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Forecasting the solar cycle amplitude is important for a better understanding of the solar dynamo as well as for many space weather applications. We demonstrated a steady relationship between the maximal growth rate of sunspot activity in…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-01-06 Tatiana Podladchikova , Shantanu Jain , Astrid M. Veronig , Olga Sutyrina , Mateja Dumbovic , Frederic Clette , Werner Poetzi

It is very important to forecast the future solar activity due to its effect on our planet and near space. Here, we employ the new version of the sunspot number index (version 2) to analyse the relationship between the solar maximum…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2016-09-08 V. M. S. Carrasco , J. M. Vaquero , M. C. Gallego

Various methods (or recipes) have been proposed to predict future solar activity levels - with mixed success. Among these, some precursor methods based upon quantities determined around or a few years before solar minimum have provided…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-06-25 Manfred Schuessler

We discuss one important aspect of Waldmeier effect which says that the stronger cycles rise rapidly than weaker cycles. We studied four different data set of solar activity indices, and find strong linear correlation between rise rates and…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2011-02-22 Bidya Binay Karak , Arnab Rai Choudhuri

Duration of the extended solar cycles is taken into the consideration. The beginning of cycles is counted from the moment of polarity reversal of large-scale magnetic field in high latitudes, occurring in the sunspot cycle n till the…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 A. G. Tlatov

The growth rate of solar activity in the early phase of a solar cycle has been known to be well correlated with the subsequent amplitude (solar maximum). It provides very useful information for a new solar cycle as its variation reflects…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2011-12-30 Z. L. Du , H. N. Wang

The linear relationship between the maximum amplitudes (R$_{max}$) of sunspot cycles and preceding minima (R$_{min}$) is one of the precursor methods used to predict the amplitude of the upcoming solar cycle. In the recent past this method…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-30 K. B. Ramesh , N. Bhagya Lakshmi

Using different proxies of solar activity, we have studied the following features of solar cycle. (i) A linear correlation between the amplitude of cycle and its decay rate, (ii) a linear correlation between the amplitude of cycle $n$ and…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-08-06 Gopal Hazra , Bidya Binay Karak , Dipankar Banerjee , Arnab Rai Choudhuri

Using Greenwich and SOON sunspot group data during the period 1874 -- 2005, we find that the sums of the areas of the sunspot groups in $0^\circ$ -- $10^\circ$ latitude-interval of the Sun's northern hemisphere and in the time-interval,…

Astrophysics · Physics 2008-11-26 J. Javaraiah

A review of solar cycle prediction methods and their performance is given, including forecasts for cycle 24 and focusing on aspects of the solar cycle prediction problem that have a bearing on dynamo theory. The scope of the review is…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-20 K. Petrovay

The recent paucity of sunspots and the delay in the expected start of Solar Cycle 24 have drawn attention to the challenges involved in predicting solar activity. Traditional models of the solar cycle usually require information about the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2013-12-05 Mercedes T. Richards , Michael L. Rogers , Donald St. P. Richards

Sunspot numbers form a comprehensive, long-duration proxy of solar activity and have been used numerous times to empirically investigate the properties of the solar cycle. A number of correlations have been discovered over the 24 cycles for…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-11 Yaming Yu , David A. van Dyk , Vinay L. Kashyap , C. Alex Young

The sunspot number data during the past 400 years indicates that both the profile and the amplitude of the solar cycle have large variations. Some precursors of the solar cycle were identified aiming to predict the solar cycle. The polar…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-15 Jie Jiang

Detailed models of the solar cycle require information about the starting time and rise time as well as the shape and amplitude of the cycle. However, none of these models includes a discussion of the variations in the length of the cycle,…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 Michael L. Rogers , Mercedes T. Richards , Donald St. P. Richards

The inherent stochastic and nonlinear nature of the solar dynamo makes the strength of the solar cycles vary in a wide range, making it difficult to predict the strength of an upcoming solar cycle. Recently, our work has shown that by using…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-12-25 Akash Biswas

The solar cycle onset at mid-latitudes, the slow down of the sunspot drift toward the equator, the tail-like attachment and the overlap of successive cycles at the time of activity minimum are delicate issues in $\alpha\Omega$ dynamo wave…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2016-09-07 R. Simoniello , S. C. Tripathy , K. Jain , F. Hill

The long-term variability of the sunspot cycle, as recorded by the Wolf numbers, are imprinted in different kinds of statistical relations which relate the cycle amplitudes, duration and shapes. This subject always gets a special attention…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-12 V. V. Pipin , D. D. Sokoloff , I. G. Usoskin

The use of different solar activity indices like sunspot numbers, sunspot areas, flare index, magnetic fields, etc., allows us to investigate the time evolution of some specific features of the solar activity and the underlying dynamo…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2013-10-11 Stefano Sello

Context. Solar activity cycles vary in amplitude and duration. The variations can be at least partly explained by fluctuations in dynamo parameters. Aims. We want to restrict uncertainty in fluctuating dynamo parameters and find out which…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-07-18 L. L. Kitchatinov , A. V. Mordvinov , A. A. Nepomnyashchikh

The duration of activity growths in solar cycles is on average shorter than the duration of its declines. This asymmetry can result from fluctuations in dynamo parameters. A solar dynamo model with fluctuations in the $\alpha$-effect shows…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-11-07 Leonid Kitchatinov , Alexander Nepomnyashchikh
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