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This paper integrates two strands of the literature on stability of general state Markov chains: conventional, total variation based results and more recent order-theoretic results. First we introduce a complete metric over Borel…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-02 Takashi Kamihigashi , John Stachurski

A rapidly increasing number of systems is identified in which the stochastic motion of tracer particles follows the Brownian law $\langle\mathbf{r}^2(t) \rangle\simeq Dt$ yet the distribution of particle displacements is strongly…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-01-30 V. Sposini , A. V. Chechkin , R. Metzler

We consider a continuous time Markov chain on a countable state space. We prove a joint large deviation principle (LDP) of the empirical measure and current in the limit of large time interval. The proof is based on results on the joint…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-02 L. Bertini , A. Faggionato , D. Gabrielli

Markov chains are a class of probabilistic models that have achieved widespread application in the quantitative sciences. This is in part due to their versatility, but is compounded by the ease with which they can be probed analytically.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-18 Eddie Seabrook , Laurenz Wiskott

We introduce a new random graph model motivated by biological questions relating to speciation. This random graph is defined as the stationary distribution of a Markov chain on the space of graphs on $\{1, \ldots, n\}$. The dynamics of this…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-24 François Bienvenu , Florence Débarre , Amaury Lambert

A theory of systems with long-range correlations based on the consideration of binary N-step Markov chains is developed. In our model, the conditional probability that the i-th symbol in the chain equals zero (or unity) is a linear function…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 O. V. Usatenko , V. A. Yampol'skii

In this paper, we are interested in investigating the perturbation bounds for the stationary distributions for discrete-time or continuous-time Markov chains on a countable state space. For discrete-time Markov chains, two new norm-wise…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-08-27 Yuanyuan Liu

The switch Markov chain has been extensively studied as the most natural Markov Chain Monte Carlo approach for sampling graphs with prescribed degree sequences. We use comparison arguments with other, less natural but simpler to analyze,…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2018-10-29 Georgios Amanatidis , Pieter Kleer

We decide the stability and compute the Lyapunov exponent of continuous-time linear switching systems with a guaranteed dwell time. The main result asserts that the discretization method with step size~$h$ approximates the Lyapunov exponent…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-02-08 Thomas Mejstrik , Vladimir Yu. Protasov

In this paper we study Monte Carlo estimators based on the likelihood ratio approach for steady-state sensitivity. We first extend the result of Glynn and Olvera-Cravioto [doi:doi: 10.1287/stsy.2018.002] to the setting of continuous time…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-23 Ting Wang , Petr Plechac

Markov chains and Markov decision processes (MDPs) are well-established probabilistic models. While finite Markov models are well-understood, analysing their infinite counterparts remains a significant challenge. Decisiveness has proven to…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-04-23 Nathalie Bertrand , Patricia Bouyer , Thomas Brihaye , Paulin Fournier , Pierre Vandenhove

An explicit first-order drift-randomized Milstein scheme for a regime switching stochastic differential equation is proposed and its bi-stability and rate of strong convergence are investigated for a non-differentiable drift coefficient.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-11 Divyanshu Vashistha , Chaman Kumar

We consider a model of a discrete time "interacting particle system" on the integer line where infinitely many changes are allowed at each instance of time. We describe the model using chameleons of two different colours, {\it viz}., red…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-07-23 Antar Bandyopadhyay , Rahul Roy , Anish Sarkar

The switch chain is a well-studied Markov chain which can be used to sample approximately uniformly from the set $\Omega(\boldsymbol{d})$ of all graphs with a given degree sequence $\boldsymbol{d}$. Polynomial mixing time (rapid mixing) has…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2020-12-01 Pu Gao , Catherine Greenhill

This paper aims to provide a simple modelling of speculative bubbles and derive some quantitative properties of its dynamical evolution. Starting from a description of individual speculative behaviours, we build and study a second order…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-25 Sébastien Gadat , Laurent Miclo , Fabien Panloup

This study explores a Gaussian quasi-likelihood approach for estimating parameters of diffusion processes with Markovian regime switching. Assuming the ergodicity under high-frequency sampling, we will show the asymptotic normality of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-19 Yuzhong Cheng , Hiroki Masuda

We present two data-driven procedures to estimate the transition density of an homogeneous Markov chain. The first yields to a piecewise constant estimator on a suitable random partition. By using an Hellinger-type loss, we establish…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-10-19 Mathieu Sart

We consider first-passage percolation on a ladder, i.e. the graph {0,1,...}*{0,1} where nodes at distance 1 are joined by an edge, and the times are exponentially i.i.d. with mean 1. We find an appropriate Markov chain to calculate an…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-09-29 Henrik Renlund

Since the paper of Kleinberg and Kleinberg, SODA'05, where it was proven that the preferential attachment random graph with degeneracy at least 3 does not obey the first order 0-1 law, no general methods were developed to study logical…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-01 Yury Malyshkin , Maksim Zhukovskii

This paper provides full classification of dynamics for continuous time Markov chains (CTMCs) on the non-negative integers with polynomial transition rate functions. Such stochastic processes are abundant in applications, in particular in…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-01 Chuang Xu , Mads Christian Hansen , Carsten Wiuf