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We study a mosquito-borne epidemic model where the vector population is distinct in aquatic and adult stages and a saturating effect of disease transmission is assumed to ocurr when the number of infectious (humans and mosquitoes) becomes…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-02-10 E. Avila-Vales , B. Buonomo , N. Chan-Chi

The SARS-CoV-2 pandemic has caused significant mortality and morbidity worldwide, sparing almost no community. As the disease will likely remain a threat for years to come, an understanding of the precise influences of human demographics…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-02 Niayesh Afshordi , Benjamin Holder , Mohammad Bahrami , Daniel Lichtblau

The presence of a unique absorbing state in the finite state space of an epidemic process always poses a challenge in the definition of its epidemiological threshold. Without the elimination of the absorbing state of the SIS process we show…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-10-14 Norbert Barankai , József Stéger

Undulation of infection levels, usually called waves, are not well understood. In this paper we propose a mathematical model that exhibits undulation and decay towards a stable state. The model is a re-interpretation of the original…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-06-08 Niko Sauer

In this paper we continue the stability analysis of the model for coinfection with density dependent susceptible population introduced in the 1st part of the paper. We look for coexistence equilibrium points, their stability and dependence…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-02-12 J. Andersson , S. Ghersheen , V. Kozlov , V. Tkachev , U. Wennergren

A large amount of population models use the concept of a carrying capacity. Simulated populations are bounded by invoking finite resources through a survival probability, commonly referred to as the Verhulst factor. The fact, however, that…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-05-19 C. M. N. Pinol , R. S. Banzon

Transmission dynamics of infectious diseases are often studied using compartmental mathematical models, which are commonly represented as systems of autonomous ordinary differential equations. A key step in the analysis of such models is to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-12-15 David J. D. Earn , C. Connell McCluskey

This paper proposes and analyzes a malaria transmission model structured by the chronological age of the human host population. The model couples an age-structured SIRS system for humans, incorporating waning immunity, with an SI system for…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-03-17 Seraphin Djaoue , Quentin Richard , Antoine Perasso , Irépran Damakoa

We study a multi-group SAIRS-type epidemic model with vaccination. The role of asymptomatic and symptomatic infectious individuals is explicitly considered in the transmission pattern of the disease among the groups in which the population…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-05-23 Stefania Ottaviano , Mattia Sensi , Sara Sottile

Numerous elements drive the spread of infectious diseases in complex real-world networks. Of particular interest is social behaviors that evolve in tandem with the spread of disease. Moreover, recent studies highlight the importance of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-03 Benjamin Catalano , Keith Paarporn , Sebin Gracy

Most previous studies of epidemic dynamics on complex networks suppose that the disease will eventually stabilize at either a disease-free state or an endemic one. In reality, however, some epidemics always exhibit sporadic and recurrent…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-11-19 Xiao-Long Peng , Michael Small , Xin-Jian Xu , Xinchu Fu

In this study initially, we propose an age structured model and calculate the equilibrium points and basic reproduction number. Later we propose an optimal control problem to understand the roles of treatment in controlling the epidemic.…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-12-15 Bishal Chhetri , D. K. K Vamsi , Carani B Sanjeevi

We study the evolution in discrete time of certain age-structured populations, such as adults and juveniles, with a Ricker fitness function. We determine conditions for the convergence of orbits to the origin (extinction) in the presence of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-02-10 N. Lazaryan , H. Sedaghat

We study the spread of an SIRS-type epidemic with vaccination on network. Starting from an exact Markov description of the model, we investigate the mean epidemic lifetime by providing a sufficient condition for fast extinction that depends…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-11-23 Stefania Ottaviano , Stefano Bonaccorsi

We study an individual-based stochastic epidemic model in which infected individuals become susceptible again following each infection. In contrast to classical compartment models, after each infection, the infectivity is a random function…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-29 Raphaël Forien , Guodong Pang , Étienne Pardoux , Arsene Brice Zotsa-Ngoufack

We investigate an infection-age structured competitive epidemiological model involving multiple strains. While classical results establish competitive exclusion when a unique maximal basic reproduction number exists, we provide here a…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-04-01 Simon Girel , Quentin Richard

In this paper, an epidemic model with spatial dependence is studied and results regarding its stability and numerical approximation are presented. We consider a generalization of the original Kermack and McKendrick model in which the size…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-04-05 Bálint Takács , Yiannis Hadjimichael

We study the spread of disease in an SIS model. The model considered is a time-varying, switched model, in which the parameters of the SIS model are subject to abrupt change. We show that the joint spectral radius can be used as a threshold…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-04-21 Mustapha Ait Rami , Vahid S. Bokharaie , Oliver Mason , Fabian R. Wirth

Aging is thought to be a consequence of intrinsic breakdowns in how genetic information is processed. But mounting experimental evidence suggests that aging can be slowed. To help resolve this mystery, I derive a mortality equation which…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-09-01 Thomas Fink

With the prevalence of COVID-19, the modeling of epidemic propagation and its analyses have played a significant role in controlling epidemics. However, individual behaviors, in particular the self-protection and migration, which have a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Yuhan Li , Ziyan Zeng , Minyu Feng , Jürgen Kurths