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We develop a continuous-time penalized regression framework for the estimation of time-varying coefficients and variable selection when both the response and covariates are It\^o semimartingales with jumps. The coefficient paths are…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-28 Aleksey Kolokolov , Shifan Yu

In this paper the method of simulated quantiles (MSQ) of Dominicy and Veredas (2013) and Dominick et al. (2013) is extended to a general multivariate framework (MMSQ) and to provide a sparse estimator of the scale matrix (sparse-MMSQ). The…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-11 Mauro Bernardi , Lea Petrella , Paola Stolfi

Mission critical applications, such as UAV-assisted IoT networks require risk-aware decision-making under dynamic topologies and uncertain channels. We propose meta-conservative quantile regression (M-CQR), a meta-offline distributional…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2026-04-23 Eslam Eldeeb , Hirley Alves

Kernel ridge regression (KRR) is a widely used nonparametric method due to its strong theoretical guarantees and computational convenience. However, standard KRR does not distinguish between linear and nonlinear components in the signal,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-13 Xin Bing , Chao Wang

Quantile regression is a powerful tool for robust and heterogeneous learning that has seen applications in a diverse range of applied areas. However, its broader application is often hindered by the substantial computational demands arising…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-13 Qian Tang , Yuwen Gu , Boxiang Wang

We establish a new concentration result for regularized risk minimizers which is similar to an oracle inequality. Applying this inequality to regularized least squares minimizers like least squares support vector machines, we show that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Ingo Steinwart , Don Hush , Clint Scovel

Quantile regression is a method to estimate the quantiles of the conditional distribution of a response variable, and as such it permits a much more accurate portrayal of the relationship between the response variable and observed…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2014-01-08 Jiyan Yang , Xiangrui Meng , Michael W. Mahoney

The paper introduces an estimation method for flexible Bayesian quantile regression in ordinal (FBQROR) models i.e., an ordinal quantile regression where the error follows a generalized asymmetric Laplace (GAL) distribution. The GAL…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-16 Mohammad Arshad Rahman , Shubham Karnawat

We address the problem of how to achieve optimal inference in distributed quantile regression without stringent scaling conditions. This is challenging due to the non-smooth nature of the quantile regression (QR) loss function, which…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-24 Kean Ming Tan , Heather Battey , Wen-Xin Zhou

In this paper we propose and study a version of the Dyadic Classification and Regression Trees (DCART) estimator from Donoho (1997) for (fixed design) quantile regression in general dimensions. We refer to this proposed estimator as the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-19 Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , Sabyasachi Chatterjee

In a classical regression model, it is usually assumed that the explanatory variables are independent of each other and error terms are normally distributed. But when these assumptions are not met, situations like the error terms are not…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-08 Bahadır Yüzbaşı , Yasin Asar , Ahmet Demiralp , M. Şamil Şık

Linear regression is a fundamental and popular statistical method. There are various kinds of linear regression, such as mean regression and quantile regression. In this paper, we propose a new one called distribution regression, which…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-27 Xin Chen , Xuejun Ma , Wang Zhou

The performance of Least Squares (LS) estimators is studied in isotonic, unimodal and convex regression. Our results have the form of sharp oracle inequalities that account for the model misspecification error. In isotonic and unimodal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-09 Pierre C. Bellec

We are interested in renewable estimations and algorithms for nonparametric models with streaming data. In our method, the nonparametric function of interest is expressed through a functional depending on a weight function and a conditional…

Computation · Statistics 2023-11-27 Yan Chen , Shuixin Fang , Lu Lin

In this paper, we consider a high-dimensional quantile regression model where the sparsity structure may differ between two sub-populations. We develop $\ell_1$-penalized estimators of both regression coefficients and the threshold…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-07 Sokbae Lee , Yuan Liao , Myung Hwan Seo , Youngki Shin

Quantile regression (QR) is becoming increasingly popular due to its relevance in many scientific investigations. There is a great amount of work about linear and nonlinear QR models. Specifically, nonparametric estimation of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-13 Eliana Christou

Quantile regression is a fundamental problem in statistical learning motivated by a need to quantify uncertainty in predictions, or to model a diverse population without being overly reductive. For instance, epidemiological forecasts, cost…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-18 Rasool Fakoor , Taesup Kim , Jonas Mueller , Alexander J. Smola , Ryan J. Tibshirani

We consider a finite mixture of Gaussian regression model for high- dimensional data, where the number of covariates may be much larger than the sample size. We propose to estimate the unknown conditional mixture density by a maximum…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-05 Emilie Devijver

Nonparametric regression subject to convexity or concavity constraints is increasingly popular in economics, finance, operations research, machine learning, and statistics. However, the conventional convex regression based on the least…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-27 Zhiqiang Liao , Sheng Dai , Timo Kuosmanen

We introduce Conformal Interquantile Regression (CIR), a conformal regression method that efficiently constructs near-minimal prediction intervals with guaranteed coverage. CIR leverages black-box machine learning models to estimate outcome…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-07 Naixin Guo , Rui Luo , Zhixin Zhou