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There has been significant research done on developing methods for improving robustness to distributional shift and uncertainty estimation. In contrast, only limited work has examined developing standard datasets and benchmarks for…

Alignment of curve data is an integral part of their statistical analysis, and can be achieved using model- or optimization-based approaches. The parameter space is usually the set of monotone, continuous warp maps of a domain.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-05 Karthik Bharath , Sebastian Kurtek

We develop a probabilistic machine learning model and use it to screen for new hybrid organic-inorganic perovskites (HOIPs) with targeted electronic band gap. The data set used for this work is highly diverse, containing multiple atomic…

Materials Science · Physics 2021-12-08 Vu Ngoc Tuoc , Nga T. T. Nguyen , Vinit Sharma , Tran Doan Huan

Probabilistic programming languages (PPLs) are expressive means for creating and reasoning about probabilistic models. Unfortunately hybrid probabilistic programs, involving both continuous and discrete structures, are not well supported by…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2024-06-25 Poorva Garg , Steven Holtzen , Guy Van den Broeck , Todd Millstein

Most work on supervised learning research has focused on marginal predictions. In decision problems, joint predictive distributions are essential for good performance. Previous work has developed methods for assessing low-order predictive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-01 Ian Osband , Zheng Wen , Seyed Mohammad Asghari , Vikranth Dwaracherla , Xiuyuan Lu , Benjamin Van Roy

Segmentation, a useful/powerful technique in pattern recognition, is the process of identifying object outlines within images. There are a number of efficient algorithms for segmentation in Euclidean space that depend on the variational…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-11-12 Xiaohao Cai , Christopher G. R. Wallis , Jennifer Y. H. Chan , Jason D. McEwen

Computing and storing probabilities is a hard problem as soon as one has to deal with complex distributions over multiple random variables. The problem of efficient representation of probability distributions is central in term of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-08-16 David Bellot , Pierre Bessiere

Probabilistic inferences distill knowledge from graphs to aid human make important decisions. Due to the inherent uncertainty in the model and the complexity of the knowledge, it is desirable to help the end-users understand the inference…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-08-21 Chao Chen , Yifei Liu , Xi Zhang , Sihong Xie

A multi-physics formulation for Data Driven Prognosis (DDP) is developed. Unlike traditional predictive strategies that require controlled off-line measurements or training for determination of constitutive parameters to derive the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2015-08-19 Abhijit Chandra , Oliva Kar

A data analysis pipeline is a structured sequence of steps that transforms raw data into meaningful insights by integrating various analysis algorithms. In this paper, we propose a novel statistical test to assess the significance of data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-15 Tomohiro Shiraishi , Tatsuya Matsukawa , Shuichi Nishino , Ichiro Takeuchi

Any decision making process that relies on a probabilistic forecast of future events necessarily requires a calibrated forecast. This paper proposes new methods for empirically assessing forecast calibration in a multivariate setting where…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-02 Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir , Michael Scheuerer , Christopher Heinz

Inference on unknown quantities in dynamical systems via observational data is essential for providing meaningful insight, furnishing accurate predictions, enabling robust control, and establishing appropriate designs for future…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-06 M. Chung , M. Binois , R. B. Gramacy , D. J. Moquin , A. P. Smith , A. M. Smith

Data-driven decision-making under uncertainty typically presumes the collection of historical data from an unknown target probability distribution. However, one may have no access to any data from the target distribution prior to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-23 Xianyu Li , Huan Xu , Xiaolin Huang , Chao Shang

A composite likelihood is a combination of low-dimensional likelihood objects useful in applications where the data have complex structure. Although composite likelihood construction is a crucial aspect influencing both computing and…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-26 Zhendong Huang , Davide Ferrari

Implementing Bayesian inference is often computationally challenging in applications involving complex models, and sometimes calculating the likelihood itself is difficult. Synthetic likelihood is one approach for carrying out inference…

Computation · Statistics 2021-03-15 David T. Frazier , David J. Nott , Christopher Drovandi , Robert Kohn

In recent years, due to the wide applications of uncertain data, mining frequent itemsets over uncertain databases has attracted much attention. In uncertain databases, the support of an itemset is a random variable instead of a fixed…

Databases · Computer Science 2012-08-02 Yongxin Tong , Lei Chen , Yurong Cheng , Philip S. Yu

This paper proposes a mechanism to fine-tune convex approximations of probabilistic reachable sets (PRS) of uncertain dynamic systems. We consider the case of unbounded uncertainties, for which it may be impossible to find a bounded…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-02-06 Pengcheng Wu , Sonia Martinez , Jun Chen

Frequency estimation, a.k.a. histograms, is a workhorse of data analysis, and as such has been thoroughly studied under differentially privacy. In particular, computing histograms in the \emph{local} model of privacy has been the focus of a…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-09-05 Clément L. Canonne , Abigail Gentle

For given computational resources, the accuracy of plasma simulations using particles is mainly held back by the noise due to limited statistical sampling in the reconstruction of the particle distribution function. A method based on…

Computational Physics · Physics 2009-09-03 Romain Nguyen van yen , Diego del-Castillo-Negrete , Kai Schneider , Marie Farge , Guangye Chen

Predicting chaotic dynamical systems is critical in many scientific fields, such as weather forecasting, but challenging due to the characteristic sensitive dependence on initial conditions. Traditional modeling approaches require extensive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Christof Schötz , Alistair White , Maximilian Gelbrecht , Niklas Boers