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A Bayesian procedure is developed for multivariate stochastic volatility, using state space models. An autoregressive model for the log-returns is employed. We generalize the inverted Wishart distribution to allow for different correlation…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 K. Triantafyllopoulos

This paper develops a methodology for approximating the posterior first two moments of the posterior distribution in Bayesian inference. Partially specified probability models, which are defined only by specifying means and variances, are…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-01-27 K. Triantafyllopoulos , P. J. Harrison

Data for several applications in diverse fields can be represented as multiple matrices that are linked across rows or columns. This is particularly common in molecular biomedical research, in which multiple molecular "omics" technologies…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-02 Eric F. Lock

We present DeepMVI, a deep learning method for missing value imputation in multidimensional time-series datasets. Missing values are commonplace in decision support platforms that aggregate data over long time stretches from disparate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-22 Parikshit Bansal , Prathamesh Deshpande , Sunita Sarawagi

The great success of deep learning (DL) has inspired researchers to develop more accurate and efficient symbol detectors for multi-input multi-output (MIMO) systems. Existing DL-based MIMO detectors, however, suffer several drawbacks. To…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-01-12 Qian Wan , Jun Fang , Yinsen Huang , Huiping Duan , Hongbin Li

Multilevel models (MLMs) are a central building block of the Bayesian workflow. They enable joint, interpretable modeling of data across hierarchical levels and provide a fully probabilistic quantification of uncertainty. Despite their…

Matrix-variate distributions can intuitively model the dependence structure of matrix-valued observations that arise in applications with multivariate time series, spatio-temporal or repeated measures. This paper develops an…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-24 Geoffrey Z. Thompson , Ranjan Maitra , William Q. Meeker , Ashraf Bastawros

Deep Learning (DL) methods have dramatically increased in popularity in recent years, with significant growth in their application to supervised learning problems in the biomedical sciences. However, the greater prevalence and complexity of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-30 David K Lim , Naim U Rashid , Junier B Oliva , Joseph G Ibrahim

Vector autoregressive (VAR) models are widely used in multivariate time series analysis for describing the short-time dynamics of the data. The reduced-rank VAR models are of particular interest when dealing with high-dimensional and highly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-02 Farida Enikeeva , Olga Klopp , Mathilde Rousselot

Koopman theory asserts that a nonlinear dynamical system can be mapped to a linear system, where the Koopman operator advances observations of the state forward in time. However, the observable functions that map states to observations are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-04 Jeremy Morton , Freddie D Witherden , Mykel J Kochenderfer

High-dimensional time series data exist in numerous areas such as finance, genomics, healthcare, and neuroscience. An unavoidable aspect of all such datasets is missing data, and dealing with this issue has been an important focus in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-27 Amin Jalali , Rebecca Willett

We propose an l1-regularized likelihood method for estimating the inverse covariance matrix in the high-dimensional multivariate normal model in presence of missing data. Our method is based on the assumption that the data are missing at…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-02-28 Nicolas Städler , Peter Bühlmann

Dynamic Bayesian networks (DBNs) are increasingly used in healthcare due to their ability to model complex temporal relationships in patient data while maintaining interpretability, an essential feature for clinical decision-making.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-30 Federico Pirola , Fabio Stella , Marco Grzegorczyk

Hierarchical learning models, such as mixture models and Bayesian networks, are widely employed for unsupervised learning tasks, such as clustering analysis. They consist of observable and hidden variables, which represent the given data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-01-08 Keisuke Yamazaki

We propose a two-stage estimation method of variance components in time series models known as FDSLRMs, whose observations can be described by a linear mixed model (LMM). We based estimating variances, fundamental quantities in a time…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-10 Martina Hančová , Gabriela Vozáriková , Andrej Gajdoš , Jozef Hanč

In multivariate time series, the estimation of the covariance matrix of the observation innovations plays an important role in forecasting as it enables the computation of the standardized forecast error vectors as well as it enables the…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-02-04 K. Triantafyllopoulos

We present a new class of Bayesian dynamic models for bivariate price-realized volatility time series in financial forecasting. A novel dynamic gamma process model adopted for realized volatility is integrated with traditional Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-13 Patrick Woitschig , Mike West

Latent variable models provide a powerful framework for incorporating and inferring unobserved factors in observational data. In causal inference, they help account for hidden factors influencing treatment or outcome, thereby addressing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-29 Tetsuro Morimura , Tatsushi Oka , Yugo Suzuki , Daisuke Moriwaki

Systems are commonly monitored for health and security through collection and streaming of multivariate time series. Advances in time series forecasting due to adoption of multilayer recurrent neural network architectures make it possible…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-10 Oshri Barazani , David Tolpin

We present an approach that uses a deep learning model, in particular, a MultiLayer Perceptron (MLP), for estimating the missing values of a variable in multivariate time series data. We focus on filling a long continuous gap (e.g.,…