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Related papers: Informed Traders

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Traders in a market typically have widely different, private information on the return of an asset. The equilibrium price of the asset may reflect this information more accurately if the number of traders is large enough compared to the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-08-17 Johannes Berg , Matteo Marsili , Aldo Rustichini , Riccardo Zecchina

We investigate how asymmetric information affects equilibrium price formation in an economy with many interacting agents. Motivated by a finite-player model with two populations of asymmetrically informed agents, we study its mean-field…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-06 Alekos Cecchin , Markus Fischer , Claudio Fontana , Giacomo Lanaro

We examine the dynamics of informational efficiency in a market with asymmetrically informed, boundedly rational traders who adaptively learn optimal strategies using simple multiarmed bandit (MAB) algorithms. The strategies available to…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-11-11 Aleksei Pastushkov

We develop a stochastic equilibrium model for an electricity market with asymmetric renewable energy forecasts. In our setting, market participants optimize their profits using public information about a conditional expectation of energy…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-05-26 Vladimir Dvorkin , Jalal Kazempour , Pierre Pinson

We introduce an interactive market setup with sequential auctions where agents receive variegated signals with a known deadline. The effects of differential information and mutual learning on the allocation of overall profit \& loss (P\&L)…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-14 N. Serhan Aydin

The Glosten-Milgrom model describes a single asset market, where informed traders interact with a market maker, in the presence of noise traders. We derive an analogy between this financial model and a Szil\'ard information engine by {\em…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-05-26 Léo Touzo , Matteo Marsili , Don Zagier

We show that under mild assumptions, the total value of information to informed traders in the market can be measured by the covariance between price changes and order flow. This covariance captures noise trader losses, which equal informed…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-13 Ohad Kadan , Asaf Manela

We model an informed agent with information about the future value of an asset trying to maximize profits when subjected to a transaction cost as well as a market maker tasked with setting fair transaction prices. In a single auction model,…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-29 Weston Barger , Ryan Donnelly

In this paper we examine inefficiencies and information disparity in the Japanese stock market. By carefully analysing information publicly available on the internet, an `outsider' to conventional statistical arbitrage strategies--which are…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2010-03-09 Dorje C. Brody , Julian Brody , Bernhard K. Meister , Matthew F. Parry

In recent studies of political decision-making, apparently anomalous behavior has been observed on the part of voters, in which negative information about a candidate strengthens, rather than weakens, a prior positive opinion about the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-06-12 William W. Cohen , David P. Redlawsk , Douglas Pierce

This paper studies the switching of trading strategies and its effect on the market volatility in a continuous double auction market. We describe the behavior when some uninformed agents, who we call switchers, decide whether or not to pay…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-17 Yi-Fang Liu , Wei Zhang , Chao Xu , Jørgen Vitting Andersen , Hai-Chuan Xu

In this paper, we present a multi-period trading model by assuming that traders face not only asymmetric information but also heterogenous prior beliefs, under the requirement that the insider publicly disclose his stock trades after the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2011-05-13 Fuzhou Gong , Hong Liu

We study the perfect information Nash equilibrium between a broker and her clients -- an informed trader and an uniformed trader. In our model, the broker trades in the lit exchange where trades have instantaneous and transient price impact…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-23 Álvaro Cartea , Sebastian Jaimungal , Leandro Sánchez-Betancourt

We focus on the influence of external sources of information upon financial markets. In particular, we develop a stochastic agent-based market model characterized by a certain herding behavior as well as allowing traders to be influenced by…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-28 Adrián Carro , Raúl Toral , Maxi San Miguel

In many markets buyers are poorly informed about which firms sell the product (product availability) and prices, and therefore have to spend time to obtain this information. In contrast, sellers typically have a better idea about which…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-10-01 Atabek Atayev

We study a continuous time economy where agents have asymmetric information. The informed agent (``$I$''), at time zero, receives a private signal about the risky assets' terminal payoff $\Psi(X_T)$, while the uninformed agent (``$U$'') has…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-19 Jerome Detemple , Scott Robertson

We study the role of costly information in non-cooperative two-player games when an extrinsic third party information broker is introduced asymmetrically, allowing one player to obtain information about the other player's action. This…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-02-20 Matthew J. Young , Andrew Belmonte

We study the behavior of simple models for financial markets with widely spread frequency either in the trading activity of agents or in the occurrence of basic events. The generic picture of a phase transition between information efficient…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Matteo Marsili , Maurizio Piai

We study an information acquisition problem in which an informed trader acquires costly information prior to trading in the Kyle equilibrium. The cost of information acquisition is represented by an entropy cost. Regardless of the prior…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-03-24 S. Viswanathan , Hao Xing

The information released to investors in financial markets has various forms. We refer to range information as information about the upper and lower bound which the payoff of a risky asset may reach in the future. This study develops…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-01-14 Jianhao Su , Yanliang Zhang