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We present SBTrust, a logical framework designed to formalize decision trust. Our logic integrates a doxastic modality with a novel non-monotonic conditional operator that establishes a positive support relation between statements, and is…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-12-03 Alessandro Aldini , Agata Ciabattoni , Dominik Pichler , Mirko Tagliaferri

Discrete probability laws underpin statistical modeling, yet the catalog of interpretable distributions has expanded only gradually through centuries of case-by-case mathematical derivations. We introduce symbolic density estimation (SDE),…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-25 Ziwen Liu , Meng Li

We introduce the first probabilistic framework tailored for sequential random projection, an approach rooted in the challenges of sequential decision-making under uncertainty. The analysis is complicated by the sequential dependence and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-14 Yingru Li

Probabilistic inference problems arise naturally in distributed systems such as sensor networks and teams of mobile robots. Inference algorithms that use message passing are a natural fit for distributed systems, but they must be robust to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-19 Mark Paskin , Carlos E. Guestrin

Dirichlet processes and their extensions have reached a great popularity in Bayesian nonparametric statistics. They have also been introduced for spatial and spatio-temporal data, as a tool to analyze and predict surfaces. A popular…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-31 Clara Grazian

Sequential recommender infers users' evolving psychological motivations from historical interactions to recommend the next preferred items. Most existing methods compress recent behaviors into a single vector and optimize it toward a single…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2026-04-20 Yicheng Di , Yuan Liu , Zhi Chen , Jingcai Guo

In this work, we attempt to refine the classic asymptotic formulae to describe the probability distribution of likelihood-ratio statistical tests. The idea is to split the probability distribution function into two parts. One part is…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2025-07-29 Li-Gang Xia , Yan Zhang

This work develops novel strategies for optimal planning with semantic observations using continuous state partially observable markov decision processes (CPOMDPs). Two major innovations are presented in relation to Gaussian mixture (GM)…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-08-09 Luke Burks , Ian Loefgren , Nisar Ahmed

A theorem of McCann shows that for any two absolutely continuous probability measures on R^d there exists a monotone transformation sending one probability measure to the other. A consequence of this theorem, relevant to statistics, is that…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-20 Ethan Anderes , Marc Coram

Over the last decade or so, Approximate Message Passing (AMP) algorithms have become extremely popular in various structured high-dimensional statistical problems. The fact that the origins of these techniques can be traced back to notions…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-11 Oliver Y. Feng , Ramji Venkataramanan , Cynthia Rush , Richard J. Samworth

The dependency pair (DP) framework is one of the most powerful techniques for automatic termination and complexity analysis of term rewrite systems. While DPs were extended to prove almost-sure termination of probabilistic term rewrite…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-10-16 Jan-Christoph Kassing , Leon Spitzer , Jürgen Giesl

We present a deep transformation model for probabilistic regression. Deep learning is known for outstandingly accurate predictions on complex data but in regression tasks, it is predominantly used to just predict a single number. This…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-04-02 Beate Sick , Torsten Hothorn , Oliver Dürr

Comparing probability distributions is a core challenge across the natural, social, and computational sciences. Existing methods, such as Maximum Mean Discrepancy (MMD), struggle in high-dimensional and non-compact domains. Here we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-09 Logan S. McCarty

Propensity Score Matching (PSM) is a causal inference technique that is used as a substitution for experimental methods when it is not possible to implement them due to logistical and ethical concerns. By using a logistic classifier to…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-15 Elizabeth Mohney , Alexey Shvets

In previous work ("Knowledge from Probability", TARK 2021) we develop a question-relative, probabilistic account of belief. On this account, what someone believes relative to a given question is (i) closed under entailment, (ii)…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-07-13 Jeremy Goodman , Bernhard Salow

The notion of probability plays an important role in almost all areas of science and technology. In modern mathematics, however, probability theory means nothing other than measure theory, and the operational characterization of the notion…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-09 Kohtaro Tadaki

Partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs) provide a flexible representation for real-world decision and control problems. However, POMDPs are notoriously difficult to solve, especially when the state and observation spaces are…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-10-20 Michael H. Lim , Tyler J. Becker , Mykel J. Kochenderfer , Claire J. Tomlin , Zachary N. Sunberg

We propose dpmm, an open-source library for synthetic data generation with Differentially Private (DP) guarantees. It includes three popular marginal models -- PrivBayes, MST, and AIM -- that achieve superior utility and offer richer…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Sofiane Mahiou , Amir Dizche , Reza Nazari , Xinmin Wu , Ralph Abbey , Jorge Silva , Georgi Ganev

Dimension reduction provides a useful tool for analyzing high dimensional data. The recently developed \textit{Envelope} method is a parsimonious version of the classical multivariate regression model through identifying a minimal reducing…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-06 Hossein Moradi Rekabdarkolaee , Qin Wang , Zahra Naji , Montserrat Fuentes

The fundamental updating process in the transferable belief model is related to the concept of specialization and can be described by a specialization matrix. The degree of belief in the truth of a proposition is a degree of justified…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-25 Frank Klawonn , Philippe Smets