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A univariate Hawkes process is a simple point process that is self-exciting and has clustering effect. The intensity of this point process is given by the sum of a baseline intensity and another term that depends on the entire past history…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-04 Xuefeng Gao , Lingjiong Zhu

We prove the almost sure invariance principle for stationary R^d--valued processes (with dimension-independent very precise error terms), solely under a strong assumption on the characteristic functions of these processes. This assumption…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2011-02-10 Sébastien Gouëzel

In this paper, we derive asymptotic results for L^1-Wasserstein distance between the distribution function and the corresponding empirical distribution function of a stationary sequence. Next, we give some applications to dynamical systems…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-16 Sophie Dede

We consider empirical processes generated by strictly stationary sequences of associated random variables. S. Louhichi established an invariance principle for such processes, assuming that the covariance function decays rapidly enough. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-28 Vadim Demichev

This paper studies theory and inference related to a class of time series models that incorporates nonlinear dynamics. It is assumed that the observations follow a one-parameter exponential family of distributions given an accompanying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-04-19 Richard A. Davis , Heng Liu

We establish the central limit theorem for linear processes with dependent innovations including martingales and mixingale type of assumptions as defined in McLeish [Ann. Probab. 5 (1977) 616--621] and motivated by Gordin [Soviet Math.…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Magda Peligrad , Sergey Utev

We compute some dependence coefficients for the stationary Markov chain whose transition kernel is the Perron-Frobenius operator of an expanding map $T$ of $[0, 1]$ with a neutral fixed point. We use these coefficients to prove a central…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-02-11 J. Dedecker , C. Prieur

We define the local empirical process, based on $n$ i.i.d. random vectors in dimension $d$, in the neighborhood of the boundary of a fixed set. Under natural conditions on the shrinking neighborhood, we show that, for these local empirical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-04-22 John H. J. Einmahl , Estáte V. Khmaladze

We prove an invariance principle (functional central limit theorem) for a vector-valued additive functional of a Markov chain for almost every starting point with respect to an ergodic equilibrium distribution. The hypothesis is a moment…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-10-20 F. Rassoul-Agha , T. Seppalainen

Let $(X_{\underline{\ell}})_{\underline{\ell} \in \mathbb Z^d}$ be a real random field (r.f.) indexed by $\mathbb Z^d$ with common probability distribution function $F$. Let $(z_k)_{k=0}^\infty$ be a sequence in $\mathbb Z^d$. The empirical…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-30 Guy Cohen , Jean-Pierre Conze

Extreme events are a major concern in statistical modeling. Ran\-dom missing data can constitute a problem when modeling such rare events. Imputation is crucial in these situations and therefore models that describe different imputation…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-10 Helena Ferreira , Ana Paula Martins , Maria da Graça Temido

We establish central limit theorems for a large class of supercritical branching Markov processes in infinite dimension with spatially dependent and non-necessarily local branching mechanisms. This result relies on a fourth moment…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-31 Bertrand Cloez , Nicolás Zalduendo

We consider a sequence of additive functionals {\phi_n}, set on a sequence of Markov chains {X_n} that weakly converges to a Markov process X. We give sufficient condition for such a sequence to converge in distribution, formulated in terms…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Yuri N. Kartashov , Alexey M. Kulik

We prove a central limit theorem for random sums of the form $\sum_{i=1}^{N_n} X_i$, where $\{X_i\}_{i \geq 1}$ is a stationary $m-$dependent process and $N_n$ is a random index independent of $\{X_i\}_{i\geq 1}$. Our proof is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-12 Umit Islak

We establish sufficient conditions for exponential convergence to a unique quasi-stationary distribution in the total variation norm. These conditions also ensure the existence and exponential ergodicity of the Q-process, the process…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-01 Aurélien Velleret

We prove several results concerning classifications, based on successive observations $(X_1,..., X_n)$ of an unknown stationary and ergodic process, for membership in a given class of processes, such as the class of all finite order Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-06-19 Gusztav Morvai , Benjamin Weiss

We prove central limit theorems, Berry-Esseen type theorems, almost sure invariance principles, large deviations and Livsic type regularity for partial sums of the form $S_n=\sum_{j=0}^{n-1}f_j(...,X_{j-1},X_j,X_{j+1},...)$, where $(X_j)$…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-14 Yeor Hafouta

We obtain the posterior distribution of a random process conditioned on observing the empirical frequencies of a finite sample path. We find under a rather broad assumption on the "dependence structure" of the process, {\em c.f.}…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-02 Wenqing Hu , Hong Qian

When considering two or more time series of functions or curves, for instance those derived from densely observed intraday stock price data of several companies, the empirical cross-covariance operator is of fundamental importance due to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-04 Gregory Rice , Marco Shum

This paper introduces a new concept of stochastic dependence among many random variables which we call conditional neighborhood dependence (CND). Suppose that there are a set of random variables and a set of sigma algebras where both sets…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-06 Ji Hyung Lee , Kyungchul Song