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Increasing practical interest has been shown in regression problems where the errors, or disturbances, are centred in a way that reflects particular characteristics of the mechanism that generated the data. In economics this occurs in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-07 Peter Hall , Ingrid Van Keilegom

We construct efficient robust truncated sequential estimators for the pointwise estimation problem in nonparametric autoregression models with smooth coefficients. For Gaussian models we propose an adaptive procedure based on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-04-18 Ouerdia Arkoun , Serguei Pergamenchtchikov

In this paper we investigate the problem of estimating the regression function in models with correlated observations. The data is obtained from several experimental units each of them forms a time series. We propose a new estimator based…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-13 Djihad Benelmadani , Karim Benhenni , Sana Louhichi

Nonparametric regression is a standard statistical tool with increased importance in the Big Data era. Boundary points pose additional difficulties but local polynomial regression can be used to alleviate them. Local linear regression, for…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2017-04-04 Srinjoy Das , Dimitris N. Politis

This paper considers the problem of estimating a periodic function in a continuous time regression model with a general square integrable semimartingale noise. A model selection adaptive procedure is proposed. Sharp non-asymptotic oracle…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-18 Victor Konev , Serguei Pergamenchtchikov

This paper deals with the nonparametric density estimation of the regression error term assuming its independence with the covariate. The difference between the feasible estimator which uses the estimated residuals and the unfeasible one…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-05 Rawane Samb

We provide new asymptotic theory for kernel density estimators, when these are applied to autoregressive processes exhibiting moderate deviations from a unit root. This fills a gap in the existing literature, which has to date considered…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-19 James A. Duffy

In this paper, we investigate a nonparametric approach to provide a recursive estimator of the transition density of a non-stationary piecewise-deterministic Markov process, from only one observation of the path within a long time. In this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-07 Romain Azaïs

We suggest two nonparametric approaches, based on kernel methods and orthogonal series to estimating regression functions in the presence of instrumental variables. For the first time in this class of problems, we derive optimal convergence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Peter Hall , Joel L. Horowitz

We propose a novel Bayesian approach to solve stochastic optimization problems that involve finding extrema of noisy, nonlinear functions. Previous work has focused on representing possible functions explicitly, which leads to a two-step…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-11-13 Pedro A. Ortega , Jordi Grau-Moya , Tim Genewein , David Balduzzi , Daniel A. Braun

An adaptive nonparametric estimation procedure is constructed for the estimation problem of heteroscedastic regression when the noise variance depends on the unknown regression. A non-asymptotic upper bound for a quadratic risk (an oracle…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Leonid Galtchouk , Serguey Pergamenshchikov

Nonparametric estimation of a mixing density based on observations from the corresponding mixture is a challenging statistical problem. This paper surveys the literature on a fast, recursive estimator based on the predictive recursion…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-15 Ryan Martin

We consider a nonparametric regression model with continuous endogenous independent variables when only discrete instruments are available that are independent of the error term. Although this framework is very relevant for applied…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-10-18 Samuele Centorrino , Frédérique Fève , Jean-Pierre Florens

We propose a formulation for nonlinear recurrent models that includes simple parametric models of recurrent neural networks as a special case. The proposed formulation leads to a natural estimator in the form of a convex program. We provide…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-28 Sohail Bahmani , Justin Romberg

The paper deals with asymptotic properties of the adaptive procedure proposed in the author paper (2007) for estimation of unknown nonparametric regression. We prove that this procedure is asymptotically efficient for a quadratic risk. It…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Leonid Galtchouk , Serguey Pergamenshchikov

The paper considers the problem of estimating the parameters in a continuous time regression model with a non-Gaussian noise of pulse type. The noise is specified by the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process driven by the mixture of a Brownian motion…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-17 Evgeny Pchelintsev

Non-conservative uncertainty bounds are key for both assessing an estimation algorithm's accuracy and in view of downstream tasks, such as its deployment in safety-critical contexts. In this paper, we derive a tight, non-asymptotic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-16 Amon Lahr , Johannes Köhler , Anna Scampicchio , Melanie N. Zeilinger

This paper proposes a recursive interval-valued estimation framework for identifying the parameters of linearly parameterized systems which may be slowly time-varying. It is assumed that the model error (which may consist in measurement…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-22 Laurent Bako , Seydi Ndiaye , Eric Blanco

We consider nonparametric estimation of a regression curve when the data are observed with multiplicative distortion which depends on an observed confounding variable. We suggest several estimators, ranging from a relatively simple one that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-13 Aurore Delaigle , Peter Hall , Wen-Xin Zhou

Nonparametric estimators of a regression function with circular response and Rd-valued predictor are considered in this work. Local polynomial type estimators are proposed and studied. Expressions for their asymptotic biases and variances…