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Related papers: Partially specified prior

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We investigate Bayesian predictive inference for finite population quantities when there are unequal probabilities of selection. Only limited information about the sample design is available; i.e., only the first-order selection…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-10 Junheng Ma , Joe Sedransk , Balgobin Nandram , Lu Chen

This paper presents a decision-theoretic approach to statistical inference that satisfies the likelihood principle (LP) without using prior information. Unlike the Bayesian approach, which also satisfies LP, we do not assume knowledge of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-07 Phan H. Giang , Prakash P. Shenoy

Reference analysis produces objective Bayesian inference, in the sense that inferential statements depend only on the assumed model and the available data, and the prior distribution used to make an inference is least informative in a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-04-02 James O. Berger , José M. Bernardo , Dongchu Sun

Fractional scoring has been proposed to avoid inconsistencies in the attribution of publications to percentile rank classes. Uncertainties and ambiguities in the evaluation of percentile ranks can be demonstrated most easily with small…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2013-03-25 Michael Schreiber

I study partial identification of distributional parameters in triangular systems. This model consists of a nonparametric outcome equation and a selection equation. This allows for general unobserved heterogeneity and selection on…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-11-11 Ju Hyun Kim

We present a survey of some of our recent results on Bayesian nonparametric inference for a multitude of stochastic processes. The common feature is that the prior distribution in the cases considered is on suitable sets of piecewise…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-04 Denis Belomestny , Frank van der Meulen , Peter Spreij

The proposed approach extends the confidence posterior distribution to the semi-parametric empirical Bayes setting. Whereas the Bayesian posterior is defined in terms of a prior distribution conditional on the observed data, the confidence…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-05-02 David R. Bickel

This work is concern with testing the low-dimensional parameters of interest with divergent dimensional data and variable selection for the rest under the sparse case. A consistent test via the partial penalized likelihood approach, called…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-11-20 Shanshan Wang , Hengjian Cui

Assuming some regression model, it is common to study the conditional distribution of survival given covariates. Here, we consider the impact of further conditioning, specifically conditioning on a marginal survival function, known or…

Applications · Statistics 2016-10-11 Roxane Duroux , Cécile Chauvel , John O'Quigley

The elements of a finite nonempty partially ordered set are exposed at independent uniform times in $[0,1]$ to a selector who, at any given time, can see the structure of the induced partial order on the exposed elements. The selector's…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2010-10-07 Ragnar Freij , Johan Wästlund

We propose a new method for conducting Bayesian prediction that delivers accurate predictions without correctly specifying the unknown true data generating process. A prior is defined over a class of plausible predictive models. After…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-24 Ruben Loaiza-Maya , Gael M. Martin , David T. Frazier

Starting with a likelihood or preference order on worlds, we extend it to a likelihood ordering on sets of worlds in a natural way, and examine the resulting logic. Lewis earlier considered such a notion of relative likelihood in the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-08-31 J. Y. Halpern

Current work in planning with preferences assume that the user's preference models are completely specified and aim to search for a single solution plan. In many real-world planning scenarios, however, the user probably cannot provide any…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-03-17 Tuan Nguyen , Minh Do , Alfonso Gerevini , Ivan Serina , Biplav Srivastava , Subbarao Kambhampati

In this paper, we revisit the notion of partial copula, originally introduced to test conditional independence, highlighting its capability to represent the dependence between two random variables after removing their dependence with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Vinícius Litvinoff Justus , Felipe Fontana Vieira

Semi-supervised learning deals with the problem of how, if possible, to take advantage of a huge amount of not classified data, to perform classification, in situations when, typically, the labelled data are few. Even though this is not…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-18 Alejandro Cholaquidis , Ricardo Fraiman , Mariela Sued

Prediction, where observed data is used to quantify uncertainty about a future observation, is a fundamental problem in statistics. Prediction sets with coverage probability guarantees are a common solution, but these do not provide…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-22 Leonardo Cella , Ryan Martin

This paper discusses predictive inference and feature selection for generalized linear models with scarce but high-dimensional data. We argue that in many cases one can benefit from a decision theoretically justified two-stage approach:…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-09 Juho Piironen , Markus Paasiniemi , Aki Vehtari

In this paper, we study the classical problem of estimating the proportion of a finite population. First, we consider a fixed sample size method and derive an explicit sample size formula which ensures a mixed criterion of absolute and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-02-03 Xinjia Chen

This paper describes the use of flexible Bayesian regression models for estimating a partially identified probability function. Our approach permits efficient sensitivity analysis concerning the posterior impact of priors on the partially…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-10 P. Richard Hahn , Jared S. Murray , Ioanna Manolopoulou

Inferring the value of a property of a large stochastic system is a difficult task when the number of samples is insufficient to reliably estimate the probability distribution. The Bayesian estimator of the property of interest requires the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-01-26 Damián G. Hernández , Inés Samengo