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Thuiller et al. analyzed the consequences of anticipated climate change on plant, bird, and mammal phylogenetic diversity (PD) across Europe. They concluded that species loss will not be clade specific across the Tree of Life, and that…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-06-23 Charles C. Davis , Hanno Schaefer , Brad R. Ruhfel , Michael J. Donoghue , Erika J. Edwards

Accurate assessment of anthropogenic climate change relies on historical instrumental data, yet observations from the early 20th century are sparse, fragmented, and uncertain. Conventional reconstructions rely on disparate statistical…

Statistical methods are required to evaluate and quantify the uncertainty in environmental processes, such as land and sea surface temperature, in a changing climate. Typically, annual harmonics are used to characterize the variation in the…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-17 Joshua S. North , Erin M. Schliep , Christopher K. Wikle

Long-term planning of a robust power system requires the understanding of changing demand patterns. Electricity demand is highly weather sensitive. Thus, the supply side variation from introducing intermittent renewable sources, juxtaposed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-13 Reshmi Ghosh , Michael Craig , H. Scott Matthews , Constantine Samaras , Laure Berti-Equille

In the present study it is shown that significant impacts on forests can lead to large climate fluctuations at global level. This research takes into account various scenarios for the reconstruction of forest areas using the geo-ecological…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-09-26 Costas A. Varotsos , Vladimir F. Krapivin

Global warming is leading to unprecedented changes in our planet, with great societal, economical and environmental implications, especially with the growing demand of biofuels and food. Assessing the impact of climate on vegetation is of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-12-08 Miguel Morata-Dolz , Diego Bueso , Maria Piles , Gustau Camps-Valls

Water availability is a major environmental driver affecting riparian and wetland vegetation. The interaction between water table fluctuations and vegetation in a stochastic environment contributes to the complexity of the dynamics of these…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-05-14 Stefania Scarsoglio , Paolo D'Odorico , Francesco Laio , Luca Ridolfi

Joint modeling of spatially-oriented dependent variables is commonplace in the environmental sciences, where scientists seek to estimate the relationships among a set of environmental outcomes accounting for dependence among these outcomes…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-22 Lu Zhang , Sudipto Banerjee , Andrew O. Finley

In the context of global warming, tree populations rely on two primary mechanisms of adaptation: phenotypic plasticity, which enables individuals to adjust their behavior in response to environmental stress, and genetic evolution, driven by…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-27 Sirine Boucenna , Vasilis Dakos , Gaël Raoul

Range expansion and range shifts are crucial population responses to climate change. Genetic consequences are not well understood but are clearly coupled to ecological dynamics that, in turn, are driven by shifting climate conditions. We…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-09-29 Jimmy Garnier , Mark Lewis

A major challenge of climate change adaptation is to assess the effect of changing weather on human health. In spite of an increasing literature on the weather-related health subject, many aspect of the relationship are not known, limiting…

This paper studies a regression model with functional dependent and explanatory variables, both of which exhibit nonstationary dynamics. The model assumes that the nonstationary stochastic trends of the dependent variable are explained by…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-02 Kyungsik Nam , Won-Ki Seo

Quantifying the impacts of anthropogenic global warming requires accurate Earth system model (ESM) simulations. Statistical bias correction and downscaling can be applied to reduce errors and increase the resolution of ESMs. However,…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-06-24 Philipp Hess , Niklas Boers

A crop can be represented as a biotechnical system in which components are either chosen (cultivar, management) or given (soil, climate) and whose combination generates highly variable stress patterns and yield responses. Here, we used…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-03-13 Pierre Casadebaig , Ronan Trépos , Victor Picheny , Nicolas B. Langlade , Patrick Vincourt , Philippe Debaeke

A challenge in global change biology is to predict how species will respond to future environmental change and to manage these responses. To make such predictions and management actions robust to novel futures, we need to accurately…

Spatially explicit data layers of tree species assemblages, referred to as forest types or forest type groups, are a key component in large-scale assessments of forest sustainability, biodiversity, timber biomass, carbon sinks and forest…

Applications · Statistics 2009-10-09 Andrew O. Finley , Sudipto Banerjee , Ronald E. McRoberts

Climate models play a crucial role in understanding the effect of environmental and man-made changes on climate to help mitigate climate risks and inform governmental decisions. Large global climate models such as the Community Earth System…

Applications · Statistics 2020-12-02 Niccolò Dalmasso , Galen Vincent , Dorit Hammerling , Ann B. Lee

Analyzing and utilizing spatiotemporal big data are essential for studies concerning climate change. However, such data are not fully integrated into climate models owing to limitations in statistical frameworks. Herein, we employ VARENN…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-24 Takeshi Ise , Yurika Oba

Reproductive phenology, growth and mortality rates are key ecological parameters that determine population dynamics and are therefore of vital importance to stock assessment models for fisheries management. In many fish species, the…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-23 Vicenç Moltó , Andres Ospina-Alvarez , Mark Gatt , Miquel Palmer , Ignacio A. Catalán

Accurate maps of past land cover and human land-use are necessary when studying the impact of anthropogenic land-cover changes on climate. Ideally the maps of past land cover would be separated into naturally occurring vegetation and human…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-25 Behnaz Pirzamanbein , Johan Lindström