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We propose a method to bound the expectation of the supremum of the price process in stochastic volatility models. It can be applied, for example, to the rough Bergomi model, avoiding the need to discuss finiteness of higher moments. Our…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-20 Stefan Gerhold , Julian Pachschwöll , Johannes Ruf

Given a bivariate random pair $(X,Y)$, a natural problem is to estimate, from a single sample $(X_i,Y_i)_{1\le i\le n}$, quantities such as $\mathbb{E}\left[ \mathbb{E}[ Y\mid X ]^2 \right]$. More broadly, sensitivity indices are designed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-25 Reda Chhaibi , Fabrice Gamboa , Clément Pellegrini

In many statistical signal processing applications, the estimation of nuisance parameters and parameters of interest is strongly linked to the resulting performance. Generally, these applications deal with complex data. This paper focuses…

Applications · Statistics 2016-08-24 Melanie Mahot , Philippe Forster , Frederic Pascal , Jean-Philippe Ovarlez

This paper provides a semiparametric model of estimating states of the volatility defined as the squared diffusion coefficient of a stochastic differential equation. Without assuming any functional form of the volatility function, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-07-18 I. Shoji

Variational inference is a general framework to obtain approximations to the posterior distribution in a Bayesian context. In essence, variational inference entails an optimization over a given family of probability distributions to choose…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-24 Janis Keck

We propose novel parameter estimation algorithms for a class of dynamical systems with nonlinear parametrization. The class is initially restricted to smooth monotonic functions with respect to a linear functional of the parameters. We show…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Ivan Tyukin , Danil Prokhorov , Cees van Leeuwen

We propose a general approach to construct weighted likelihood estimating equations with the aim of obtaining robust parameter estimates. We modify the standard likelihood equations by incorporating a weight that reflects the statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-24 Claudio Agostinelli , Ayanendranath Basu , Giulia Bertagnolli , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

We introduce a new variational estimator for the intensity function of an inhomogeneous spatial point process with points in the $d$-dimensional Euclidean space and observed within a bounded region. The variational estimator applies in a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-02 Jean-François Coeurjolly , Jesper Møller

This paper considers the problem of nonlinear attitude estimation for a rigid body system using intermittent and multi-rate inertial vector measurements as well as continuous (high-rate) angular velocity measurements. Two types of hybrid…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-01-09 Miaomiao Wang , Abdelhamid Tayebi

Statistical models incorporating change points are common in practice, especially in the area of biomedicine. This approach is appealing in that a specific parameter is introduced to account for the abrupt change in the response variable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Hongling Zhou , Kung-Yee Liang

We establish asymptotic normality of weighted sums of periodograms of a stationary linear process where weights depend on the sample size. Such sums appear in numerous statistical applications and can be regarded as a discretized versions…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-18 Liudas Giraitis , Hira L. Koul

We propose a general model that jointly characterizes degree heterogeneity and homophily in weighted, undirected networks. We present a moment estimation method using node degrees and homophily statistics. We establish consistency and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-21 Qiuping Wang , Yuan Zhang , Ting Yan

This paper considers a simulation-based estimator for a general class of Markovian processes and explores some strong consistency properties of the estimator. The estimation problem is defined over a continuum of invariant distributions…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-01-14 Manuel S. Santos

We establish sharp well-posedness and approximation estimates for variational saddle point systems at the continuous level. The main results of this note have been known to be true only in the finite dimensional case. Known spectral results…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-11-04 Constantin Bacuta

The typical central limit theorems in high-frequency asymptotics for semimartingales are results on stable convergence to a mixed normal limit with an unknown conditional variance. Estimating this conditional variance usually is a hard…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-25 Mathias Vetter

We derive the short-maturity asymptotics for prices of options on realized variance in local-stochastic volatility models. We consider separately the short-maturity asymptotics for out-of-the-money and in-the-money options cases. The…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-19 Dan Pirjol , Xiaoyu Wang , Lingjiong Zhu

We consider statistical inference for a class of continuous semimartingale regression models based on high-frequency observations subject to contamination by finite-activity jumps and spike noise. By employing density-power weighting and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-01 Shoichi Eguchi , Hiroki Masuda

The article is devoted to the nonparametric estimation of the quadratic covariation of non-synchronously observed It\^o processes in an additive microstructure noise model. In a high-frequency setting, we aim at establishing an asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-06-22 Markus Bibinger

In this paper, we introduce an asymptotic test procedure to assess the stability of volatilities and cross-volatilites of linear and nonlinear multivariate time series models. The test is very flexible as it can be applied, for example, to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-20 Alexander Aue , Siegfried Hörmann , Lajos Horváth , Matthew Reimherr

We derive the non-asymptotical non-uniform sharp error estimation for Bernstein's approximation of continuous function based on the modern probabilistic apparatus. We investigate also the convergence of derivative of these polynomials and…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2015-08-31 Eugene Ostrovsky , Leonid Sirota