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We develop a novel stochastic valuation and premium calculation principle based on probability measure distortions that are induced by quantile processes in continuous time. Necessary and sufficient conditions are derived under which the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-07 Holly Brannelly , Andrea Macrina , Gareth W. Peters

In this work we take a Category Theoretic perspective on the relationship between probabilistic modeling and function approximation. We begin by defining two extensions of function composition to stochastic process subordination: one based…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-08-07 Dan Shiebler

We aim to link random fields and marked point processes and therefore introduce a new class of stochastic processes which are defined on a random set in R^d. Unlike for random fields, the mark covariance function of a marked random set is…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-25 Felix Ballani , Zakhar Kabluchko , Martin Schlather

Markov categories are a recent categorical approach to the mathematical foundations of probability and statistics. Here, this approach is advanced by stating and proving equivalent conditions for second-order stochastic dominance, a widely…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-16 Tobias Fritz , Tomáš Gonda , Paolo Perrone , Eigil Fjeldgren Rischel

We examine reaction networks (CRNs) through their associated continuous-time Markov processes. Studying the dynamics of such networks is in general hard, both analytically and by simulation. In particular, stationary distributions of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-28 Linard Hoessly

For Markov chains and Markov processes exhibiting a form of stochastic monotonicity (larger states shift up transition probabilities in terms of stochastic dominance), stability and ergodicity results can be obtained using order-theoretic…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-01 Takashi Kamihigashi , John Stachurski

Reservoir computing is a form of machine learning that utilizes nonlinear dynamical systems to perform complex tasks in a cost-effective manner when compared to typical neural networks. Many recent advancements in reservoir computing, in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-03 Peter J. Ehlers , Hendra I. Nurdin , Daniel Soh

We develop a study of ignorability and conditions thereof for likelihood inference in the framework of stochastic processes. We define a coarsening model for processes which includes discrete-time observations as well as censored…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-16 Daniel Commenges , Anne Gegout-Petit

In this research paper, the relationship between finite / countable state space stochastic processes and point processes is explored. Utilizing the known relationship between Poisson processes and continuous time Markov chains, finite /…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-04-24 Garimella Rama Murthy

We study stochastic monotonicity and propagation of order for Markov processes with respect to stochastic integral orders characterized by cones of functions satisfying $\Phi f \geq 0$ for some linear operator $\Phi$. We introduce a new…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-30 Richard C. Kraaij , Moritz Schauer

Machine learning techniques not only offer efficient tools for modelling dynamical systems from data, but can also be employed as frontline investigative instruments for the underlying physics. Nontrivial information about the original…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-02-24 Francesco Borra , Marco Baldovin

We prove the existence of limiting distributions for a large class of Markov chains on a general state space in a random environment. We assume suitable versions of the standard drift and minorization conditions. In particular, the system…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-04 Attila Lovas , Miklós Rásonyi

Compartmentalization of biochemical processes underlies all biological systems, from the organelle to the tissue scale. Theoretical models to study the interplay between noisy reaction dynamics and compartmentalization are sparse, and…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-06-08 Lorenzo Duso , Christoph Zechner

The applicability of machine learning for predicting chaotic dynamics relies heavily upon the data used in the training stage. Chaotic time series obtained by numerically solving ordinary differential equations embed a complicated noise of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-10-13 Igor A Khovanov

We propose and analyze a specific asymptotic stochastic order for random processes based on the measure of departure discussed in the literature. As applications, we stochastically compare mixtures of order statistics and record values…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-04 Sugata Ghosh , Asok K. Nanda

We formulate some simple conditions under which a Markov chain may be approximated by the solution to a differential equation, with quantifiable error probabilities. The role of a choice of coordinate functions for the Markov chain is…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-04-23 R. W. R. Darling , J. R. Norris

From the Bayesian perspective, the category of conditional probabilities (a variant of the Kleisli category of the Giry monad, whose objects are measurable spaces and arrows are Markov kernels) gives a nice framework for conceptualization…

Category Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-06 Jared Culbertson , Kirk Sturtz

After collecting data from observations or experiments, the next step is to build an appropriate mathematical or stochastic model to describe the data so that further studies can be done with the help of the models. In this article, the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-07-19 A. M. Mathai , H. J. Haubold

Markovian population models are suitable abstractions to describe well-mixed interacting particle systems in situation where stochastic fluctuations are significant due to the involvement of low copy particles. In molecular biology,…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2014-01-17 Christoph Zechner , Federico Wadehn , Heinz Koeppl

We propose a generalization of the random matrix theory following the basic prescription of the recently suggested concept of superstatistics. Spectral characteristics of systems with mixed regular-chaotic dynamics are expressed as weighted…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 A. Y. Abul-Magd
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