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Financial returns are known to exhibit heavy tails, volatility clustering and abrupt jumps that are poorly captured by classical diffusion models. Advances in machine learning have enabled highly flexible functional forms for conditional…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-03 Ziyao Wang , Svetlozar T Rachev

The paper deals with asymptotic properties of the adaptive procedure proposed in the author paper (2007) for estimation of unknown nonparametric regression. We prove that this procedure is asymptotically efficient for a quadratic risk. It…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Leonid Galtchouk , Serguey Pergamenshchikov

In this paper, we consider a one-dimensional diffusion process with jumps driven by a Hawkes process. We are interested in the estimations of the volatility function and of the jump function from discrete high-frequency observations in a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-04-28 Chiara Amorino , Charlotte Dion , Arnaud Gloter , Sarah Lemler

We propose an analytical method to determine the shape of density profiles in the asymptotic long time limit for a broad class of coupled continuous time random walks which operate in the ballistic regime. In particular, we show that…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-23 D. Froemberg , M. Schmiedeberg , E. Barkai , V. Zaburdaev

This work is concerned with the study of asymptotic properties of nonparametric density estimates in the framework of circular data. The estimation procedure here applied is based on wavelet thresholding methods: the wavelets used are the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-16 Claudio Durastanti

In this paper, we study the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of a convex hazard function. We show that the MLE is consistent and converges at a local rate of $n^{2/5}$ at points $x_0$ where the true hazard function is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-01-14 Hanna K. Jankowski , Jon A. Wellner

We study small time bounds for transition densities of convolution semigroups corresponding to pure jump L\'evy processes in $\mathbb{R}^{d}$, $d \geq 1$, including those with jumping kernels exponentially and subexponentially localized at…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-16 Kamil Kaleta , Paweł Sztonyk

The minimality of the penalization function associated with a convex risk measure is analyzed in this paper. First, in a general static framework, we provide necessary and sufficient conditions for a penalty function defined in a convex and…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-31 Daniel Hernández-Hernández , Leonel Pérez-Hernández

During the last decade Levy processes with jumps have received increasing popularity for modelling market behaviour for both derviative pricing and risk management purposes. Chan et al. (2009) introduced the use of empirical likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-01-16 Steven Kou , Tony Sit , Zhiliang Ying

A nonparametric procedure for robust regression estimation and for quantile regression is proposed which is completely data-driven and adapts locally to the regularity of the regression function. This is achieved by considering in each…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-04-06 Markus Reiss , Yves Rozenholc , Charles-Andre Cuenod

This paper presents a novel approach for pointwise estimation of multivariate density functions on known domains of arbitrary dimensions using nonparametric local polynomial estimators. Our method is highly flexible, as it applies to both…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-22 Karine Bertin , Nicolas Klutchnikoff , Frédéric Ouimet

We study the nonparametric estimation for the intensity of Poisson random measure in jump-diffusion CIR model based on the low frequency observations. This is given in terms of the minimization of norms on a nonempty, closed and convex…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-10 Wei Xu

We provide general adaptive upper bounds for estimating nonparametric functionals based on second order U-statistics arising from finite dimensional approximation of the infinite dimensional models. We then provide examples of functionals…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-07 Lin Liu , Rajarshi Mukherjee , James Robins , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

In this paper, we study a method to sample from a target distribution $\pi$ over $\mathbb{R}^d$ having a positive density with respect to the Lebesgue measure, known up to a normalisation factor. This method is based on the Euler…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-20 Alain Durmus , Eric Moulines

The paper studies the rate of convergence of the weak Euler approximation for solutions to possibly completely degenerate SDEs driven by Levy processes, with Hoelder-continuous coefficients. It investigates the dependence of the rate on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-14 R. Mikulevicius

In reliability theory and survival analysis, observed data are often weakly dependent and subject to additive measurement errors. Such contamination arises when the underlying data are neither independent nor strongly mixed but instead…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-20 Benjrada Mohammed Essalih

We consider the nonparametric estimation problem of time-dependent multivariate functions observed in a presence of additive cylindrical Gaussian white noise of a small intensity. We derive minimax lower bounds for the $L^2$-risk in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-02 Jérémie Bigot , Theofanis Sapatinas

Nonparametric regression with random design is considered. Estimates are defined by minimzing a penalized empirical $L_2$ risk over a suitably chosen class of neural networks with one hidden layer via gradient descent. Here, the gradient…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-10 Alina Braun , Michael Kohler , Harro Walk

We investigate the problem of estimating a function $f$ based on observations from its noisy convolution when the noise exhibits long-range dependence. We construct an adaptive estimator based on the kernel method, derive minimax lower…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-06-28 Rida Benhaddou

Efficient estimation of a non-Gaussian stable Levy process with drift and symmetric jumps observed at high frequency is considered. For this statistical experiment, the local asymptotic normality of the likelihood is proved with a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Alexandre Brouste , Hiroki Masuda