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Understanding how sea ice melts is critical to climate projections. In the Arctic, melt ponds that develop on the surface of sea ice floes during the late spring and summer largely determine their albedo -- a key parameter in climate…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2017-11-28 Ivan Sudakov , Sergey A. Vakulenko , Kenneth M. Golden

Within the framework of lower order thermodynamic theories for the climatic evolution of Arctic sea ice we isolate the conditions required for the existence of stable seasonally-varying solutions, in which ice forms each winter and melts…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-06-04 W. Moon , J. S. Wettlaufer

Abrupt and irreversible winter Arctic sea-ice loss may occur under anthropogenic warming due to the collapse of a sea-ice equilibrium at a threshold value of CO$_2$, commonly referred to as a tipping point. Previous work has been unable to…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-12-21 Camille Hankel , Eli Tziperman

The sea-ice cover of the Arctic Ocean is an important element of the climate and ocean system in the Northern Hemisphere as it impacts albedo, atmospheric pressure regimes, CO2-exchange at the ocean/atmosphere interface as well as the North…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-02-09 Claude Hillaire-Marcel , Anne de Vernal , Michel Crucifix

Our ability to predict the future of Arctic sea ice is limited by ice's sensitivity to detailed surface conditions such as the distribution of snow and melt ponds. Snow on top of the ice decreases ice's thermal conductivity, increases its…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2022-03-09 Predrag Popović , Justin Finkel , Mary C. Silber , Dorian S. Abbot

A controlling factor in the seasonal and climatological evolution of the sea ice cover is its albedo $\alpha$. Here we analyze Arctic data from the Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) Polar Pathfinder and assess the seasonality…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2011-10-31 S. Agarwal , W. Moon , J. S. Wettlaufer

Climate change, amplified in the far north, has led to rapid sea ice decline in recent years. In the summer, melt ponds form on the surface of Arctic sea ice, significantly lowering the ice reflectivity (albedo) and thereby accelerating ice…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2018-04-16 Predrag Popović , B. B. Cael , Mary Silber , Dorian S. Abbot

The extent and the morphology of ice forming in a differentially heated cavity filled with water is studied by means of experiments and numerical simulations. We show that the main mechanism responsible for the ice shaping is the existence…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-09-22 Ziqi Wang , Linfeng Jiang , Yihong Du , Chao Sun , Enrico Calzavarini

The importance of snow cover and ice extent in the Northern Hemisphere was recognized by various authors leading to a positive feedback of surface reflectivity on climate. In fact, the retreat of Arctic sea ice is accompanied by enhanced…

Geophysics · Physics 2017-06-20 Alfred Laubereau , Hristo Iglev

Perhaps the most iconic feature of melting Arctic sea ice is the formation of distinctive, complex ponds on its surface during late spring. The evolution of melt ponds and their geometrical characteristics determines the albedo of sea ice,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-08-11 Yi-Ping Ma , Ivan Sudakov , Courtenay Strong , Kenneth M. Golden

During the summer melt period, ponds form on the surface of Arctic sea ice as it melts, with important consequences for ice evolution and marine ecology. Due to the ice-albedo feedback, these melt ponds experience uneven heat absorption,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-12-16 Wilfred Offord , Michael Coughlan , Ian J. Hewitt , Heather A. Harrington , Gillian Grindstaff

Several environmental tipping points and self-reinforcing feedback loops are still disregarded within the frequently used climate models. Thus, existing climate models are not very representative for providing projections of the conditions…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-08-09 Beril Sirmacek

The variation in the Arctic sea ice is dominated by the seasonal cycle with little inter-annual correlation. Though the mean sea ice area has decreased steadily in the period of satellite observations, a dramatic transition in the dynamics…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2012-09-20 Peter D. Ditlevsen

The Arctic sea ice represents an important energy reservoir for the climate of the northern hemisphere. The shrinking of the polar ice in the past decades decreases the stored energy and raises serious concerns about future climate…

Geophysics · Physics 2019-12-09 A. Laubereau , H. Iglev

We analyze the numerical solutions of a stochastic Arctic sea ice model with constant additive noise over a wide range of external heat-fluxes, $\Delta F_0$, which correspond to greenhouse gas forcing. The variability that the stochasticity…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-05-05 Woosok Moon , John S. Wettlaufer

In an effort to understand the dynamics of the Arctic sea-ice edge, we present a simple model of heat and mass transfer in the Fram Strait that reveals some fundamental mechanisms controlling sea-ice extent in the marginal seas and the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-12-21 Sahil Agarwal , M. Grae Worster

Ice streams are bands of fast-flowing ice in ice sheets. We investigate their formation as an example of spontaneous pattern formation, based on positive feedbacks between dissipation and basal sliding. Our focus is on temperature-dependent…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2020-11-06 Christian Schoof , Elisa Mantelli

Ice naturally forms in the disordered or ``amorphous'' state when accreted from vapor at temperatures and pressures found in the interstellar medium and in the frigid, low density outer regions of the Sun's protoplanetary disk. It is…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2022-09-14 Dina Prialnik , David Jewitt

There is ongoing debate over whether Arctic sea-ice has already passed a `tipping point', or whether it will do so in the future. Several recent studies argue that the loss of summer sea ice does not involve an irreversible bifurcation,…

Geophysics · Physics 2013-01-23 Valerie N. Livina , Timothy M. Lenton

Sea ice, or frozen ocean water, freezes and melts every year in the Arctic. Forecasts of where sea ice will be located weeks to months in advance have become more important as the amount of sea ice declines due to climate change, for…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-11 Hannah M. Director , Adrian E. Raftery , Cecilia M. Bitz
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