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Entropy estimation, due in part to its connection with mutual information, has seen considerable use in the study of time series data including causality detection and information flow. In many cases, the entropy is estimated using…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-06 Alexander L Young , David B Dunson

The purpose of this paper is to study the time average behavior of Markov chains with transition probabilities being kernels of completely continuous operators, and therefore to provide a sufficient condition for a class of Markov chains…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-16 Shizhou Xu

We consider symmetric Markov chains on $\Bbb Z^d$ where we do {\bf not} assume that the conductance between two points must be zero if the points are far apart. Under a uniform second moment condition on the conductances, we obtain upper…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Richard F. Bass , Takashi Kumagai

In this paper we revisit the notion of the "minus logarithm of stationary probability" as a generalized potential in nonequilibrium systems and attempt to illustrate its central role in an axiomatic approach to stochastic nonequilibrium…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-30 Lowell F. Thompson , Hong Qian

Maximum entropy principle identifies forces conjugated to observables and the thermodynamic relations between them, independent upon their underlying mechanistic details. For data about state distributions or transition statistics, the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-12-08 Ying-Jen Yang , Hong Qian

Let $A$ be a transition probability kernel on a finite state space $\Delta^o =\{1, \ldots , d\}$ such that $A(x,y)>0$ for all $x,y \in \Delta^o$. Consider a reinforced chain given as a sequence $\{X_n, \; n \in \mathbb{N}_0\}$ of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-20 Amarjit Budhiraja , Adam Waterbury

Consider a discrete time Markov process $X^\epsilon$ on $\mathbf R^d$ that makes a deterministic jump based on its current location, and then takes a small Gaussian step of variance $\epsilon^2$. We study the behavior of the asymptotic…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-19 William Cooperman , Gautam Iyer , James Nolen

We analyse the $\ell^2(\pi)$-convergence rate of irreducible and aperiodic Markov chains with $N$-band transition probability matrix $P$ and with invariant distribution $\pi$. This analysis is heavily based on: first the study of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-15 Loïc Hervé , James Ledoux

Large deviation results are given for a class of perturbed nonhomogeneous Markov chains on finite state space which formally includes some stochastic optimization algorithms. Specifically, let {P_n} be a sequence of transition matrices on a…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Zach Dietz , Sunder Sethuraman

For Markov chains and Markov processes exhibiting a form of stochastic monotonicity (larger states shift up transition probabilities in terms of stochastic dominance), stability and ergodicity results can be obtained using order-theoretic…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-01 Takashi Kamihigashi , John Stachurski

Thermalization is one of the most important phenomena in statistical physics. Often, the transition probabilities between different states in the phase space is or can be approximated by constants. In this case, the system can be described…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-09-13 Francesco Caravelli

For continuous-time Markov chains we prove that, depending on the notion of effective affinity $F$, the probability of an edge current to ever become negative is either $1$ if $F< 0$ else $\sim \exp - F$. The result generalizes a ``noria''…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-03-13 Matteo Polettini , Izaak Neri

Nonparametric identification and maximum likelihood estimation for finite-state hidden Markov models are investigated. We obtain identification of the parameters as well as the order of the Markov chain if the transition probability…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-01 Grigory Alexandrovich , Hajo Holzmann , Anna Leister

Consider a sequence of continuous-time Markov chains $(X^{(n)}_t:t\ge 0)$ evolving on a fixed finite state space $V$. Let $I_n$ be the level two large deviations rate functional for $X^{(n)}_t$, as $t\to\infty$. Under a hypothesis on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-26 C. Landim

We study the probability that an AR(1) Markov chain $X_{n+1}=aX_n+\xi_{n+1}$, where $a\in(0,1)$ is a constant, stays non-negative for a long time. We find the exact asymptotics of this probability and the weak limit of $X_n$ conditioned to…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-08 Vladislav Vysotsky , Vitali Wachtel

Understanding and predicting how complex systems respond to external perturbations is a central challenge in nonequilibrium statistical physics. Here we consider continuous-time Markov networks, which we subject to perturbations along a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-02-25 Robin Bebon , Thomas Speck

We consider a Markov chain $(M_{n})_{n\ge 0}$ on the set $\mathbb{N}_{0}$ of nonnegative integers which is eventually decreasing, i.e. $\mathbb{P}\{M_{n+1}<M_{n}|M_{n}\ge a\}=1$ for some $a\in\mathbb{N}$ and all $n\ge 0$. We are interested…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-08 Gerold Alsmeyer , Alexander Marynych

Thermal and other transport coefficients were recently shown to be largely independent of the microscopic representation of the energy (current) densities or, more generally, of the relevant conserved densities/currents. In this paper we…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-04-08 Aris Marcolongo , Loris Ercole , Stefano Baroni

Inspired by \citet{Berkes14} and \citet{Wu07}, we prove an almost sure invariance principle for stationary $\beta-$mixing stochastic processes defined on Hilbert space. Our result can be applied to Markov chain satisfying Meyn-Tweedie type…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-21 Jianya Lu , Wei Biao Wu , Zhijie Xiao , Lihu Xu

We establish metastability in the sense of Lebowitz and Penrose under practical and simple hypothesis for (families of) Markov chains on finite configuration space in some asymptotic regime, including the case of configuration space size…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-31 Alessandra Bianchi , Alexandre Gaudillière
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