Related papers: The Garman-Klass volatility estimator revisited

We introduce weighted Markovian graphs, a random walk model that decouples the transition dynamics of a Markov chain from (random) edge weights representing the cost of traversing each edge. This decoupling allows us to study the…

This paper first strictly proved that the growth of the second moment of a large class of Gaussian processes is not greater than power function and the covariance matrix is strictly positive definite. Under these two conditions, the maximum…

The maximum score estimator of Manski (1975) provides an elegant approach to estimate slope coefficient in binary choice models without requiring parametric assumptions on the error distribution. However, under i.i.d. sampling, it admits a…

In many applications we seek to maximize an expectation with respect to a distribution over discrete variables. Estimating gradients of such objectives with respect to the distribution parameters is a challenging problem. We analyze…

In this paper, we introduce and analyze the fractional Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard (BN-S) stochastic volatility model. The proposed model is based upon two desirable properties of the long-term variance process suggested by the empirical…

We characterize the performance of the widely-used least-squares estimator in astrometry in terms of a comparison with the Cramer-Rao lower variance bound. In this inference context the performance of the least-squares estimator does not…

The classical Cram\'er-Rao inequality gives a lower bound for the variance of a unbiased estimator of an unknown parameter, in some statistical model of a random process. In this note we rewrite the statment and proof of the bound using…

In this paper, we consider the adaptive linear quadratic Gaussian control problem, where both the linear transformation matrix of the state $A$ and the control gain matrix $B$ are unknown. The proposed adaptive optimal control only assumes…

A general class of Bayesian lower bounds when the underlying loss function is a Bregman divergence is demonstrated. This class can be considered as an extension of the Weinstein--Weiss family of bounds for the mean squared error and relies…

For certain random variables that arise as limits of functionals of random finite trees, we obtain precise asymptotics for the logarithm of the right-hand tail. Our results are based on the facts (i) that the random variables we study can…

We propose new nonparametric estimators of the integrated volatility of an It\^{o} semimartingale observed at discrete times on a fixed time interval with mesh of the observation grid shrinking to zero. The proposed estimators achieve the…

We consider the parametric estimation of the volatility and jump activity in a stable Cox-Ingersoll-Ross ($\alpha$-stable CIR) model driven by a standard Brownian Motion and a non-symmetric stable L\'evy process with jump activity $\alpha…

Reliably estimating the uncertainty of a prediction throughout the model lifecycle is crucial in many safety-critical applications. The most common way to measure this uncertainty is via the predicted confidence. While this tends to work…

This paper introduces a new version of the smoothly trimmed mean with a more general version of weights, which can be used as an alternative to the classical trimmed mean. We derive its asymptotic variance and to further investigate its…

We study a classical Bayesian statistics problem of sequentially testing the sign of the drift of an arithmetic Brownian motion with the $0$-$1$ loss function and a constant cost of observation per unit of time for general prior…

For the Gaussian sequence model, we obtain non-asymptotic minimax rates of estimation of the linear, quadratic and the L2-norm functionals on classes of sparse vectors and construct optimal estimators that attain these rates. The main…

Consider discrete time observations (X_{\ell\delta})_{1\leq \ell \leq n+1}$ of the process $X$ satisfying $dX_t= \sqrt{V_t} dB_t$, with $V_t$ a one-dimensional positive diffusion process independent of the Brownian motion $B$. For both the…

In this paper the problem of best linear unbiased estimation is investigated for continuous-time regression models. We prove several general statements concerning the explicit form of the best linear unbiased estimator (BLUE), in particular…

We prove that under the Brownian evolution on large non-Hermitian matrices the log-determinant converges in distribution to a 2+1 dimensional Gaussian field in the Edwards-Wilkinson regularity class, namely it is logarithmically correlated…

Within a high-frequency framework, we propose a non-parametric approach to estimate a family of copulas associated to a time-changed Brownian motion. We show that our estimator is consistent and asymptotically mixed-Gaussian. Furthermore,…