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Motivated by empirical evidence for rough volatility models, this paper investigates continuous-time mean-variance (MV) portfolio selection under the Volterra Heston model. Due to the non-Markovian and non-semimartingale nature of the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-30 Bingyan Han , Hoi Ying Wong

The time needed for a particle to exit a confining domain through a small window, called the narrow escape time (NET), is a limiting factor of various processes, such as some biochemical reactions in cells. Obtaining an estimate of the mean…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-11-22 O. Benichou , R. Voituriez

The survival probability and the first-passage-time statistics are important quantities in different fields. The Wiener process is the simplest stochastic processwith continuous variables, and important results can be explicitly found from…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-02-15 Eugenio Urdapilleta

Recently a general growth curve including the well known growth equations, such as Malthus, logistic, Bertallanfy, Gompertz, has been studied. We now propose two stochastic formulations of this growth equation. They are obtained starting…

We shortly review the statistical properties of the escape times, or hitting times, for stock price returns by using different models which describe the stock market evolution. We compare the probability function (PF) of these escape times…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-13 Bernardo Spagnolo , Davide Valenti

We consider a novel use case for the Double Heston model (Christoffersen et al,, 2009), where the two Heston sub-variances have different spot/volatility correlations but the same volatility of volatility and mean reversion speed. This…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-03 Mark Higgins

In this manuscript we show that a noise-activated escape phenomenon occurs in closed Hamiltonian systems. Due to the energy fluctuations generated by the noise, the isopotential curves open up and the particles can eventually escape in…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2021-11-17 Alexandre R. Nieto , Jesus M. Seoane , Miguel A. F. Sanjuan

In this article we approach a class of stochastic reachability problems with state constraints from an optimal control perspective. Preceding approaches to solving these reachability problems are either confined to the deterministic setting…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-11-27 Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani , Debasish Chatterjee , John Lygeros

In this paper, we propose the uncertain volatility models with stochastic bounds. Like the regular uncertain volatility models, we know only that the true model lies in a family of progressively measurable and bounded processes, but instead…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-17 Jean-Pierre Fouque , Ning Ning

Properties of the noise-driven escape kinetics are mainly determined by the stochastic component of the system dynamics. Nevertheless, the escape dynamics is also sensitive to deterministic forces. Here, we are exploring properties of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-06-30 Karol Capała , Bartłomiej Dybiec

The stochastic motion of particles in living cells is often spatially inhomogeneous with a higher effective diffusivity in a region close to the cell boundary due to active transport along actin filaments. As a first step to understand the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-09-25 Matthieu Mangeat , Heiko Rieger

We propose a two stage procedure for the estimation of the parameters of a fairly general, continuous-time stochastic volatility. An important ingredient of the proposed method is the Cuchiero-Teichmann volatility estimator, which is based…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-31 Milan Merkle , Yuri F. Saporito , Rodrigo S. Targino

This paper presents a methodology to introduce time-dependent parameters for a wide family of models preserving their analytic tractability. This family includes hybrid models with stochastic volatility, stochastic interest-rates, jumps and…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 A. Elices

We experimentally investigate the escape from a metastable state over a fluctuating barrier of a physical system. The system is switching between two states under electronic control of a dichotomous noise. We measure the escape time and its…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Rosario N. Mantegna , Bernardo Spagnolo

We present a Bayesian non-parametric way of inferring stochastic differential equations for both regression tasks and continuous-time dynamical modelling. The work has high emphasis on the stochastic part of the differential equation, also…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-29 Martin Jørgensen , Marc Peter Deisenroth , Hugh Salimbeni

This paper investigates asymptotically optimal importance sampling (IS) schemes for pricing European call options under the Heston stochastic volatility model. We focus on two distinct rare-event regimes where standard Monte Carlo methods…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-26 Yun-Feng Tu , Chuan-Hsiang Han

We investigate the dependence of the escape rate on the position of a hole placed in uniformly hyperbolic systems admitting a finite Markov partition. We derive an exact periodic orbit formula for finite size Markov holes which differs from…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2013-04-09 Orestis Georgiou , Carl P. Dettmann , Eduardo G. Altmann

We study an extension of the Heston stochastic volatility model that incorporates rough volatility and jump clustering phenomena. In our model, named the rough Hawkes Heston stochastic volatility model, the spot variance is a rough…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-25 Alessandro Bondi , Sergio Pulido , Simone Scotti

The paper examines stochastic diffusion within an expanding space-time framework. It starts with providing a rationale for the considered model and its motivation from cosmology where the expansion of space-time is used in modelling various…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-22 Philip Broadbridge , Illia Donhauzer , Andriy Olenko

We consider stochastic volatility models under parameter uncertainty and investigate how model derived prices of European options are affected. We let the pricing parameters evolve dynamically in time within a specified region, and…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-12 Samuel N. Cohen , Martin Tegnér
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