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Lower bound on the equivariant Hilbertian compression exponent $\alpha$ are obtained using random walks. More precisely, if the probability of return of the simple random walk is $\succeq \textrm{exp}(-n^\gamma)$ in a Cayley graph then…

Group Theory · Mathematics 2015-12-22 Antoine Gournay

Many functions have approximately-known upper and/or lower bounds, potentially aiding the modeling of such functions. In this paper, we introduce Gaussian process models for functions where such bounds are (approximately) known. More…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-20 Vu Nguyen , Marc Peter Deisenroth , Michael A. Osborne

Gaussian processes (GPs) are widely used metamodels for approximating expensive computer simulations, particularly in engineering design and spatial prediction. However, their performance can deteriorate significantly when covariance…

Computation · Statistics 2025-11-17 Ayumi Mutoh , Junoh Heo

We study the theoretical properties of a variational Bayes method in the Gaussian Process regression model. We consider the inducing variables method introduced by Titsias (2009a) and derive sufficient conditions for obtaining contraction…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-28 Dennis Nieman , Botond Szabo , Harry van Zanten

This paper is an attempt to bridge the conceptual gaps between researchers working on the two widely used approaches based on positive definite kernels: Bayesian learning or inference using Gaussian processes on the one side, and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-10 Motonobu Kanagawa , Philipp Hennig , Dino Sejdinovic , Bharath K Sriperumbudur

We study a Bayesian approach to nonparametric estimation of the periodic drift function of a one-dimensional diffusion from continuous-time data. Rewriting the likelihood in terms of local time of the process, and specifying a Gaussian…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-02-14 Y. Pokern , A. M. Stuart , J. H. van Zanten

Building on ideas from Castillo and Nickl [Ann. Statist. 41 (2013) 1999-2028], a method is provided to study nonparametric Bayesian posterior convergence rates when "strong" measures of distances, such as the sup-norm, are considered. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-15 Ismaël Castillo

We study posterior contraction rates for mixing measures in homoscedastic location-scale mixture models with infinitely many components. While posterior convergence at the level of densities is well understood, ensuring convergence of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-11 Nicola Bariletto , Dung Le , Alessandro Rinaldo , Nhat Ho

We study the posterior distribution of the Bayesian multiple change-point regression problem when the number and the locations of the change-points are unknown. While it is relatively easy to apply the general theory to obtain the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-08-21 Heng Lian

In this paper we propose a general method to derive an upper bound for the contraction rate of the posterior distribution for nonparametric inverse problems. We present a general theorem that allows us to derive con- traction rates for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-24 Bartek Knapik , Jean-Bernard Salomond

Given a set of moment restrictions (MRs) that overidentify a parameter $\theta$, we investigate a semiparametric Bayesian approach for inference on $\theta$ that does not restrict the data distribution $F$ apart from the MRs. As main…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-11 Jean-Pierre Florens , Anna Simoni

Gaussian processes have become a promising tool for various safety-critical settings, since the posterior variance can be used to directly estimate the model error and quantify risk. However, state-of-the-art techniques for safety-critical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-22 Alexandre Capone , Armin Lederer , Sandra Hirche

We study a class of self-repelling diffusions on compact Riemannian manifolds whose drift is the gradient of a potential accumulated along their trajectory. When the interaction potential admits a suitable spectral decomposition, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Francis Lörler

Regularized least-squares (kernel-ridge / Gaussian process) regression is a fundamental algorithm of statistics and machine learning. Because generic algorithms for the exact solution have cubic complexity in the number of datapoints, large…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-15 Simon Bartels , Philipp Hennig

This monograph studies the relations between two approaches using positive definite kernels: probabilistic methods using Gaussian processes, and non-probabilistic methods using reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces (RKHS). They are widely…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-24 Motonobu Kanagawa , Philipp Hennig , Dino Sejdinovic , Bharath K. Sriperumbudur

In this paper, we introduce the notion of Gaussian processes indexed by probability density functions for extending the Mat\'ern family of covariance functions. We use some tools from information geometry to improve the efficiency and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-09 A. Fradi , Y. Feunteun , C. Samir , M. Baklouti , F. Bachoc , J-M. Loubes

We introduce and investigate a new notion of the theory of approximation-the so-called degenerate approximation, i.e. approximation of the function of two (and more) variables (kernel) by means of degenerate function (kernel). We apply…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-14 E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

Density estimation represents one of the most successful applications of Bayesian nonparametrics. In particular, Dirichlet process mixtures of normals are the gold standard for density estimation and their asymptotic properties have been…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-02 Antonio Canale , Pierpaolo De Blasi

Gaussian Process Networks (GPNs) are a class of directed graphical models which employ Gaussian processes as priors for the conditional expectation of each variable given its parents in the network. The model allows the description of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-20 Enrico Giudice , Jack Kuipers , Giusi Moffa

Performing inference in Bayesian models requires sampling algorithms to draw samples from the posterior. This becomes prohibitively expensive as the size of data sets increase. Constructing approximations to the posterior which are cheap to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-19 George Wynne