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We introduce a framework for obtaining tight mixing times for Markov chains based on what we call restricted modified log-Sobolev inequalities. Modified log-Sobolev inequalities (MLSI) quantify the rate of relative entropy contraction for…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-11-08 Nima Anari , Vishesh Jain , Frederic Koehler , Huy Tuan Pham , Thuy-Duong Vuong

We establish non-asymptotic error bounds for the classical Maximal Likelihood Estimation of the transition matrix of a given Markov chain. Meanwhile, in the reversible case, we propose a new reversibility-preserving online Symmetric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-07 De Huang , Xiangyuan Li

We consider an independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) random dynamical system of simple linear transformations on the unit interval $T_{\beta}(x)=\beta x$ (mod $1$), $x\in[0,1]$, $\beta>0$, which are the so-called…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-04-26 Shintaro Suzuki

We develop a Thermodynamic Formalism for bounded continuous potentials defined on the sequence space $X\equiv E^{\mathbb{N}}$, where $E$ is a general Borel standard space. In particular, we introduce meaningful concepts of entropy and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-06-26 L. Cioletti , E. A. Silva , M. Stadlbauer

Filyokov and Karpov [Inzhenerno-Fizicheskii Zhurnal 13, 624 (1967)] have proposed a theory of non-equilibrium steady states in direct analogy with the theory of equilibrium states : the principle is to maximize the Shannon entropy…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-03-07 Cecile Monthus

Suppose $N$ independent Bernoulli trials are observed sequentially at random times of a mixed binomial process. The task is to maximise, by using a nonanticipating stopping strategy, the probability of stopping at the last success. We focus…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-22 Alexander Gnedin , Zakaria Derbazi

We establish the weak large deviations principle for empirical measures of Markov chains on $\mathbb R^d$ under mild assumptions. In particular, no irreducibility is assumed and the initial measure may be arbitrary. The proof is entirely…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-24 Léo Daures

For a Markov decision process with countably infinite states, the optimal value may not be achievable in the set of stationary policies. In this paper, we study the existence conditions of an optimal stationary policy in a countable-state…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-07-06 Li Xia , Xianping Guo , Xi-Ren Cao

Ergodic optimization aims to describe dynamically invariant probability measures that maximize the integral of a given function. For a wide class of intrinsically ergodic subshifts over a finite alphabet, we show that the space of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-04-15 Mao Shinoda , Hiroki Takahasi , Kenichiro Yamamoto

We investigate the convergence rate of the optimal entropic cost $v_\varepsilon$ to the optimal transport cost as the noise parameter $\varepsilon \downarrow 0$. We show that for a large class of cost functions $c$ on $\mathbb{R}^d\times…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-06-08 Guillaume Carlier , Paul Pegon , Luca Tamanini

Let $\sigma(u)$, $u\in \mathbb{R}$ be an ergodic stationary Markov chain, taking a finite number of values $a_1,...,a_m$, and $b(u)=g(\sigma(u))$, where $g$ is a bounded and measurable function. We consider the diffusion type process $$…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-24 P. Chigansky , R. Liptser

We study convergence properties of pseudo-marginal Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms (Andrieu and Roberts [Ann. Statist. 37 (2009) 697-725]). We find that the asymptotic variance of the pseudo-marginal algorithm is always at least as…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-31 Christophe Andrieu , Matti Vihola

Let $\Xi_n \subset \mathbb R^d$, $n\ge 1$, be a sequence of finite sets and consider a $\Xi_n$-valued, irreducible, reversible, continuous-time Markov chain $(X^{(n)}_t:t\ge 0)$. Denote by $\mathscr P(\mathbb R^d) $ the set of probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-09 Claudio Landim , Ricardo Misturini , Federico Sau

The analysis of the dynamics of a large class of excitable systems on locally tree-like networks leads to the conclusion that at $\lambda=1$ a continuous phase transition takes place, where $\lambda$ is the largest eigenvalue of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-12-09 Milad Rahimi-Majd , Juan G. Restrepo , Morteza Nattagh-Najafi

Strong invariance principles in Markov chain Monte Carlo are crucial to theoretically grounded output analysis. Using the wide-sense regenerative nature of the process, we obtain explicit bounds in the strong invariance converging rates for…

Computation · Statistics 2025-04-11 Arka Banerjee , Dootika Vats

Exponential random graphs are used extensively in the sociology literature. This model seeks to incorporate in random graphs the notion of reciprocity, that is, the larger than expected number of triangles and other small subgraphs.…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-15 Shankar Bhamidi , Guy Bresler , Allan Sly

We study the N-step binary stationary ergodic Markov chain and analyze its differential entropy. Supposing that the correlations are weak we express the conditional probability function of the chain through the pair correlation function and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-24 S. S. Melnik , O. V. Usatenko

Let $A$ be a finite set and $\phi:A^Z\to R$ be a locally constant potential. For each $\beta>0$ ("inverse temperature"), there is a unique Gibbs measure $\mu_{\beta\phi}$. We prove that, as $\beta\to+\infty$, the family…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2011-09-21 J. -R. Chazottes , J. -M. Gambaudo , E. Ugalde

We prove existence of (at most denumerable many) absolutely continuous invariant probability measures for random one-dimensional dynamical systems with asymptotic expansion. If the rate of expansion (Lyapunov exponents) is bounded away from…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-11-18 Vitor Araujo , Javier Solano

We consider continuous-space, discrete-time Markov chains on $\mathbb{R}^d$, that admit a finite number $N$ of metastable states. Our main motivation for investigating these processes is to analyse random Poincar\'e maps, which describe…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Nils Berglund