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We derive a functional central limit theorem for the excursion of a random walk conditioned on sweeping a prescribed geometric area. We assume that the increments of the random walk are integer-valued, centered, with a third moment equal to…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-30 Philippe Carmona , Nicolas Pétrélis

Consider a real-valued branching random walk in the boundary case. Using the techniques developed by A\"id\'ekon and Shi [5], we give two integral tests which describe respectively the lower limits for the minimal position and the upper…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-01 Yueyun Hu

We consider a system consisting of a planar random walk on a square lattice, submitted to stochastic elementary local deformations. Depending on the deformation transition rates, and specifically on a parameter $\eta$ which breaks the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-24 Guy Fayolle , Cyril Furtlehner

In this paper, we study the so-called intermediate disorder regime for a directed polymer in a random environment with heavy-tail. Consider a simple symmetric random walk $(S_n)_{n\geq 0}$ on $\mathbb{Z}^d$, with $d\geq 1$, and modify its…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-28 Quentin Berger , Hubert Lacoin

Biggins [Uniform convergence of martingales in the branching random walk. {\em Ann. Probab.}, 20(1):137--151, 1992] proved local uniform convergence of additive martingales in $d$-dimensional supercritical branching random walks at complex…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-17 Konrad Kolesko , Matthias Meiners

In the context of countable groups of polynomial volume growth, we consider a large class of random walks that are allowed to take long jumps along multiple subgroups according to power law distributions. For such a random walk, we study…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-26 Zhen-Qing Chen , Takashi Kumagai , Laurent Saloff-Coste , Jian Wang , Tianyi Zheng

This article investigates the behavior of the continuous-time simple random walk on $\mathbb{Z}^d$, $d \geq 3$. We derive an asymptotic lower bound on the principal exponential rate of decay for the probability that the average value over a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-24 Alberto Chiarini , Maximilian Nitzschner

We consider a d-dimensional random walk in random scenery X(n), where the scenery consists of i.i.d. with exponential moments but a tail decay of the form exp(-c t^a) with a<d/2. We study the probability, when averaged over both randomness,…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Amine Asselah , Fabienne Castell

We study a random walk on a point process given by an ordered array of points $(\omega_k, \, k \in \mathbb{Z})$ on the real line. The distances $\omega_{k+1} - \omega_k$ are i.i.d. random variables in the domain of attraction of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-05 Samuele Stivanello , Gianmarco Bet , Alessandra Bianchi , Marco Lenci , Elena Magnanini

The purpose of this paper is to establish, via a martingale approach, some refinements on the asymptotic behavior of the one-dimensional elephant random walk (ERW). The asymptotic behavior of the ERW mainly depends on a memory parameter $p$…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-17 Bernard Bercu

We introduce and study the main properties of a class of convex risk measures that refine Expected Shortfall by simultaneously controlling the expected losses associated with different portions of the tail distribution. The corresponding…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-19 Matteo Burzoni , Cosimo Munari , Ruodu Wang

Let $\left\{ S_{n},n\geq 0\right\} $ be a random walk whose increment distribution belongs without centering to the domain of attraction of an $% \alpha $-stable law, i.e., there are some scaling constants $a_{n}$ such that the sequence…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-19 Congzao Dong , Elena Dyakonova , Vladimir Vatutin

Consider the random walk $S_n=\xi_1+...+\xi_n$ with independent and identically distributed increments and negative mean $\mathbf E\xi=-m<0$. Let $M=\sup_{0\le i} S_i$ be the supremum of the random walk. In this note we present derivation…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-30 Denis Denisov , Vitali Wachtel

We consider the simple random walk on Z^d, d > 2, evolving in a potential of the form \beta V, where (V(x), x \in Z^d) are i.i.d. random variables taking values in [0,+\infty), and \beta\ > 0. When the potential is integrable, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-05 Thomas Mountford , Jean-Christophe Mourrat

This paper addresses the advancement of probability tail bound analysis, a crucial statistical tool for assessing the probability of large deviations of random variables from their expected values. Traditional tail bounds, such as Markov's,…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-22 Shih-Yu Chang

The emergence of heavy-tailed statistics in complex systems is conventionally attributed to non-local stochastic jumps or non-Markovian memory. Here, we present a one-dimensional random walk where power-law behaviors arise instead from a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-05-25 Henrique S. Lima , Evaldo M. F. Curado

Random walk on the set of irreducible representations of a finite group is investigated. For the symmetric and general linear groups, a sharp convergence rate bound is obtained and a cutoff phenomenon is proved. As related results, an…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jason Fulman

A connection is made between the random turns model of vicious walkers and random permutations indexed by their increasing subsequences. Consequently the scaled distribution of the maximum displacements in a particular asymmeteric version…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2007-05-23 P. J. Forrester

This paper deals with different models of random walks with a reinforced memory of preferential attachment type. We consider extensions of the Elephant Random Walk introduced by Sch\"utz and Trimper [2004] with a stronger reinforcement…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-16 Erich Baur

We study the asymptotic tail probability of the first-passage time over a moving boundary for a random walk conditioned to return to zero, where the increments of the random walk have finite variance. Typically, the asymptotic tail behavior…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-09 Fiona Sloothaak , Vitali Wachtel , Bert Zwart