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Despite their deterministic nature, dynamical systems often exhibit seemingly random behaviour. Consequently, a dynamical system is usually represented by a probabilistic model of which the unknown parameters must be estimated using…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-08-20 Kasun Fernando , Nan Zou

The ISO 5725 series frames interlaboratory precision through repeatability, between-laboratory, and reproducibility variances, yet practical guidance on deploying bootstrap methods within this one-way random-effects setting remains limited.…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-10 Jun-ichi Takeshita , Kazuhiro Morita , Tomomichi Suzuki

We propose a simple modification to the wild bootstrap procedure and establish its asymptotic validity for linear regression models with many covariates and heteroskedastic errors. Monte Carlo simulations show that the modified wild…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-06-27 Wenze Li

We develop a new approach for estimating the risk of an arbitrary estimator of the mean vector in the classical normal means problem. The key idea is to generate two auxiliary data vectors, by adding carefully constructed normal noise…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-25 Natalia L. Oliveira , Jing Lei , Ryan J. Tibshirani

Standard approaches to constructing nonparametric confidence bands for functions are frustrated by the impact of bias, which generally is not estimated consistently when using the bootstrap and conventionally smoothed function estimators.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-01-30 Peter Hall , Joel Horowitz

Language models can learn a range of capabilities from unsupervised training on text corpora. However, to solve a particular problem (such as text summarization) it is typically necessary to fine-tune them on a task-specific dataset. It is…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-03-16 Adam Gleave , Geoffrey Irving

Bootstrapping is a useful technique for estimating the uncertainty of a predictor, for example, confidence intervals for prediction. It is typically used on small to moderate sized datasets, due to its high computation cost. This work…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-12-19 Zhen Qin , Vaclav Petricek , Nikos Karampatziakis , Lihong Li , John Langford

In recent years there has been significant progress in algorithms and methods for inducing Bayesian networks from data. However, in complex data analysis problems, we need to go beyond being satisfied with inducing networks with high…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-30 Nir Friedman , Moises Goldszmidt , Abraham Wyner

Assessing sensitivity to unmeasured confounding is an important step in observational studies, which typically estimate effects under the assumption that all confounders are measured. In this paper, we develop a sensitivity analysis…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-04 Dan Soriano , Eli Ben-Michael , Peter J. Bickel , Avi Feller , Samuel D. Pimentel

In this paper, we employ variational arguments to establish a connection between ensemble methods for Neural Networks and Bayesian inference. We consider an ensemble-based scheme where each model/particle corresponds to a perturbation of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-09 Dimitrios Milios , Pietro Michiardi , Maurizio Filippone

Respondent-Driven Sampling (RDS) is a form of link-tracing sampling, a sampling technique used for `hard-to-reach' populations that aims to leverage individuals' social relationships to reach potential participants. While the methodological…

Empirical best linear unbiased prediction (EBLUP) method uses a linear mixed model in combining information from different sources of information. This method is particularly useful in small area problems. The variability of an EBLUP is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Snigdhansu Chatterjee , Partha Lahiri , Huilin Li

We introduce a bootstrap procedure for high-frequency statistics of Brownian semistationary processes. More specifically, we focus on a hypothesis test on the roughness of sample paths of Brownian semistationary processes, which uses an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-06 Mikkel Bennedsen , Ulrich Hounyo , Asger Lunde , Mikko S. Pakkanen

In this paper we introduce the concept of bootstrapped pivots for the sample and the population means. This is in contrast to the classical method of constructing bootstrapped confidence intervals for the population mean via estimating the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-07-23 Miklos Csorgo , Masoud M Nasari

The usage of psychological networks that conceptualize psychological behavior as a complex interplay of psychological and other components has gained increasing popularity in various fields of psychology. While prior publications have…

Applications · Statistics 2017-01-23 Sacha Epskamp , Denny Borsboom , Eiko I. Fried

Envelope methodology can provide substantial efficiency gains in multivariate statistical problems, but in some applications the estimation of the envelope dimension can induce selection volatility that may mitigate those gains. Current…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-17 Daniel J. Eck , R. Dennis Cook

Bayesian averaging over classification models allows the uncertainty of classification outcomes to be evaluated, which is of crucial importance for making reliable decisions in applications such as financial in which risks have to be…

Scientific imaging problems are often severely ill-posed, and hence have significant intrinsic uncertainty. Accurately quantifying the uncertainty in the solutions to such problems is therefore critical for the rigorous interpretation of…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-22 Julian Tachella , Marcelo Pereyra

In many life science experiments or medical studies, subjects are repeatedly observed and measurements are collected in factorial designs with multivariate data. The analysis of such multivariate data is typically based on multivariate…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-24 Lubna Amro , Frank Konietschke , Markus Pauly

This paper investigates the (in)-consistency of various bootstrap methods for making inference on a change-point in time in the Cox model with right censored survival data. A criterion is established for the consistency of any bootstrap…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-08-01 Gongjun Xu , Bodhisattva Sen , Zhiliang Ying