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I propose a new volume-weighted probability measure for cosmological "multiverse" scenarios involving eternal inflation. The "reheating-volume (RV) cutoff" calculates the distribution of observable quantities on a portion of the reheating…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2008-11-26 Sergei Winitzki

I recently proposed the "reheating-volume" (RV) prescription as a possible solution to the measure problem in "multiverse" cosmology. The goal of this work is to extend the RV measure to scenarios involving bubble nucleation, such as the…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2008-12-30 Sergei Winitzki

An improved volume-weighted probability measure for eternal inflation is proposed. For the models studied in this paper it leads to simple and intuitively expected gauge-invariant results.

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2009-11-13 Andrei Linde

The multiverse/landscape paradigm that has emerged from eternal inflation and string theory, describes a large-scale multiverse populated by "pocket universes" which come in a huge variety of different types, including different…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2014-11-20 Delia Schwartz-Perlov , Alexander Vilenkin

For slow-roll inflation we study the phase transition to the eternal regime. Starting from a finite inflationary volume, we consider the volume of the universe at reheating as order parameter. We show that there exists a critical value for…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2009-12-15 Paolo Creminelli , Sergei Dubovsky , Alberto Nicolis , Leonardo Senatore , Matias Zaldarriaga

As a contribution to a viable candidate for a standard model of cosmology, we here show that pre-inflationary quantum fluctuations can provide a scenario for the long-sought initial conditions for the inflaton field. Our proposal is based…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2020-07-09 I. G. Marian , N. Defenu , U. D. Jentschura , A. Trombettoni , I. Nandori

Inflation is a necessary cosmic mechanism to cure basic inconsistencies of the standard model of cosmology. These problems are usually `fixed' by postulating the existence of a scalar field (called the ``inflaton''). However, other less ad…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2026-01-16 Joan Solà Peracaula , Àlex González-Fuentes , Cristian Moreno-Pulido

We discuss eternal inflation in context of classical probability spaces defined by a triplet: sample space, $\sigma$-algebra and probability measure. We show that the measure problem is caused by the countable additivity axiom applied to…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2016-03-29 Vitaly Vanchurin

It has been widely claimed that inflation is generically eternal to the future, even in models where the inflaton potential monotonically increases away from its minimum. The idea is that quantum fluctuations allow the field to jump uphill,…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2009-11-11 Steven Gratton , Neil Turok

In generic models of cosmological inflation, quantum fluctuations strongly influence the spacetime metric and produce infinitely many regions where the end of inflation (reheating) is delayed until arbitrarily late times. The geometry of…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2008-11-26 Sergei Winitzki

Probabilities in eternal inflation are traditionally defined as limiting frequency distributions, but a unique and unambiguous probability measure remains elusive. In this paper, we present a different approach, based on Bayesian reasoning.…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2023-07-19 Justin Khoury , Sam S. C. Wong

We study various probability measures for eternal inflation by applying their regularization prescriptions to models where inflation is not eternal. For simplicity we work with a toy model describing inflation that can interpolate between…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2014-11-21 Andrei Linde , Mahdiyar Noorbala

I address some recently raised issues regarding the time-parametrization dependence in stochastic descriptions of eternal inflation. To clarify the role of the choice of the time gauge, I show examples of gauge-dependent as well as…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2009-11-11 Sergei Winitzki

In this paper we present a path integral formulation of stochastic inflation, in which volume weighting can easily be implemented. With an in-depth study of inflation in a quartic potential, we investigate how the inflaton evolves and how…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2013-05-29 Steven Gratton

In previous works we have derived a Running Vacuum Model (RVM) for a string Universe, which provides an effective description of the evolution of 4-dimensional string-inspired cosmologies from inflation till the present epoch. In the…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2021-09-20 Nick E. Mavromatos , Joan Sola

Models of inflationary cosmology can lead to variation of observable parameters ("constants of Nature") on extremely large scales. The question of making probabilistic predictions for today's observables in such models has been investigated…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2008-11-26 Vitaly Vanchurin , Alexander Vilenkin , Serge Winitzki

The slow rolling inflation is dual to the random walk of conformal zero-mode. The 2 dimensional Fokker-Planck theory predicts the slow roll parameters of 4d inflation theory. The O(N) enhancements of the two point functions, N is the…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2023-05-02 Yoshihisa Kitazawa

Predictions in an eternally inflating multiverse are meaningless unless we specify the probability measure. The scale-factor cutoff is perhaps the simplest and most successful measure which avoid catastrophic problems such as the youngness…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2020-02-19 Alexander Vilenkin , Masaki Yamada

The basic workings of inflationary models are summarized, along with the arguments that strongly suggest that our universe is the product of inflation. The mechanisms that lead to eternal inflation in both new and chaotic models are…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 Alan H. Guth

In recent literature on eternal inflation, a number of measures have been introduced which attempt to assign probabilities to different pocket universes by counting the number of each type of pocket according to a specific procedure. We…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2008-11-26 Anthony Aguirre , Steven Gratton , Matthew C Johnson
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