paradoxes: while polarization…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-05-29 Roberto Venegeroles

In the United States as in other countries, political and economic divisions cut along geographic and demographic lines. Richer people are more likely to vote for Republican candidates while poorer voters lean Democratic; this is consistent…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-20 Andrew Gelman

Many democratic societies have become more politically polarized, with the U.S. as the main example. The origins of this phenomenon are still not well-understood and subject to debate. To better understand the mechanisms underlying…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-10-29 Lucas Böttcher , Hans Gersbach

Has ideological polarization actually increased in the last decades, or have voters simply sorted themselves into parties matching their ideology more closely? We present a novel methodology to quantify multidimensional ideological…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-07-03 Jaume Ojer , David Cárcamo , Romualdo Pastor-Satorras , Michele Starnini

Political polarization can be beneficial to competing political parties. I study how electoral competition itself generates incentives to polarize voters, even when parties are ex ante identical and motivated purely by political power,…

General Economics · Economics 2026-02-02 Giampaolo Bonomi

Political candidates often shift their positions opportunistically in hopes of capturing more votes. When there are only two candidates, the best strategy for each of them is often to move towards the other. This eventually results in two…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-10-25 Christoph Börgers , Bruce Boghosian , Natasa Dragovic , Anna Haensch

Over the years, American politics have become increasingly polarized. In the current political landscape, a president cannot easily collaborate with the opposite party and pass legislature. Ideologies between parties have drifted apart to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-03-27 Pandya George

Extreme polarization can undermine democracy by making compromise impossible and transforming politics into a zero-sum game. Ideological polarization - the extent to which political views are widely dispersed - is already strong among…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2022-10-12 Robert Axelrod , Joshua J. Daymude , Stephanie Forrest

Third political parties are influential in shaping American politics. In this work we study the spread of a third party ideology in a voting population where we assume that party members/activists are more influential in recruiting new…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Daniel M. Romero , Christopher M. Kribs-Zaleta , Anuj Mubayi , Clara Orbe

Social media has been a paramount arena for election campaigns for political actors. While many studies have been paying attention to the political campaigns related to partisanship, politicians also can conduct different campaigns…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-04-05 Taichi Murayama , Akira Matsui , Kunihiro Miyazaki , Yasuko Matsubara , Yasushi Sakurai

This paper introduces a definition of ideological polarization of an electorate around a particular central point. By being flexible about the location or width of the center, this measure enables the researcher to analyze polarization…

General Economics · Economics 2025-07-11 Boris Ginzburg

The colloquial phrase "partisan bias" encompasses multiple distinct conceptions of bias, including partisan advantage, packing & cracking, and partisan symmetry. All are useful and have their place, and there are several proposed measures…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-10-08 Alec Ramsay

We investigate the distribution of partisanship in a cross-section of ten diverse States to elucidate how votes translate into seats won and other metrics. Markov chain simulations taking into account partisanship distribution agree…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-03-03 Constantine , Gonatas

During the Great Recession, Democrats in the United States argued that government spending could be utilized to "grease the wheels" of the economy in order to create wealth and to increase employment; Republicans, on the other hand,…

General Economics · Economics 2021-04-06 Philip A. Ernst , Michael B. Imerman , Larry Shepp , Quan Zhou

Social influence profoundly impacts individual choices and collective behaviors in politics. In this work, driven by the goal of protecting elections from improper influence, we consider the following scenario: an individual, who has vested…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-02-05 Dragos Ristache , Fabian Spaeh , Charalampos E. Tsourakakis

The design of algorithms for political redistricting generally takes one of two approaches: optimize an objective such as compactness or, drawing on fair division, construct a protocol whose outcomes guarantee partisan fairness. We aim to…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-05-23 Gerdus Benadè , Ariel D. Procaccia , Jamie Tucker-Foltz
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