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We motivate the study of the crypto asset class with eleven empirical facts, and study the drivers of crypto asset returns through the lens of univariate factors. We argue crypto assets are a new, attractive, and independent asset class. In…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-05-27 Adam Baybutt

We model an informed agent with information about the future value of an asset trying to maximize profits when subjected to a transaction cost as well as a market maker tasked with setting fair transaction prices. In a single auction model,…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-29 Weston Barger , Ryan Donnelly

We present a dynamical model for the price evolution of financial assets. The model is based in a two level structure. In the first stage one finds an agent-based model that describes the present state of the investors' beliefs,…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2009-07-30 Miquel Montero

This paper presents a new prediction model for time series data by integrating a time-varying Geometric Brownian Motion model with a pricing mechanism used in financial engineering. Typical time series models such as Auto-Regressive…

Applications · Statistics 2020-01-01 Abdullah AlShelahi , Jingxing Wang , Mingdi You , Eunshin Byon , Romesh Saigal

This paper shows that Hamiltonians and operators can also be put to good use even in contexts which are not purely physics based. Consider the world of finance. The work presented here {models a two traders system with information exchange…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-23 F. Bagarello , E. Haven

This work presents an asset pricing model that under rational expectation equilibrium perspective shows how, depending on risk aversion and noise volatility, a risky-asset has one equilibrium price that differs in term of efficiency: an…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-09-18 Matteo Formenti

We present a novel framework for pricing waterfall structures by simulating the uncertainty of the cashflow generated by the underlying assets in terms of value, time, and confidence levels. Our approach incorporates various probability…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-18 Nicola Jean , Giacomo Le Pera , Lorenzo Giada , Claudio Nordio

A one-factor asset pricing model with an Ornstein--Uhlenbeck process as its state variable is studied under partial information: the mean-reverting level and the mean-reverting speed parameters are modeled as hidden/unobservable stochastic…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-06-18 Takashi Kato , Jun Sekine , Hiromitsu Yamamoto

This paper consists of two parts. In the first part, we develop a new information theory, in which it is not a coincidence that information and physical entropy share the same mathematical formula. It is an adaptation of mind to help search…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Jing Chen

In this paper we extend the series of our studies on the properties of an interacting particle model for market microstructure. In our earlier work we defined a Markov process on the majority opinion of the agents, obtained the transition…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Ted Theodosopoulos , Ming Yuen

We present a simple agent-based model to study the development of a bubble and the consequential crash and investigate how their proximate triggering factor might relate to their fundamental mechanism, and vice versa. Our agents invest…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2010-11-12 Georges Harras , Didier Sornette

Contextual dynamic pricing aims to set personalized prices based on sequential interactions with customers. At each time period, a customer who is interested in purchasing a product comes to the platform. The customer's valuation for the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-07 Yiyun Luo , Will Wei Sun , and Yufeng Liu

We study strategic interactions in a broker-mediated market in which agents learn and exploit each other's private information. A broker provides liquidity to an informed trader and to noise traders while managing inventory in a lit market.…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-21 Alif Aqsha , Fayçal Drissi , Leandro Sánchez-Betancourt

This paper investigates the interplay between information diffusion in social networks and its impact on financial markets with an Agent-Based Model (ABM). Agents receive and exchange information about an observable stochastic component of…

General Economics · Economics 2024-12-24 Tommaso Di Francesco , Daniel Torren Peraire

Individual risk models need to capture possible correlations as failing to do so typically results in an underestimation of extreme quantiles of the aggregate loss. Such dependence modelling is particularly important for managing credit…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-11 Michel Denuit , Anna Kiriliouk , Johan Segers

The main contribution of the paper is to employ the financial market network as a useful tool to improve the portfolio selection process, where nodes indicate securities and edges capture the dependence structure of the system. Three…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-01-15 Gian Paolo Clemente , Rosanna Grassi , Asmerilda Hitaj

Stochastic volatility models describe asset prices $S_t$ as driven by an unobserved process capturing the random dynamics of volatility $\sigma_t$. Here, we quantify how much information about $\sigma_t$ can be inferred from asset prices…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-12-29 Nils Bertschinger , Oliver Pfante

We study a dynamic asset pricing problem in which a representative agent is ambiguous about the aggregate endowment growth rate and trades a risky stock, human capital, and a risk-free asset to maximize her preference value of consumption…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-04 Jiacheng Fan , Xue Dong He , Ruocheng Wu

This paper is concerned with nonlinear filtering of the coefficients in asset price models with stochastic volatility. More specifically, we assume that the asset price process $S=(S_{t})_{t\geq0}$ is given by \[ dS_{t}=m(\theta_{t})S_{t}…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Jakša Cvitanić , Robert Liptser , Boris Rozovskii

We develop a behavioral asset pricing model in which agents trade in a market with information friction. Profit-maximizing agents switch between trading strategies in response to dynamic market conditions. Due to noisy private information…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-05-02 Zhentao Shi , Huanhuan Zheng
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