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The key objective of this paper is to develop an empirical model for pricing SPX options that can be simulated over future paths of the SPX. To accomplish this, we formulate and rigorously evaluate several statistical models, including…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-24 Alessio Brini , David A. Hsieh , Patrick Kuiper , Sean Moushegian , David Ye

We solve in closed-form an equilibrium model in which a finite number of exponential investors continuously consume and trade with price-impact. Compared to the analogous Pareto-efficient equilibrium model, price-impact has an amplification…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-03 Xiao Chen , Jin Hyuk Choi , Kasper Larsen , Duane J. Seppi

Option pricing is mainly based on ideal market conditions which are well represented by the Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM) as market model. We study the effect of non-ideal market conditions on the price of the option. We focus our…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Josep Perello , Jaume Masoliver

This project works with the risk model developed by Li et al. (2015) and quests modelling, estimating and pricing insurance for risks brought in by innovative technologies, or other emerging or latent risks. The model considers two…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-20 Weihong Ni , Corina Constantinescu , Alfredo Egídio dos Reis , Véronique Maume-Deschamps

A new method is proposed to obtain the risk neutral probability of share prices without stochastic calculus and price modeling, via an embedding of the price return modeling problem in Le Cam's statistical experiments framework.…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-11-19 Yannis G. Yatracos

Performativity, the phenomenon where outcomes are influenced by predictions, is particularly prevalent in social contexts where individuals strategically respond to a deployed model. In order to preserve the high accuracy of machine…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-31 Nikita Tsoy , Ivan Kirev , Negin Rahimiyazdi , Nikola Konstantinov

We present extensive evidence that ``risk premium'' is strongly correlated with tail-risk skewness but very little with volatility. We introduce a new, intuitive definition of skewness and elicit an approximately linear relation between the…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-11-02 Y. Lempérière , C. Deremble , T. T. Nguyen , P. Seager , M. Potters , J. P. Bouchaud

In this work we deal with the funding costs rising from hedging the risky securities underlying a target volatility strategy (TVS), a portfolio of risky assets and a risk-free one dynamically rebalanced in order to keep the realized…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-06 Roberto Daluiso , Emanuele Nastasi , Andrea Pallavicini , Stefano Polo

We consider an insurance company whose surplus is represented by the classical Cramer-Lundberg process. The company can invest its surplus in a risk free asset and in a risky asset, governed by the Black-Scholes equation. There is a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-12-20 Tatiana Belkina , Christian Hipp , Shangzhen Luo , Michael Taksar

In this paper we study dynamic pricing mechanisms of financial derivatives. A typical model of such pricing mechanism is the so-called g--expectation defined by solutions of a backward stochastic differential equation with g as its…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Shige Peng

We review the nature of some well-known phenomena such as volatility smiles, convexity adjustments and parallel derivative markets. We propose that the market is incomplete and postulate the existence of intrinsic risks in every contingent…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-08-19 Truc Le

In the information-based approach to asset pricing the market filtration is modelled explicitly as a superposition of signals concerning relevant market factors and independent noise. The rate at which the signal is revealed to the market…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-09-21 Dorje C. Brody , Yan Tai Law

Prices of European call options in a regime-switching local volatility model can be computed by solving a parabolic system which generalises the classical Black and Scholes equation, giving these prices as functionals of the local…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2017-10-10 Mourad Bellassoued , Raymond Brummelhuis , Michel Cristofol , Eric Soccorsi

In common finance literature, Black-Scholes partial differential equation of option pricing is usually derived with no-arbitrage principle. Considering an asset market, Merton applied the Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman techniques of his…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 D. F. Wang

In this note, we develop stock option price approximations for a model which takes both the risk o default and the stochastic volatility into account. We also let the intensity of defaults be influenced by the volatility. We show that it…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2007-12-21 Erhan Bayraktar

We study general properties such as the solution representation of a moving boundary value problem of the Black-Scholes equation, its min-max estimation, lower and upper gradient estimates, and strict monotonicity with respect to the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-14 Hyong-Chol O , Tae-Song Choe

This paper discusses the connection between mathematical finance and statistical modelling which turns out to be more than a formal mathematical correspondence. We like to figure out how common results and notions in statistics and their…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-04-23 Arnold Janssen , Martin Tietje

In the Black-Scholes model, the absence of arbitrages imposes necessary constraints on the slope of the implied variance in terms of log-moneyness, asymptotically for large log-moneyness. The constraints are used for example in the SVI…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2023-04-27 Fabien Le Floc'h , Winfried Koller

The robust option pricing problem is to find upper and lower bounds on fair prices of financial claims using only the most minimal assumptions. It contrasts with the classical, model-based approach and gained prominence in the wake of the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-15 Alexander M. G. Cox , Annemarie M. Grass

Using the option delta systematically, we derive tighter lower and upper bounds of the Black-Scholes implied volatility than those in Tehranchi [SIAM J. Financ. Math. 7 (2016), 893-916]. As an application, we propose a Newton-Raphson…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-04 Jaehyuk Choi , Jeonggyu Huh , Nan Su